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WEEKAHEAD-AFRICA-FX-Tanzania's shilling to weaken, Uganda's currency to be steady

Published 16/01/2020, 13:07
© Reuters.  WEEKAHEAD-AFRICA-FX-Tanzania's shilling to weaken, Uganda's currency to be steady
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DAR ES SALAAM, Jan 16 (Reuters) - Tanzania's shilling is

forecast to weaken slightly against the U.S. dollar in the next

week to Thursday, while Uganda's shilling will hold steady,

traders said.

KENYA

The Kenyan shilling KES= is expected to strengthen due to

increased inflows from the agricultural sector and diaspora

remittances amid thin importer dollar demand.

Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 100.95/101.15 per

dollar, compared with 101.40/60 at last Thursday's close.

"We're seeing increased inflows from the agricultural

sector, which has caused the market to appreciate ... we expect

the trend to continue, demand is a bit subdued at the moment,"

said a trader at a commercial bank.

UGANDA

The Ugandan shilling UGX= is expected to be stable on the

back of inflows from exports of agricultural commodities.

At 1021 GMT, commercial banks quoted the shilling at

3,675/3,685 per dollar, unchanged from last Thursday's close.

A trader at a leading commercial bank said the market

expects to receive higher inflows of dollars from exports of

coffee and other agricultural commodities as receding rains have

opened up rural transportation corridors.

"The sunny weather that has set in means commodities can

easily be transported, so that may translate into higher export

volumes and higher (FX) flows," the trader said.

TANZANIA

Tanzania's shilling TZS= is expected to weaken slightly

due to lower dollar inflows.

Commercial banks quoted the Shilling at 2,306/2,316 per

dollar on Thursday, compared with 2,300/2,310 at last Thursday's

close.

"We expect the shilling to weaken slightly next week for a

while due to shortage of dollars but it will come back to its

normal levels because businesses are starting the year," said a

trader at a commercial bank in Dar es Salaam.

NIGERIA

Nigeria's naira NGN= is forecast to be steady after

firming this week, lifted by inflows from foreign investors

seeking to buy central bank's high-yielding treasury bills,

traders said.

The naira was quoted at around 361 to the dollar on

Thursday, from 363 it fetched on the over-the-counter market

last week. It was quoted as low as 364 at the start of the year,

traders said.

The currency was quoted at 306.95 on the official market,

supported by the central bank. Nigeria operates a multiple

currency regime.

"The market is fairly liquid. Foreign investors are coming

in to buy OMO (Open Market Operation) bills," a trader said.

"The (naira) market is expecting 435 billion naira of maturity

today."

The one-year bill is trading at around 13.25%.

ZAMBIA

The kwacha ZMW= is likely to remain range-bound against

the dollar in the coming week due to matching demand and supply

for the greenback.

On Thursday, commercial banks quoted Africa's second-largest

copper producer's currency at 14.5000 from a close of 13.9000 a

week ago.

“We do not expect an easing of demand, but prospects of

improved supply will likely ensure moves are restricted,” the

local branch of South Africa's First National Bank said in a

note.

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