On Friday, Morgan Stanley maintained its Equalweight rating and $71.00 price target for Marvell (NASDAQ:MRVL) Technology Group Ltd (NASDAQ:MRVL). The firm's analysis followed Marvell's recent analyst day where the company highlighted its growth trajectory in artificial intelligence (AI) applications within networking and custom computing sectors. Marvell anticipates its AI revenue to climb from $550 million in calendar year 2023 to over $1.5 billion in 2024, and further to $2.5 billion in 2025.
The company's focus on AI revenue growth aligns with its broader strategy in data center and accelerated compute markets, although these projections did not surpass the previously issued guidance. The guidance included an $800 million run rate exiting the current year for ASIC and $800 million in optical revenue by calendar year 2024.
Morgan Stanley's model for Marvell's data center growth is consistent with these figures, forecasting a $2.6 million increase from 2023 to 2025, with AI expected to drive nearly all this growth.
Despite the alignment of Marvell's targets with existing guidance, Morgan Stanley sees potential for the company to outperform. Marvell's leading position in optical interconnect technology, particularly as the leader in PAM4 DSPs, and its expanding presence in the custom silicon market, were underscored as key factors that could contribute to revenue growth beyond the firm's current projections.
Marvell's strategy indicates a strong focus on leveraging its technological strengths to capture a significant share of the AI market in the coming years. The company's commitment to growth in this area is evident from its revenue forecasts, which suggest a nearly fivefold increase over two years.
In summary, while Marvell's financial targets for AI revenue growth align with Morgan Stanley's existing data center forecasts, the company's strong positioning in certain key technology areas presents performance opportunities that could exceed expectations.
InvestingPro Insights
Marvell Technology Group Ltd (NASDAQ:MRVL) is navigating a dynamic market landscape with a strategic focus on AI applications. As investors consider Morgan Stanley's analysis, real-time data from InvestingPro provides further insight. Marvell's market capitalization stands robust at $61.94 billion, reflecting investor confidence. Despite a negative P/E ratio of -65.81, the company's revenue growth in the most recent quarter was positive at 0.56%, indicating potential for future profitability as suggested by the InvestingPro Tips. Moreover, Marvell's commitment to dividend payments, having maintained them for 13 consecutive years, demonstrates a dedication to returning value to shareholders.
The InvestingPro Tips highlight that while Marvell is not profitable over the last twelve months, analysts predict the company will turn profitable this year, aligning with Marvell's own revenue growth projections. Additionally, the company's significant price uptick over the last six months of 31.81% and an impressive one-year total return of 82.52% underscore the market's response to Marvell's strategic initiatives.
For readers looking to delve deeper into Marvell's financials and future prospects, there are more than 11 additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed at: https://www.investing.com/pro/MRVL. To enhance your investing toolkit, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.
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