FOREX-Yen hits 9-month low as slowing virus case count, stimulus hopes boost risk appetite

Published 19/02/2020, 13:17
© Reuters.  FOREX-Yen hits 9-month low as slowing virus case count, stimulus hopes boost risk appetite
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* Japanese yen at 9-month low as new coronavirus cases

subside

* One-month euro/dollar implied vol at six-week high

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Ritvik Carvalho

LONDON, Feb 19 (Reuters) - The Japanese yen was the biggest

mover in the G10 group of currencies on Wednesday, hitting a

9-month low as a slowdown in the number of new reported cases of

coronavirus and expectations for further policy stimulus boosted

risk sentiment in global markets.

China posted the lowest daily rise in new coronavirus cases

since Jan. 29, helping to lift the off-shore traded yuan to a

two-week high against the dollar.

Many view Chinese data on the virus with scepticism, but

sentiment was lifted by a Bloomberg report that Beijing was

considering cash injections or mergers to bail out airlines hit

by the virus.

Those steps would come after this week's cut in the

medium-term lending rate, which has fed expectations for a

reduction in the benchmark loan prime rate. "Generally a 'risk on' day after China announced it was

considering more stimulus measures to support the economy, such

as exempting small- and medium-sized enterprises from paying

pension contributions until June," said Marshall Gittler, head

of investment research at BS Swiss.

"Asian markets are up almost across the board. Hence

Australian dollar higher, Japanese yen and Swiss franc lower,"

he said.

The yen tends to benefit in times of crisis or heightened

market uncertainty. It initially gained as news of the outbreak

first hit global markets, but has now retraced that move as the

pace of the reported increases in virus cases slows.

For an interactive version of the above graphic, click here

https://tmsnrt.rs/3bQk7Lm.

The yen was half a percent lower versus the dollar by midday

in London at 110.42, having earlier hit 110.45, its lowest since

May 2019. JPY=

Elsewhere, the euro bounced briefly above $1.08 but sank

below the mark to trade flat as the dollar continued its rally.

The single currency had earlier fallen to a three-year low after

a survey showed weakening confidence in Germany. One-month

euro-dollar implied volatility EUR1MO= rose to its highest in

six weeks.

The euro has fallen 3.6% against the dollar this year, as

Europe's economic data has deteriorated while that of the United

States has mostly improved.

On Tuesday, Germany's ZEW research institute said in its

monthly survey that investors' mood had deteriorated far more

than expected in February, on worries coronavirus would curtail

world trade. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against a

basket of its peers, was 0.12% higher at 99.558. .DXY

Investors are looking to the minutes from the Federal

Reserve's January meeting, due at 1900 GMT, for insight into the

Fed's thinking about virus risks.

The Australian dollar AUD=D4 , which rose during the Asian

trading session, gave up gains to trade flat at $0.6689. New

Zealand's dollar also gained 0.2%. AUD/

The antipodean currencies, heavily exposed to China, have

lost more than 4.5% against the dollar this year. Norway's

krone, sensitive to global growth via oil exports, has shed 6%,

and it slumped to an 18-year low overnight NOK= .

China's yuan CNY= touched a two-week low after the central

bank fixed a softer-than-expected trading band, and as investors

expected further monetary easing. "It's a tug of war between wait-and-worry and being relieved

that the infection rate is slowing down," said Bank of Singapore

currency strategist Moh Siong Sim. "The specific moves this

morning are related to more policy help from China ... there's

some relief that more help is on the way and that is restoring

some positivity to the market."

Yen hits 9-month low as virus case count slows png https://tmsnrt.rs/39KSAJ7

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