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FOREX-Dollar firms above 1-month lows on trade tensions

Published 04/12/2019, 09:12
Updated 04/12/2019, 09:18
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar firms above 1-month lows on trade tensions
DXY
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Saikat Chatterjee

LONDON, Dec 4 (Reuters) - The dollar held firm above a

one-month low against its rivals on Wednesday as uncertainty

about the progress of trade talks between the United States and

China fuelled demand for the greenback.

The dollar had come under some pressure this week as some

decent eurozone data and surprisingly strong China survey

figures raised hopes that the global economy will pick up

traction next year and boost demand for non-U.S. currencies.

The greenback fell 1% in the first two days of the week,

taking it to a one-month low versus its rivals DXY before the

latest headlines rekindled some safe-haven demand.

U.S. President Donald Trump's statement that he had "no

deadline" for an agreement with China hurt sentiment as global

trade frictions have already weakened world growth, with many

economies struggling to find their footing.

"There is so much uncertainty with regards to trade and the

economic outlook, and in that environment, investors are

flocking to the currency which offers the highest interest rate

and that is the dollar," said Morten Lund, a senior FX

strategist at Nordea.

In early trading on Wednesday, the dollar edged up to

97.764, above a low of 97.644 hit on Tuesday, its lowest level

since Nov. 11.

Market analysts said the dollar could only weaken

substantially if U.S. economic data showed a sharp decleration

and expectations of rate cuts grew sharply. Money market futures

are pointing to a rate cut of one quarter point by next July.

The Australian dollar was the biggest loser against the

dollar AUD=D3 , falling 0.5% versus the greenback after some

disappointing third quarter growth data and retracing a

cumulative gain of 1.5% in the last two sessions. AUD/

Elsewhere, the yen JPY=EBS stood at 108.60 yen versus the

dollar on Wednesday, close to its strongest since Nov. 22.

The Swiss franc CHF=EBS was quoted at 0.9875 versus the

dollar, near its highest level since Nov. 4.

Both the Japanese and Swiss currencies tend to be bought as

safe-havens during times of uncertainty.

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