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Investing.com -- Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) has adopted a more bullish view on the European real estate sector, pointing to a better economic outlook and increased preference for commercial property exposure.
The bank’s analyst Thomas Rothaeusler said the more positive stance comes amid signs of fading recession risks, easing trade tensions, and supportive German fiscal policy.
“The tariff ping-pong and geopolitical uncertainties are making the sector outlook difficult,” Rothaeusler wrote.
However, he added that Deutsche Bank prefers to follow its macro team, “which have recently turned more positive on the economic outlook, as they see recession risks fading, tariff tensions de-escalating and the German fiscal stimulus as supportive.”
On the flip side, Rothaeusler flags higher long-term interest rates, with Deutsche’s rates strategy team forecasting a Bund yield of 3%.
The analyst says this outlook is “more favourable for commercial real estate and less so for residential,” prompting the bank to increase its positioning in the former.
Specifically, Deutsche has upgraded Gecina (EPA:GFCP) and CTP NV (AS:CTPNV) to Buy and raised its price targets on the stocks. It also initiated coverage on Warehouses de Pauw Comm VA (EBR:WDPP) with a Buy rating and a target price of €25.
The bank now lists Merlin Properties SA (BME:MRL), Gecina, and WDP as its top picks in the sector.
Among other changes, Deutsche Bank raised its target price on Deutsche Wohnen (OTC:DTCWY) to €29 from €25, Tag Immobilien AG (ETR:TEGG) to €18 from €15, and Klepierre (EPA:LOIM) to €32 from €28.
Vonovia SE (ETR:VNAn), LEG Immobilien AG (ETR:LEGn), and Grand City Properties SA (ETR:GYC) were all maintained at Hold with minor upward target adjustments.