American Assets Trust Inc . (NYSE: NYSE:AAT), a real estate investment trust, reported a robust third-quarter performance for 2024 during its earnings call on November 1, 2024. The company's CEO, Ernest Rady, announced an increase in funds from operations (FFO) per share and a positive outlook for the future, despite some challenges. The call highlighted the successful issuance of a $525 million bond and the declaration of a quarterly dividend, alongside a detailed discussion of portfolio performance and future strategies.
Key Takeaways
- American Assets Trust's FFO per share increased to $0.71 in Q3 2024, up from $0.60 in Q2.
- The company issued a $525 million bond at a 6.15% coupon, oversubscribed more than four times.
- A quarterly dividend of $0.335 per share will be payable on December 16.
- Occupancy rates in San Diego stood at 93%, with the office portfolio showing a 27.6% increase in NOI.
- Guidance for 2024 FFO per share has been raised to $2.51 to $2.55.
- The mixed-use portfolio's NOI decreased by 7%, with lower occupancy and higher expenses at Embassy Suites, Waikiki.
- Management aims to reduce net debt to EBITDA to 5.5 times or less.
- Over $450 million has been invested in various projects, expected to contribute an additional $0.03 per share of FFO.
- The office portfolio was 87% leased, with new leases accounting for 60% of leasing activity.
Company Outlook
- American Assets Trust aims to capitalize on rent escalations and stabilize new developments.
- The company is exploring multifamily growth opportunities and managing net debt to EBITDA at or below 5.5 times.
- Management expects 2025 to be more favorable than 2024, with a focus on maintaining high-quality properties and tenant satisfaction.
Bearish Highlights
- Mixed-use portfolio's NOI fell due to lower occupancy and higher expenses.
- A $0.04 reduction in 2025 FFO is anticipated due to increased net interest expense from the bond issuance.
- The adjusted midpoint for 2024 FFO, excluding one-time litigation income, would be $2.24.
Bullish Highlights
- Retail and multifamily segments showed positive performance, with retail NOI up 7% and multifamily NOI up 4%.
- The company raised its 2024 FFO per share guidance, largely due to retail property performance.
- Positive leasing trends in the office and retail sectors have remained, with retail leasing spreads improving since COVID-19.
Misses
- The mixed-use portfolio suffered from a 7% decline in NOI, primarily at Embassy Suites, Waikiki.
Q&A Highlights
- Management is optimistic about the portfolio's performance and tenant relationships.
- It is too early to provide accurate guidance for 2025, with more comprehensive outlook expected in Q4 2024.
- Cash blended leasing spreads for office and retail have been positive, with variability influenced by individual deals.
American Assets Trust Inc. demonstrated resilience and strategic foresight in its third-quarter performance, with an emphasis on disciplined financial management and a diversified portfolio. The company's proactive approach and focus on strong locations and tenant satisfaction have contributed to its positive outlook, despite the mixed results in certain segments. Investors will be watching closely as the company navigates the economic landscape and aims to deliver on its promises in the coming quarters.
InvestingPro Insights
American Assets Trust Inc. (NYSE: AAT) continues to demonstrate resilience in the real estate market, as evidenced by its recent earnings report and the insights provided by InvestingPro. The company's robust performance is reflected in several key metrics and trends.
According to InvestingPro data, AAT boasts a market capitalization of $2.14 billion, indicating its significant presence in the REIT sector. The company's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 stood at $452.5 million, with a notable revenue growth of 11.59% in the most recent quarter. This aligns well with the company's reported increase in funds from operations (FFO) per share and the raised guidance for 2024.
One of the InvestingPro Tips highlights that AAT has maintained dividend payments for 14 consecutive years, which is particularly relevant given the company's recent declaration of a quarterly dividend. This consistency in dividend payments underscores AAT's commitment to shareholder returns, even in challenging market conditions. Additionally, the current dividend yield of 4.82% may be attractive to income-focused investors.
Another InvestingPro Tip notes that AAT is trading near its 52-week high, with a price that is 97.71% of its 52-week peak. This performance is further supported by the impressive 66.12% total return over the past year, reflecting investor confidence in the company's strategy and execution.
The company's profitability is also noteworthy, with InvestingPro data showing a gross profit margin of 64.71% and an operating income margin of 28.41% for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. These figures align with management's focus on maintaining high-quality properties and tenant satisfaction, as discussed in the earnings call.
For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips and insights. In fact, there are 8 more InvestingPro Tips available for AAT, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.
As American Assets Trust navigates the evolving real estate landscape, these InvestingPro insights complement the company's reported results, offering investors a more rounded view of AAT's performance and potential.
Full transcript - American Assets Trust Inc (AAT) Q3 2024:
Operator: Welcome to American Assets Trust Inc.'s Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. As a reminder, today's conference is being recorded. Please note that statements made on this conference call include forward-looking statements, based on current expectations which statements are subject to risks and uncertainties discussed in the company's filings with the SEC. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, as actual events could cause the company's results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements. Yesterday afternoon, American Assets Trust earnings release and supplemental information were furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K. Both are now available on the Investors section of the website americanassetstrust.com. It is now my pleasure to turn the conference over to Ernest Rady, Chairman and CEO of American Assets Trust. Please go ahead, sir.
Ernest Rady: Good morning, everyone, and thank you again for joining us today. At American Assets Trust, we've always emphasized that our strength lies in our diversified high-quality portfolio top-tier operating platform, disciplined financial strategy and our highly experienced and capable management team. These factors position us well to navigate any economic environment. Along those lines throughout the year, we've been closely monitoring the debt markets. In September, we made the strategic decision to approach the investment grade bond market for our latest issuance. The strong demand led us to upsize the offering after it was initially more than four times oversubscribed. In the end, we issued a 10-year, $525 million bond at a 6.15% coupon. We were fortunate to lock in favorable rates taking advantage of a market rally and they lead up to our issuance. This bond strengthens our liquidity and flexibility addressing all of our debt maturities into early 2027. I'm sure you're all familiar with the saying better to be lucky than smart. Fortunately, we have checked both boxes as rates quickly surged following our offering with a 10-year yield climbing over 55 basis points since our issuance. We were able to capture a favorable window in the market. Shortly my colleagues Adam, Bob and Steve will walk you through the performance of our various asset segments as well as Abigail will do by the way our financial results and updated guidance. But before we get to that, I'm pleased to announce that our Board of Directors had declared a quarterly dividend of $0.335 per share for the fourth quarter. This dividend reflects not only our solid financial performance, but also the Board's continued confidence in the company's future prospects. The dividend will be paid on December 16 to shareholders of record as of December 5. I'd like to take a moment to sincerely thank you all for your continued trust and support. We remain committed to delivering value as we guide the company forward. Now I'll turn the call over to Adam to review our quarterly results and discuss our outlook. Adam, please.
Adam Wyll: Thanks, Ernest, and I echo your sentiments regarding the success of our recent bond offering. This achievement would not have been possible with the hard work and dedication of our teams across the organization. Their commitment is critical to our overall success and we’re incredibly fortunate to have such a talented group of employees. I'd also like to highlight the value of our face-to-face meetings with fixed income investors where we have opportunity to update them on our credit profile and overall strategy. The broad distribution of this offering to high-quality institutional accounts not only positions us well for future issuances, but also enhances the liquidity of our outstanding bonds, as we remain focused on maintaining financial flexibility, while driving value through active portfolio management. Our portfolio continues to perform well across each of our asset classes underpinned by our presence in high barrier-to-entry markets. You'll note from our supplemental that nearly 50% of our cash NOI was generated from Southern California with San Diego being a very important market for us. As we've emphasized before, San Diego's well-diversified economy is growing stronger, driven by the relatively recent influx of the world's major tech and pharmaceutical companies its military and defense presence prestigious universities leading service providers and the third largest life science cluster in the country. On the operations front, we continue to see gradual, but steady improvement in office usage across our portfolio. Recent mandates from companies like Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Dell (NYSE:DELL), Boeing (NYSE:BA), Goldman Sachs and UBS, as well as some of our larger tenants are moving toward a 5-day a week in-office requirement. The rationale behind these mandates is clear, collaboration, innovation culture and learning. And we believe the quality of our office buildings prime locations and top-tier amenities set us apart, contributing to higher utilization and stronger leasing activity compared to our competitors. But the reality is these return to office policies will only move the needle if the organizations actually enforce them. We're hopeful on that. Steve will provide an update shortly on the leasing momentum across our markets in our office portfolio, where, despite the broader market challenges, demand for high-quality, well-located office spaces remains encouraging. Our retail segment continues to perform quite well. We've renewed virtually all of our lease expirations this year and have less than 7% expiring in 2025, the majority of which are larger format retailers that we are confident in renewal. Meanwhile, retail leasing spreads have been trending positively for the past several years, with a 4.4% increase on a cash basis and 18.7% increase on a straight-line basis for Q3 transactions, which was a relatively active quarter for our retail leasing. In fact, our retail portfolio achieved its highest average base rent per square foot in Q3 since our IPO, placing us with the second highest average among our best-in-class peers that we track. Foot traffic and tenant sales have trended positively, as we continue to work with our tenants to ensure long-term success. as they adapt to evolving consumer behaviors. On the consumer spending side and in regards to the tenants we receive sales reports from, we saw a 5% increase in gross sales at our properties in 2023 compared to 2022. And through mid-2024, tenant sales are up another 5%, further reinforcing the strength and quality of our retail portfolio. While we're aware of potential headwinds in the broader economy, we believe that consumer spending in the densely populated affluent areas surrounding our centers will remain resilient. Turning to our multifamily portfolio. Ongoing demand for well-located, quality housing continues to drive stable performance across our multifamily properties, especially in markets where supply remains constrained. We ended Q3 in San Diego with a 93% occupancy rate and a 94% leased rate. In San Diego, leases for vacant units were signed at approximately 3% lower than prior rents, while renewed leases saw an average increase of 6%, resulting in a blended average increase of 3% with minimal concessions offered. In Q3, our Hassalo on Eighth multifamily community in Portland saw leases for vacant units signed at an average 2% increase with renewed units up by 3%. This resulted in a blended increase of 3%, while our leasing percentage remained strong at 95%, with minimal concessions. Net effective rents at Hassalo were up 4% in Q3 compared to the same period in 2023. Overall, our multifamily portfolio achieved its highest ever average base rent in Q3. Additionally, we saw our same-store multifamily NOI increase by over 4% year-over-year for Q3 and year-to-date NOI is up 6% compared to 2023, with strong collections across the portfolio in Q3. Looking ahead, we remain focused on five key drivers of future growth. First, capitalizing on embedded rent escalations and bringing below-market leases to market; second, leasing up and stabilizing our new office developments and redevelopments which you'll hear updates on from Steve in just a moment; third, benefiting from the anticipated return of Asian tourism to Oahu; fourth, densifying our existing assets with a focus on unlocking multifamily development opportunities; and fifth, pursuing accretive acquisitions when market conditions align with our strategic goals. With that I'll turn the call over to Bob to discuss financial results and updated guidance in more detail.
Bob Barton: Thanks, Adam. Good morning everyone. Last night, we reported third quarter 2024 FFO of $0.71 per share. Third quarter 2024 net income, attributable to common stockholders was $0.28 per share. Third quarter 2024 FFO increased by approximately $0.11 to $0.71 per FFO share, compared to the second quarter of 2024, primarily due to three things. First, as you may recall, we received an $11 million lease termination fee from a tenant at our Torrey Reserve office project in San Diego, increasing the FFO by approximately $0.15 per FFO share in the third quarter. This fee essentially covers four of the remaining five years of base rent under the lease agreement. The space is in turnkey condition and we are optimistic that we can lease it within the next few years potentially even sooner. Second, an increase in interest expense that reduced FFO by approximately $0.03 per FFO share in Q3 2024 that was not previously included in our prior guidance. The newly issued $525 million public bond in Q3 2024 increased interest expense by approximately $0.025 per FFO share and capitalized interest was lower by approximately $0.005 of FFO. Third, higher operating expenses at our multifamily properties reduced FFO by approximately $0.01 in Q3 2024. These three items taken together increased the FFO from $0.60 per FFO share in Q2 to $0.71 per FFO share in Q3. Same-store cash NOI for all sectors combined increased by 15.8% year-over-year for the third quarter. Absent the $11 million termination fee, the combined same-store cash NOI would have been flat. Breaking it out by segment and each compared to Q3 2023 is as follows: our same-store office portfolio's NOI increased by 27.6% in Q3, primarily due to the $11 million lease termination fee mentioned earlier. Excluding the lease termination fee, our same-store office cash NOI would have been decreased by approximately 3% in Q3, primarily due to known move-outs and rent abatements to new tenants. Our same-store retail portfolio's NOI increased by 7% in Q3, primarily due to higher base rents at our Carmel Mountain Plaza and Solana Beach Towne Centre in San Diego. Our same-store multifamily portfolio's NOI increased by 4% in Q3, primarily due to higher-than-expected revenue at our San Diego multifamily properties, particularly Loma Palisades and Pacific Ridge. And our mixed-use portfolio's NOI decreased by 7% in Q3, primarily due to lower occupancy and higher expenses at our Embassy Suites, Waikiki. Revenue was lower by approximately 4% and expenses were up by approximately 1.5%, specifically in Q3 2024. Paid occupancy was approximately 84% compared to 89% in Q3 2023. RevPAR was $337 compared to $350 in Q3 2023. ADR was $402 compared to $392 in Q3 2023. NOI was approximately $3.6 million compared to $4.3 million in Q3 2023. Let's talk about liquidity. At the end of the third quarter we had liquidity of approximately $933 million comprised of approximately $533 million in cash and cash equivalents and $400 million of availability on our revolving line of credit. As of the end of the third quarter, our leverage, which we measure in terms of net debt to EBITDA was 5.6 times on a quarter annualized basis and 6.0 times on a trailing 12-month basis. Our objective is to achieve and maintain a net debt to EBITDA of 5.5 times or below. Our interest coverage and fixed charge coverage ratios were 3.8 for the quarter and 3.7 on a trailing 12-month basis. Let's switch over to 2024 guidance. We are increasing our 2024 FFO per share guidance range to a range of $2.51 to $2.55 per FFO share with a midpoint of $2.53 per FFO share, an approximately 1% increase from our previously updated guidance that had a range of $2.48 to $2.54 with a $2.51 midpoint. Most of this increase in our 2024 guidance relates to our retail properties which have contributed an additional $0.02 per FFO share since last quarter from our lower bad debt and operating expenses and higher percentage rents. Please note that excluding onetime litigation settlement income and lease termination fees collected so far in 2024 that have totaled over $22 million in the aggregate. Our forecasted 2024 FFO would be approximately $0.20 lower or $2.24 per share at the adjusted guidance midpoint. Additionally, though we will provide formal 2025 guidance in February for those modeling out next year please keep in mind the increased net interest expense from the newly issued $525 million bond will reduce FFO by approximately $0.04 in 2025 as compared to this year net of paying off the upcoming $425 million of maturities that come due over the ensuing few months. Additionally, we are forecasting approximately $7 million of interest income from invested cash in 2024 or $0.10 of FFO per share that will be meaningfully reduced next year as virtually all of the capital from the bond offering will be used to refinance debt. On a positive note the potential FFO upside is that we have over $450 million of invested capital between La Jolla Commons Tower III, which was completed in Q2 of this year and is just under 20% leased, but with several active prospects. One Beach Street which was a total renovation completed in Q4 of last year and has seen an uptick in tour activity and our three office projects in suburban Bellevue which we expect the significant renovations to be completed by the end of Q1 2025. All of these buildings are or will be highly amenitized with destination restaurants, cafes, fitness centers, outdoor spaces and/or conference centers. These buildings when stabilized at 93% occupancy are expected to produce over $0.03 per share of FFO. Of course the lease-up of these properties will also have a positive impact on continuing to reduce our net debt to EBITDA to our target of 5.5 times or less. We'd expect stabilization on these properties in 2026 give or take a year pending market conditions. While we believe the 2024 guidance is our best estimate as of the date of this earnings call, we do believe that it is also possible that we could perform towards the upper end of this guidance range primarily if the tenants we reserve for continue to pay their rents and our multifamily properties continue to outperform. As always our guidance, our NOI bridge and these prepared remarks exclude any impact from future acquisitions dispositions equity issuances or repurchases, future debt refinancings or repayments other than what we have already discussed. We will continue our best to be as transparent as possible and share with you our analysis and interpretations of our quarterly numbers. I also want to briefly note that any non-GAAP financial measures that we've discussed like NOI are reconciled to our GAAP financial results in our earnings release and supplemental information. I'll now turn the call over to Steve Center, our Senior Vice President of Office Properties for a brief update on our segment. Steve?
Steve Center: Thanks, Bob. At the end of the third quarter our office portfolio was 87% leased an increase of 40 basis points over the prior quarter. While we continue to experience some rightsizing of existing tenants and a few small office closings, they were more than offset by Q3 leasing activity as follows. In the third quarter, we executed 14 leases totaling approximately 106,000 rentable square feet comprised of three comparable new leases for approximately 17,000 rentable square feet with rent increases of 18 % on a cash basis and 16% on a straight-line basis including a 10,000 rentable square foot lease at City Center Bellevue. Seven comparable renewal leases for approximately 41,000 rentable square feet with rent increases of 4% on a cash basis and 17% on a straight-line basis including two medical office leases totaling 16,000 rentable square feet at the COASTAL COLLECTION Torrey Reserve in San Diego and four non-comparable leases totaling approximately 4,8000 rentable square feet, including a 20,000 rentable square foot lease at La Jolla Commons Tower 3 in San Diego, and a 20,000 rentable square foot lease at 14 acres previously known as Eastgate Office Park in suburban Bellevue. And the leasing momentum has continued into Q4 as follows. We've executed five leases to date in Q4 totaling approximately 27,000 rentable square feet including a new approximately 4,000 rentable square foot lease at La Jolla Commons Tower 3. We have 10 deals in lease documentation totaling approximately 64,000 rentable square feet. And through the first three quarters of 2024 approximately 60% of the rentable square feet was new leasing which is the first time since 2019 that new leasing has outpaced renewals on a rentable square foot basis. Our lease expiration exposure is modest through 2025. We're down to just over 2% rolling in 2024 given year-to-date office portfolio activity, with the average deal size of the remainder of approximately 6,000 rentable square feet. We have approximately 8,000 -- or 8% of the portfolio rolling in 2025 with the average deal size of approximately 7,000 rentable square feet. Concluding with some insights on our new development La Jolla Commons III in the UTC submarket of San Diego. As noted earlier, we signed a lease for approximately 20,000 rentable square feet on the third floor in Q3, and the lease for approximately 4,000 rentable square feet on the second floor earlier this month. We actually had two tenants buying for the same suite. We received a request for proposal for approximately 16,000 rentable square feet and responded to that two days ago and have a former Tower one full floor law firm tenant that we expect to reengage with in 2025 for approximately 7,000 rentable square feet. And we have continued tour activity and interest from numerous less than full floor prospects. And in response to this smaller tenant demand, we are currently designing additional spec suites on the fourth floor. Regarding La Jolla Commons amenities the Tower 3 Fitness Center which will serve the entire campus is nearing completion with a grand opening in Q1 of 2025. The Tower three restaurant is into the city for permit and is expected to open in the summer of 2025. The Tower one cafe which will also serve the entire campus will be under construction in Q1 and will open in Q2 of 2025. And planning and pricing for the new campus conference center are complete and will be submitted to the city shortly. It is also expected to open in the summer of 2025. And lastly, in regards to One Beach in San Francisco as Bob mentioned, there's been an uptick in tour activity and interest lately but it is a slowly evolving process with nothing substantive to update you on at this time. However, we are encouraged by our prospects for success and not only La Jolla Commons 3, but One Beach and throughout our entire office portfolio. I'll now turn the call back over to the operator for Q&A. Question and Answer
Operator: Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] And today's first question comes from Haendel St. Juste with Mizuho. Go ahead.
Ernest Rady: Good morning, Haendel.
Ravi Vaidya: Hi. Good morning. This is Ravi Vaidya on the line for Haendel. Hope you guys are doing well. Wanted to ask about the office leasing. I saw a large proportion of the leasing this quarter was outside of the comparable pool. Can you offer any additional color there something unique about the backfills the TI spend or the re-leasing spreads or deals that made them fall outside of the comparable pool?
Steve Center: They were vacant longer than six months. So if it's a vacancy that's been there for longer than six months there's no rent to compare it to. One of those deals was a new lease on the third floor of La Jolla Commons III which is brand new. The other was a full floor deal at 14 acres or Eastgate Office Park in suburban Bellevue. And both were long-term deals. TIs are in line with new long-term deals at about $10 to $15 per square foot per year of term. It's that simple. They're new leases with no backup.
Ravi Vaidya: Got it. That's helpful. And I guess, you've made steady progress on the office leasing. It seems that interest is rising and growing activity is also rising. Can you offer a near-term outlook there within the office portfolio maybe a forward occupancy marker by or target by year-end 2025 or 2026?
Steve Center: I think it's premature to give you that figure. You touched on it. We look back 2023, 2024 and we have looked into 2025. And we've talked about the headwinds we faced. And so with the attrition through COVID, companies closing their doors or rightsizing, we've managed to start -- we've turned the corner. We're now generating positive net absorption. I mentioned that 60% of our leases are new leases versus renewals. And so, we're optimistic moving forward. We do have some known move-outs the MEI move-out that we had talked about for 45,000 feet, which is about 1% of the portfolio. And we also know at First & Main, we're going to get back space from CLEAResult. We've been unfortunate. We've already backfilled one floor of CLEAResult five floors. We're in negotiations on a partial backfill of another floor. And then we've got two prospects for about 15,000 feet each looking at that CLEAResult space. So we're optimistic there. This is a long-winded way of saying our leasing activity, our tour activity, our proposal activity is up. It's dominated by new leasing versus renewal leasing, and we have net absorption we're working on right now in proposals and leases in documentation. So I suspect 2025 is going to be a much better year than 2024.
Bob Barton: Hey Ravi, this is Bob. Just to add to Steve's comments is that, in the fourth quarter we just don't know what's going to happen in the fourth quarter in terms of leasing successes. Steve is doing a great job. And as you know, we will give a very detailed forecast in the fourth quarter for 2025.
Ernest Rady: It’s Ernest. As Bob pointed out, Steve is doing a good job. We have properties that are amenitized well in good locations and we have the financial capacity to do the TIs to get our tenants in and keep them satisfied, not satisfied leased, that's a big factor in today's crazy world.
Steve Center: I'd give you an example of that. We earned proposals with a tenant for a space at Eastgate 14 acres. And prior to the CEO -- we have a new CEO. He recently toured about a week ago. And after that tour seeing the renovations, he dropped all of the other potential move opportunities and it's now just between us and a renewal. So that's a case in point of our renovations starting to really pay off in that asset.
Ravi Vaidya: Got it. That's great color. Thanks for that. Just one more here. A number of your peers, particularly within shopping centers, they've been more involved with transactions recently. What's your level of interest in acquisitions? Is there a particular segment that's attractive to you? And how would you potentially fund it?
Ernest Rady: We have a number of options available. First of all, to manage our debt; second of all, to make an acquisition; third of all, there's not much we're interested in disposing of. But we have all those factors and that's what management is for and we continue to look at all those options and weigh them. So I'd like to tell you that this is what we're going to do, but it depends on how the opportunities present themselves and what the opportunities are. Our first focus is kind of staying in the markets we're in, because we know them. And as this unfolds, you'll be amongst the first to know, because we don't know yet ourselves but we keep looking.
Ravi Vaidya: Got it. Thank you so much, guys.
Ernest Rady: Thank you. Thank you for your interest, sir.
Operator: And our next question today comes from Reny Pire with Green Street Advisors. Please go ahead.
Reny Pire: Hey. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking the question. So, thinking about the performance of your multifamily and retail assets year-to-date kind of continuous outperformance. What are your expectations for 4Q? And then maybe, if there's any insight into 2025 performance? I know it's a little early. Any color would be helpful. Thanks.
Ernest Rady: There's so much uncertainty in the world we live in. I would hate to make a projection. On the other hand, I can tell you that all of our assets are in first-class shape, and we'll do as well as anybody and hopefully better. We've used this time to upgrade several of our multifamily properties and of course, our retail is we always monitor and keep it in first-class shape for our tenants. So, I've never seen so much uncertainty in the world we live, interest rates first, devices in the second, elections third, retail fourth, the economy fifth. So as soon as we know where we're going, we'll know -- as soon we know where the country is going a little better where we're going. But I'll tell you this, we'll do as well as anybody and hopefully better than most.
Reny Pire: Yeah, great. Thanks for the color.
Ernest Rady: Okay. Thank you. Thanks for the color or the lack of color, we did the best we can but you know what we're going through.
Reny Pire: I'll take it.
Operator: And our next question today comes from Todd Thomas of KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Todd Thomas: Hi, thanks. Good morning. I just wanted to zoom out a little bit, Bob, Steve, you mentioned the $0.30 of FFO upside from La Jolla Phase 3, One Beach, the three assets in Bellevue. Approximately how much of that is attributable to the stabilization at the three Bellevue office assets? And with the renovations expected to be completed at the end of the first quarter next year, I think you said and Amazon and others calling employees back to the office what's the time line to get those projects stabilized?
Bob Barton: Well, from the $0.30, we have about $0.20 that relates to La Jolla Commons. It's actually like about $0.18 of La Jolla Commons, $0.02 to $0.03 on One Beach. And the balance is really the suburban office market that we're finishing up in Q1 2025. It's too early right now to give you a forecast on that, Todd. We'll give you a very detailed forecast and how we see it for 2025. Steve is still doing deals today.
Todd Thomas: Do you expect leasing to pick up once the renovations are complete? I mean, should we assume or anticipate kind of a quicker ramp in leasing once the renovations are completed after the first quarter, or do you think it could still take some time for leasing to come to fruition?
Ernest Rady: Todd, I think Steve has answered that question. And I'd just like to add an element of uncertainty. The only certain thing that I'm sure of is that we will do as well as anybody and he'll be pleased with the outcome given the circumstances we're operating in because there's so much uncertainty. But they're great properties. We're positioning them well and Steve is doing a great job.
Steve Center: Todd, you're right. Completion of renovations and amenities leasing accelerates. There's no question. It's tough for people that aren't in real estate to envision what it will be. And so until they can experience it first-hand, and again I mentioned a CEO that just toured Eastgate and it's near completion, and he was blown away by it. He said this is fantastic. And so as I said he eliminated the competition except for the renewal. La Jolla Commons III, I went into detail about the various amenities there. Once those are in, it just creates a different level of activity at the asset and leasing accelerates. That being said activity is picking up there as well. And then one of the suburban assets Corporate Campus East III, which we're now calling Timber Ridge, we've got two pending deals there that if we're successful we'll be 97.5% leased. Then I've got Bel-Spring which is relatively small that's now Timber Springs. It's 93,000 feet and we're in discussions with -- preliminary discussions with a local hospital that is paying medical office premium rents for administrative office space. We've got a full floor plus available. And if that were to come to fruition, that would stabilize that asset as well. So, then it leaves you the heavy lift at Eastgate which we -- that's a major renovation and it's near completion and it's showing beautifully now. And then Tower 3 we're confident in our prospects there. So -- and then we even mentioned One Beach tour activities up and we've got a couple of prospects we're talking to. So, I'm encouraged going into 2025.
Ernest Rady: The location of each of these properties is as good as it gets. Eastgate 3 is just off the freeway and it's like in the middle of park. So, that has all the amenities. La Jolla Commons III is now in effect at the commercial -- in the commercial center of San Diego. So, we've got the location we've got the properties. The management is excellent and the opportunities are there to take advantage of.
Todd Thomas: Okay. And for La Jolla Phase III, Steve, so what's the percent leased today? It sounded like another deal was signed in October after the quarter ended. You talked about the pipeline a little bit. What's leased? And when will we start to see cash rent commence at that asset?
Steve Center: We're currently 21% -- the PTC (NASDAQ:PTC) has already commenced. The 4,000 footer I mentioned will commence early next year. The third floor tenant commences probably in August -- September at the latest. We've got -- we just responded to the RFP I mentioned for 16,000 feet. That would commence as soon as possible. There's really a desire to accelerate that. So that could commence as early as June or July of next year if we can get through the city. And that deal they're solely focused on us. It's just can we put it together. So, with that RFP that we just responded to it'd be 28.5%. And then we've got numerous 15,000 footers that have toured or are touring. And I mentioned, it's predominantly a less than full floor tenant market right now. So, we're proactively -- we've already designed and we're now going to CDs on the fourth floor with spec suites ranging from 3,500 to 7,000 feet four suites. And there's good traction in that segment.
Todd Thomas: Okay, that's helpful. And then lastly Bob so you walked us back to $2.24 per share from the revised 2024 midpoint excluding the one-timers this year. You talked about some of the interest expense headwinds and some other moving pieces some of the move-outs. Does the $0.30 of upside begin to have an impact? And do you expect to be able to grow off the $2.24? Or could 2025 be lower with a sharper ramp-up in 2026 and 2027 from all of this upside materializing a little bit later on?
Bob Barton: Yes, I wish -- it's just too early to give you the other insight on that. A few months from now we'll give you that guidance in 2025. There's still things happening. I mean positive but there's -- numbers are up and down and I'd prefer to just give you the guidance all at once for 2025 in Q4, if that's all right.
Todd Thomas: All right. Thank you.
Operator: And our next question comes from Ronald Kamdem with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Adam Wyll: Good morning.
Q – Unidentified Analyst: Hi, guys. This is Matt Lichtman [ph] on for Ron. And thanks for taking the time this morning. I was just wondering, if you guys could talk through the dynamics at play, with the comparable cash blended leasing spreads, particularly in office and retail for this quarter. And I guess just a little bit about, how we should be thinking about that as we go into 2025. Thanks.
Adam Wyll: You want to handle that Bob. You want to hit this Steve [indiscernible] he is asking for retail and…
Steve Center: It's interesting. I saw some comment about reading a trend into this quarter versus last in terms of spreads. It varies -- if you look back at the last four quarters, it varies quarter-by-quarter every deal, impacts it differently. The best news is it continues to be positive. We're not going backwards, at this point, we haven't. So we continue to move ahead. And -- but I see continued along the same lines as we have been in the last four quarters, which is positive. And you saw one quarter it was 22%, another quarter it's 4%, another it's 8%. It just depends on the deals we're talking about.
Bob Barton: And Matt on the retail side, we -- since coming out of COVID, we've been trending positively on a cash and GAAP basis for those retail leasing spreads. We would assume and expect those to continue to trend positively going forward. Obviously, we got to see what's going on in the economy and post-election and whatnot. But everything seems to be trending well, because our portfolio is so well leased on the retail side, not anticipating any negative movement and particularly with inflation, driving costs up and rents up we would imagine that being a tailwind to us moving forward in all of our new lease deals.
Bob Barton: Yes. And the differential between the cash and the GAAP, as you well know, would be the abatement on the front end of a retail. So, that all gets spread out. And it's actually one of the drivers that we see in the differential between the cash and the office. And that's why the office has continued to outperform, throughout the last several quarters.
Q – Unidentified Analyst: Got it. Thank you, guys.
Bob Barton: Thank you.
Ernest Rady: I think to sum it up, we have very good locations. We don't leave money on the table. We deliver everything we say, we're going to deliver. And I think that the tenant world and the leasing world take that into account.
Operator: Thank you. And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. We thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines and have a wonderful day.
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