AAII sentiment survey shows pessimism drops, but still ’unusually high’

Published 27/03/2025, 17:42
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- Pessimism among individual investors declined according to the latest American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey, as bearish sentiment dropped while optimism and neutral sentiment slightly improved.

According to AAII, bearish sentiment—expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months—fell by 6.0 percentage points to 52.2%, marking the 17th time in 19 weeks that it has remained above its historical average of 31.0%. 

Despite the decline, bearish sentiment continues to be "unusually high."

At the same time, bullish sentiment—expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months—rose 5.8 percentage points to 27.4%, though it remains below its historical average of 37.5% for the 11th time in 13 weeks. 

Meanwhile, neutral sentiment edged up by 0.1 percentage points to 20.4%, staying below its historical average of 31.5% for the 36th time in 38 weeks.

The bull-bear spread (the difference between bullish and bearish sentiment) increased by 11.8 percentage points to -24.7%, said the firm. However, they noted that it remains below its historical average of 6.5% for the 12th time in 14 weeks.

The survey also included a special question on the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to keep interest rates unchanged. A strong majority of respondents—77.3%—believed it was the right move, while 11.6% thought rates should have been cut and 4.2% favored an increase.

Despite the improvement in sentiment, overall investor outlook remains cautious, with bearish sentiment still significantly elevated compared to historical trends.

 

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.