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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks rally after last week's rout on central bank policy hopes

Published 02/03/2020, 18:44
Updated 02/03/2020, 18:46
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks rally after last week's rout on central bank policy hopes
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(Adds U.S. market open, byline, dateline; previous LONDON)

* Stocks rally worldwide after worst week since 2008

* U.S. Treasury yields slide toward 1%

* BOJ, BoE make soothing noises

* Oil higher on signals of supply cuts from OPEC

By Marc Jones and Herbert Lash

LONDON/NEW YORK, March 2 (Reuters) - Equity markets around

the world surged on Monday as the prospect for central banks

cutting interest rates to soften the economic blow of the

coronavirus heartened investors and drove U.S. government debt

yields to record lows.

Global factories took a beating in February from the

coronavirus, with activity in China shrinking at a record pace,

surveys showed, raising the prospect of a coordinated policy

response by central banks to prevent a global recession.

The dollar slipped to a fresh one-month low against a basket

of currencies after the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan and Bank

of England all indicated a willingness to take action to

confront the economic fallout from the coronavirus.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell

to an all-time low of 1.03% while the 10-year German bund

DE10YT=RR , the benchmark for euro zone lending, slid to a

six-month low of -0.67%.

Oil prices jumped more than 4%, reversing an early decline

to multi-year lows, as hopes of a deeper output cut by the

Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and central

banks' policy measures countered fears of slower growth.

"There's a growing sense that we're going to see coordinated

action by global central banks to try to offset the slowdown

from the coronavirus," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price

Futures Group.

Equity markets around the world rose after suffering their

worst plunge last week since the depths of the 2008 financial

crisis.

Asian markets initially fell after China reported a record

slump in factory activity but the region rallied to finish

higher. MSCI's broadest index of world shares .MIWD00000PUS rose

for the first time in eight sessions. The index gained 1.87% and

emerging market stocks rose 1.08%.

In Europe, the broad STOXX 600 index .STOXX rose 0.09% and

stocks on Wall Street rallied more than 2%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 647.28 points,

or 2.55%, to 26,056.64. The S&P 500 .SPX gained 68.91 points,

or 2.33%, to 3,023.13 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added

196.66 points, or 2.3%, to 8,764.03.

The scale of losses last week - almost $6 trillion was wiped

off world stocks - led financial markets to price in policy

responses from almost every major central bank.

Fed funds futures now imply a full 50 basis point cut by the

Fed at its March 17-18 meeting 0#FF: .

The disruption to global supply chains, factory output and

global travel caused by the coronavirus has worsened the outlook

for a world economy already struggling with the fallout of the

U.S.-China trade war.

In Paris, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and

Development (OECD) warned the outbreak could cause the worst

global downturn since the financial crisis. In a bleak scenario,

growth could drop to just 1.5%. The OECD's outlook and the likelihood for slower growth has

investors and market analysts worried the worst is yet to come.

"Nobody knows how this is going to play out," said Ed

Clissold, chief U.S. strategist at Ned Davis Research.

"There are going to be some nasty headlines in the next few

weeks about people in various countries, including the United

States, getting coronavirus," he said.

Companies will issue profit warnings and some economic data

will look scary, Clissold said, suggesting the market has not

found a bottom yet.

Ned Davis examined previous global health scares since 2002,

which registered a far lower gauge of investor sentiment, he

said. An average reading was about 13, and the coronavirus

reading is only 27, he said.

The epidemic, which began in the Chinese province of Hubei,

has killed 3,000 people worldwide as authorities race to contain

infections in Japan, Iran, Italy, South Korea and the United

States.

Gold rose after last week suffering its largest daily fall

in nearly seven years.

Spot gold prices XAU= rose $15.0679 or 0.95 percent, to

$1,599.81 an ounce.

Brent crude LCOc1 futures rose $2.37 to $52.04 a barrel.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 futures rose

$2.08 to $46.84 a barrel.

The dollar index =USD fell 0.759%, with the euro EUR= up

1.37% to $1.1176.

The Japanese yen JPY strengthened 0.21% versus the

greenback at 107.88 per dollar.

Benchmark 10-year notes US10YT=RR last rose 14/32 in price

to yield 1.0816%.

World markets performance https://tmsnrt.rs/37RShMa

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