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FOREX-Sterling falls on election uncertainty, traders eye EU meeting on Friday

Published 25/10/2019, 01:18
© Reuters.  FOREX-Sterling falls on election uncertainty, traders eye EU meeting on Friday
DXY
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Brexit twists and turns confound investors

* Euro steady before Ifo survey

* Dollar/Yen eyes Fed, BOJ meetings next week

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Oct 25 (Reuters) - The British pound fell on Friday

versus the dollar and the euro after Prime Minister Boris

Johnson's call for an election cast yet more uncertainty over

Britain's divorce from the European Union.

Sentiment for sterling is likely to remain fragile ahead of

a meeting later on Friday where European Union officials may

decide how long they will extend Britain's deadline to leave the

EU beyond the current date of Oct. 31. At this stage, an election looks unlikely because the main

opposition Labour Party has withheld its support and other

opposition parties have rejected the offer. However, the twists and turns of the Brexit process have

proved too complex to predict, which is likely to discourage

some investors from taking on excessive risk before the EU

agrees a new deadline for the UK's departure from the bloc.

"We're constructive on sterling in the mid-term, because we

don't see a high chance for a general election," said Osamu

Takashima, head of G10 FX strategy at Citigroup Global Markets

Japan in Tokyo.

"My personal concern is once political uncertainty lifts,

people will focus more on the UK's economy, which is weakening.

This could be a negative for sterling."

The pound GBP=D3 fell 0.14% to $1.2841 in Asia on Friday.

For the week, sterling was on course for a 1.18% decline versus

the greenback, its biggest weekly decline since Sept. 27.

Sterling fell 0.1% to 86.49 pence per euro EURGBP=D3 , on

course for a 0.45% weekly decline.

Opposition Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn said he would wait to

see what the EU decides on a Brexit delay before deciding on a

general election.

However, Corbyn also repeated he could only back an election

when the risk of Johnson taking Britain out of the EU without a

deal to smooth the transition was off the table.

The euro EUR=EBS held steady at $1.1103 in Asia on Friday,

on course for a 0.62% weekly decline.

The Ifo economic institute's closely-watched measure of

German business sentiment due later on Friday is expected to

weaken slightly in October, highlighting fears that Europe's

largest economy is slipping into recession due to the U.S.-China

trade war and Brexit.

The European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged on

Thursday after unveiling a big stimulus package last month, but

there are concerns the ECB's firepower has largely been spent.

The dollar index .DXY against a basket of six major

currencies was little changed at 97.688 but up 0.42% on the

week. The U.S. currency held steady at 108.61 yen JPY=EBS , on

course for a 0.18% weekly advance.

The focus shifts next week to a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting

ending Oct. 30 and a Bank of Japan meeting ending Oct. 31.

The Fed is expected to cut interest rates for a third time

this year, but fixed income analysts say this is largely priced

into the market. The BOJ is leaning toward keeping policy on hold next week,

but the decision is a close call as policymakers struggle with

the fallout from the U.S.-China trade war.

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