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FOREX-Yen slips as infection rate slows, Chinese stimulus eyed

Published 19/02/2020, 06:28
© Reuters.  FOREX-Yen slips as infection rate slows, Chinese stimulus eyed
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* China mulls support for virus-struck airliners - BBG

* Dollar/yen firms past 110, small boost to Aussie and kiwi

* Euro hovers just above 3-year low hit overnight

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Feb 19 (Reuters) - The safe-haven yen eased

slightly on Wednesday amid signs China was looking to fend off

economic threats from the coronavirus, which supported investor

confidence as the outbreak's spread appeared to slow.

China posted the lowest daily rise in new infections since

Jan. 29, seen by some investors as an indication containment

efforts were working.

Meanwhile, a Bloomberg report, citing sources, that China is

considering cash injections or mergers to bail out airlines hit

by the virus also supported appetite for risk.

That pushed the yen to the weaker side of 110-per-dollar and

gave a little boost to Asia's export currencies.

CNY/ EMRG/FRX

China's yuan CNY= remained on the backfoot, however,

touching a two-week low after the central bank fixed a

softer-than-expected trading band, and as investors expected

further monetary easing. "It's a tug of war between wait-and-worry and being relieved

that the infection rate is slowing down," said Bank of Singapore

currency strategist Moh Siong Sim.

"The specific moves this morning are related to more policy

help from China...there's some relief that more help is on the

way and that is restoring some positivity to the market."

The new coronavirus has caused 2,004 deaths in China and

infected more than 74,000 people. Measures to contain it have paralysed the economy and

markets remain on edge as the extent of damage to regional

commerce and global supply chains becomes clearer. MKTS/GLOB

The yield curve between U.S. three-month bills and 10-year

notes inverted overnight, a bearish economic signal, while

firmness in exporter currencies is by no means a rebound. US/

The yen traded 0.2% weaker by the afternoon at 110.05 per

dollar JPY= . The euro EUR= hovered around $1.08, pausing a

slide that sent it to a three-year low overnight.

The New Zealand and Australian dollars both advanced by

about 0.1%. AUD/

The Antipodean currencies, heavily exposed to China, have

lost more than 4.5% against the dollar this year. Norway's

krone, sensitive to global growth via oil exports, has shed 6%

and it slumped to an 18-year low overnight NOK= .

Investors are looking to the minutes from the Federal

Reserve's January meeting, due to be released at 1900 GMT, for

insight on the Fed's thinking about virus risks.

European purchasing managers index numbers and part-month

Korean export figures, both due on Friday, are also going to be

closely watched for any hard signs of economic impact.

Hedge funds are using proxies from port activity to air

pollution to gauge the depth of the slowdown in the meantime.

"We assess the risks are firmly skewed towards the negative

effects of COVID-19 lasting longer," Nomura analysts wrote in a

note, using the World Health Organization's designation for the

illness caused by the coronavirus.

"Therefore, we maintain our cautious view through positions

in long USD/THB, long USD/CNH, long USD vs GBP, NZD and long

AUD/NZD."

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