WEEKAHEAD-AFRICA-FX-Zambian, Ugandan currencies seen under pressure, others stable

Published 19/09/2019, 14:49
© Reuters.  WEEKAHEAD-AFRICA-FX-Zambian, Ugandan currencies seen under pressure, others stable
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LUSAKA, Sept 19 (Reuters) - The Zambian and Ugandan

currencies may stay under pressure next week while those of

Kenya, Tanzania and Nigeria and likely to remain stable.

ZAMBIA

The kwacha ZMW= is likely to remain under pressure against

the U.S. dollar next week due to a reduced supply of hard

currency and the need to service the nation's debt.

On Thursday, commercial banks quoted the currency of

Africa's second-largest copper producer at 13.1750 per dollar,

down from a close of 13.0900 a week ago.

"Interim trends seem to indicate that the local unit may

touch a new resistance level of $1/13.300 should the supply side

remain choppy," Cavmont Bank said in a note.

Zambia's external debt rose to $10.05 billion at the end of

2018, compared with $8.74 billion a year earlier, raising fears

that the country is headed for a debt crisis. The Ugandan shilling UGX= is seen trading weaker against

the U.S. dollar in the coming days as some importers start to

beef up their hard currency positions to prepare for extra

imports to meet typically high demand in the last quarter of the

year.

At 1000 GMT commercial banks quoted the shilling at

3,670/3,680, compared with last Thursday's close of 3,665/3,675.

"I anticipate a significant boost in demand from importers

because in the coming weeks they will be shipping in larger

volumes of goods for November-December shoppers," said an

independent foreign exchange trader in the capital Kampala.

KENYA

The Kenyan shilling KES= is seen stable against the U.S.

dollar in the coming week, with inflows from offshore investors

buying government debt helping to meet month-end dollar demand

amid excess liquidity in the local money market, traders said.

Commercial banks quoted the shilling at 103.75/95 per

dollar, compared with 103.70/90 at last Thursday's close.

"It's still a function of liquidity and the central bank has

been aggressive on the mop-up side... There is good demand from

all sectors," said a senior trader from one commercial bank.

TANZANIA

Tanzania's shilling TZS= is expected to hold steady next

week due to the prevailing balance in U.S. dollar inflows and

demand in the market.

On Thursday commercial banks in the capital Dar es Salaam

quoted the local currency at an average of 2,292/2,302, the same

levels recorded a week ago.

A senior forex trader at one commercial bank said hard

currency supplies from mining, agriculture and tourism sectors

were expected to match demand from energy and manufacturing

firms.

"Due to that, we don't expect much change next week. The

shilling will remain stable and it will be in the same levels as

of this week of around 2,292/2,302," he said.

NIGERIA

Nigeria's naira NGN= is seen unchanged against the U.S.

dollar next week after the central bank stepped up its auctions

of open market securities to attract foreign inflows, traders

said.

The naira was quoted at 362 per dollar on Thursday,

unchanged from a week earlier. The currency was quoted at 360 on

exchange bureaus and at 306.35 on the official market, which is

backed by the central bank. Nigeria operates a multiple currency

regime.

Foreign inflows, which dried up last month due to low

yields, have started to come back after the central bank

increased the frequency of debt issuance. The bank launched a

300 billion naira open market (OMO) auction on Thursday.

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