Moody’s upgrades ASML’s rating to A1 on strong market position

Published 03/11/2025, 18:40
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Investing.com -- Moody’s Ratings has upgraded ASML Holding N.V.’s senior unsecured ratings to A1 from A2 while maintaining a stable outlook, the ratings agency announced Monday.

The upgrade reflects ASML’s unique position in the global semiconductor equipment industry, supported by its technological leadership and strong demand fundamentals. Moody’s affirmed the company’s P-1 short-term issuer rating and the P-1 short-term rating of its €1.5 billion commercial paper program.

ASML holds a monopoly in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems, which are essential for manufacturing advanced logic and memory chips used in data centers, mobile devices, and autonomous driving applications. The company’s ongoing rollout of High Numerical Aperture EUV systems is expected to further extend its technological leadership.

Demand for ASML’s products remains robust, driven by trends in artificial intelligence, industrial automation, and automotive applications. The company reported a revenue growth CAGR of 17% and Moody’s-adjusted EBITDA growth CAGR of 21% over the 2014-2024 period.

Moody’s expects ASML’s revenues to reach €32.5 billion in 2025, representing 15% year-on-year growth, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 39%. Revenue growth is anticipated to slow in 2026 as sales to China normalize to historical averages.

As of September 2025, ASML reported €5.1 billion in cash and liquid investments, with Moody’s-adjusted total debt to EBITDA of approximately 0.6x expected at year-end 2025.

Key risks for ASML include demand volatility, customer concentration, and geopolitical factors such as trade restrictions. In 2024, 30.5% of the company’s total net sales were made to its two largest customers. While ASML is restricted from selling its EUV tools to China, the country remains an important market for trailing-edge equipment, accounting for around 30% of ASML’s systems sales in the twelve months ended September 2025.

The stable outlook reflects Moody’s expectation that ASML will maintain its strong market position and financial discipline through industry cycles.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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