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Investing.com -- Goldman Sachs has downgraded Moncler SpA (BIT:MONC) to “neutral,” citing deceleration in retail traffic and a challenging outlook for the second half of the year.
Analyst Louise Singlehurst said that although Moncler’s long-term growth prospects remain intact, near-term momentum is weakening.
The downgrade follows signs of broader softness in the luxury retail sector, particularly in consumer traffic.
Singlehurst flagged that Moncler’s performance in the second half of 2025 will likely be hampered by tough year-over-year comparisons.
In the same period last year, the company saw double-digit growth in mainland China, supported by the Moncler Genius event.
Goldman Sachs now forecasts Moncler’s earnings before interest and taxes to grow at a compound annual growth rate of +2% between 2024 and 2027, down from the previous estimate of +5%.
For the second quarter of 2025, the brokerage’s Moncler brand revenue forecast is 8% below consensus.
Retail revenues are expected to decline 4% in the quarter, according to the revised estimates.
Despite the lowered outlook, valuation remains in line with historical averages. On updated projections, Moncler is trading at 21x 2026 price-to-earnings, matching the company’s 10-year average excluding the COVID-19 period.
Singlehurst reiterated that the structural growth narrative for Moncler is unchanged but said the stock currently lacks a clear catalyst for outperformance.