Earnings call transcript: Barry Callebaut sees revenue surge despite volume dip in Q3 2025

Barry Callebaut, a leading global chocolate and cocoa product manufacturer with a market capitalization of $6 billion, reported a significant increase in revenue for the third quarter of 2025, driven by substantial price increases. However, the company faced a decline in sales volume, with chocolate and cocoa volumes dropping by 5.1% and 11.3%, respectively. Despite these challenges, Barry Callebaut remains optimistic about its strategic initiatives and future growth prospects. According to InvestingPro analysis, the company appears undervalued based on its Fair Value calculation, suggesting potential upside for investors. The company’s low beta of 0.23 indicates relatively stable stock performance compared to the broader market.

Key Takeaways

• Revenue surged nearly 57% due to price hikes.
• Sales volume decreased by 6.3% over nine months.
• The company anticipates a mid-single-digit volume decline for the full year.
• Barry Callebaut is focusing on sustainable chocolate innovation and operational transformation.
• Cocoa prices have risen 43% year-to-date, adding pressure to the market.

Company Performance

Barry Callebaut’s performance in the third quarter of 2025 was marked by a stark contrast between revenue growth and volume decline. The company managed to increase its revenue by nearly 57% despite a 6.3% decrease in sales volume over the nine-month period. This revenue growth was primarily due to strategic price increases, which covered 63% of cocoa price hikes year-to-date. InvestingPro data shows impressive last-twelve-month revenue growth of 45.87%, with a healthy current ratio of 1.45 indicating strong short-term liquidity. The company is navigating a challenging environment, with consumer demand showing resilience compared to other food categories.

Financial Highlights

• Revenue: Increased by nearly 57% year-over-year.
• Sales Volume: Decreased by 6.3% over nine months.
• Global Chocolate Volume: Down 5.1%.
• Global Cocoa Volume: Down 11.3%.

Outlook & Guidance

Barry Callebaut has revised its outlook, expecting a 7% decrease in group volume. However, the company anticipates a mid to high single-digit increase in recurring EBIT in local currency. The focus remains on deleveraging to reduce net debt from 6.5x to 3.5x EBITDA. The company is also implementing strategies to cut down working capital and financing costs. For income-focused investors, InvestingPro notes an attractive dividend yield of 3.04%. Get access to detailed financial health scores, extensive metrics, and expert analysis through InvestingPro’s comprehensive research reports, available for over 1,400 stocks including Barry Callebaut.

Executive Commentary

Peter Feld, CEO of Barry Callebaut, emphasized the company’s commitment to innovation and growth despite current challenges. "We play to win," Feld stated, highlighting the company’s strategic focus on sustainable profitable growth. He also remarked, "Crisis usually triggers innovation, and that’s good for Barry Callebaut," reflecting the company’s proactive approach to navigating market volatility.

Risks and Challenges

• Cocoa Market Volatility: With cocoa prices up 43% year-to-date, pricing pressures remain a significant concern.
• Volume Decline: The anticipated mid-single-digit decrease in sales volume could impact future revenue.
• Competitive Pressures: Intense competition in regions like Turkey poses challenges.
• Market Dynamics: Destocking and customer behavior adjustments add complexity to market operations.
• Regional Challenges: The Greater China region continues to present a challenging environment.

Q&A

During the earnings call, analysts questioned the company’s ability to pass through pricing increases and maintain market share. Concerns were raised about volume performance variations and market share data. Executives assured investors of the company’s ample liquidity and confirmed no immediate need for additional financing.

Barry Callebaut’s strategic focus on innovation and transformation, coupled with its ability to navigate pricing pressures, positions it well for sustainable growth despite current market challenges.

Full transcript - Barry Callebaut AG (BARN) Q3 2025:

Conference Operator: I will now hand you over to your host, Sophie Lan, the Head of Investor Relations to begin. Please go ahead.

Sophie Lan, Head of Investor Relations, Barry Callebaut: Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Barry Callebaut’s nine month key sales figures conference call for twenty twenty four-twenty twenty five. I’m Sophie Lai, Head of Investor Relations, and today’s meeting will be hosted by our CEO, Peter Feld and our CFO, Peter Van Aster. As usual, at the end of our presentation, we’ll have a short Q and A session for analysts and investors. I’d like to remind you that today’s session is focused on our volume and sales update, and we’ll keep the Q and A session focused on discussion of those key figures.

Before we get started, please take note of the disclaimer on Slide two, and I would also like to remind you that the webcast and conference call are being recorded. With that, I will hand you over to our CEO, Peter Feld.

Peter Feld, CEO, Barry Callebaut: Thank you very much, Sophie, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us for our nine months results presentation. We are all aware of the challenging environment of the past eighteen months. The cacao market continues to experience historic volatility. These unprecedented conditions have become the new normal and have fundamentally impacted the entire industry and value chain.

Despite all of this, Barry Callebaut is holding up well and remains healthy. And we continue progressing our next level transformation. Let me emphasize this once again, we play to win. We are leveraging our cost plus pricing model. We have successfully priced through the cocoa price increases to our customers much faster than the market can absorb at retail with a 63% price increase year to date and significantly increased with that revenues by nearly 57%.

Additionally, our strategic decision to prioritize higher return segments in cacao and chocolate speaks to our mission to deliver the world’s best chocolate solutions as well as our financial ambition to deliver sustainable profitable growth. Although the market disruption led to a volume development of minus 5% year to date for chocolate and due to changes in strategic priority for Cacao, a group volume of minus 6%. This is mainly driven by the B2B headwinds as customers slow their buying, ordering and, importantly, call offs. This has led to an unexpected overswing reaction in demand in addition to our strategic choices for Cacao. These developments underscore the importance of BC Next Level, where we are delivering ahead of plan.

Through BC Next Level, we are building the capabilities that are needed to succeed in this environment, becoming more agile, scaling for better and faster, and operating with a leaner cost base. At the same time, we’re strengthening our financial model, and we’ve already started to take concrete actions to reduce our leverage and insulate our business model from these bean price spikes, setting us up well for future growth. In summary, iCaribault is resilient, we’re building for the future, and our transformation is gaining momentum even in these challenging times. We are laser focused on unlocking sustainable profitable growth for our next decade to drive higher returns and position Maricatabal as an even stronger leader. Let me start with a few highlights on the cacao market.

The price backdrop remains elevated and is highly volatile, increasing 43% in year to date periods. Back in May, we saw yet another spike. But relevant to note, the futures market has self corrected several times now as it is forced to reconnect with the reality of the supply situation. From a supply perspective, the expectation for a slight surplus in the past halved remains. Going forward, we’re seeing encouraging cacao productivity improvements, but it will take time to see the benefits here.

In the short term, we believe the higher farm gate prices in agricose will help the outlook here. This market volatility creates ripple effects that our whole industry is adapting to. We operate in a very attractive part of the value chain, but it also leads to an amplification of these ripple effects in the short term. As customers adjust behavior at the same time, consumers are getting used to higher prices. Our cost plus model enables us to price through in near real time the volatility of the terminal market.

You can see we have been successfully passing along these higher prices with revenue moving up in lockstep with bean prices. Down the value chain, our customers must negotiate with retail partners without perfect visibility into how the cacao price will develop further or how consumers will respond. As a consequence, they must make assumptions and take actions in anticipation of consumer reaction that they continuously adapt, which then again has an impact on us further up the value chain. Ultimately, Nielsen is just a lagging indicator reflecting the consumer customer reaction of the terminal market price. What we can see now is that Nielsen is reflecting the cocoa price spikes.

While significantly higher bean prices will, of course, create a short term market demand impact, we can see the category remains very resilient compared to other food and beverage categories. As we look beyond the top line figures to our strategic growth pillars, there are several things that I would like to highlight. First, we continue to deepen our outsourcing partnerships with customers. The pipeline of opportunities continues to grow, and we can see that especially in this volatile environment. My conversations with CEOs continue to reinforce this opportunity.

Second, Gourmet was impacted this quarter by a high comparison base but continues to show strong resilience. We have delivered strong growth in EMEA and Latin America while continuing to reshape the way we go to market, including digital route to market showing very promising signs. Third, specialties is creating the intended positive mix effects with positive growth with end customers, which is capitalizing on the demand for products that appeal to consumers in the context of higher bean prices, particularly in categories like ice cream and biscuit. Fourth, in Asia, we’ve launched our Nunim Rammer factory in India to take advantage of the growth opportunity in that market. We are scaling up our compound center of excellence in Singapore.

And here, we have signed a strategic collaboration in the region to accelerate sustainable chocolate innovation geared to the consumers in this region. All discussed changes in market dynamics underpin the rationale for our next level investment program. The organization in Barre Calibre continues making very solid progress to improve our capabilities to deliver better customer experience by being closer to markets while simplifying and digitizing Barry Callebaut. We made progress scaling our new operating model for our product supply environment with BCOS and continue to develop best in class food safety capabilities. Our new GBS network is well underway with 93% of knowledge transfers completed to date.

We are rolling out various new digital tools that will deepen the partnerships with our customers and also enable us internally in Barecaderovault to operate faster and far more effective. And last but not least, we’re seeing nice acceleration in bringing our organization along in Barry Callebaut with results of our last culture survey significantly up versus just six months ago. So with that, let me hand over to Peter.

Peter Van Aster, CFO, Barry Callebaut: Thank you, Peter, and good morning, everyone. Let me dive in our volume performance in a bit more detail now. Sales volume has been down 6.3% in the nine months and 9.5% in quarter three. Now within this, it is important to distinguish between Global Chocolate, which decreased by 5.1% in the nine months, 6.2% in the quarter, and global cocoa, which was at 11.3% in the nine months, down and 22.6% down in the quarter. Now starting with chocolate.

Food manufacturers have remained under pressure with 5.8% volume decrease, driven from the challenging pricing environment and amplified by The US tariff uncertainty as we talked about. Still, performance improved sequentially in Q3 versus Q2. Gourmet also decreased, yet was more resilient at minus 1.7% led by EMEA and Latin America.

: The q

Peter Van Aster, CFO, Barry Callebaut: three volume in Gourmet was impacted by the high base of comparison last year, and we also see an increased inter quarter volatility given given the specific timing of the price list increases. So a softer q three after a stronger q two. In global cocoa, we saw a significant decline in our third party sales as we made intentional decisions to prioritize chocolate supply in a supply constrained market and to focus on the more profitable segments within cocoa. The business also saw significantly lower market demand, especially in areas like EMEA and CEE, impacted by the high pricing and given the more commoditized nature of this part of the business. Moving now to the chocolate regions.

Volume development in Western Europe was heavily impacted by customer behavior that Peter also talked about in reaction to the higher prices, like supply phasing, destocking, price pack price pack architecture. The effect of the SKU rationalization also played a role over the whole year in Western Europe, specifically also in Gourmet. In Central And Eastern Europe, we saw negative growth as the market with lower volumes for several large regional and food and local food manufacturer customers, triggered again here by the price increases. But also an intensified competitive environment, especially in Turkey. In North America, volume remains impacted by temporary volume pressure triggered by pricing for the large food manufacturers, the ongoing efforts to fully ramp up customers in Toluca, Mexico after a quality intervention we had there.

And in the third quarter, North American volumes further deteriorated as the challenging U. S. Tariff environment created customer uncertainty. Latin America continued to see strong volume growth. Brazil was the key contributor to growth with a particularly strong momentum in gourmet and compound products.

And finally, in Asia and Middle Asia, Middle East and Africa, volume growth was positive, but much stronger when we exclude Greater China where we and the rest of the industry continues to be very challenged by the overall economic slowdown. Now we’re working with a lot of focus on our action plan to deleverage from 6.5 times net debt over recurring EBITDA that we reported at half year one results to a level of 3.5 times. The plan is focused on three areas. It’s first, reducing our net working capital cycle, especially on inventory. Inventory is where we see the biggest impact of the bean price and the debt step up that we have seen.

And in this area, we’ve also made most progress so far with the end to end value chain projects and views that we are working on to improve demand planning, reduce inventory levels. But next to that, we’re also further leveraging our flex blending capabilities. We’re diversifying into Origins with shorter cash cycles and also further assessing the contracting flexibility that we have over that. Second area is obviously on increasing EBITDA, and here also particularly pricing for the higher financing costs that we are carrying. In some of those segments, have already increased prices to cover this and continue to monitor our competitiveness on that closely.

We also have task forces in place with some of our largest customers on how we can jointly avoid certain costs for the industry by adjusting practices across both of our value chains. And obviously, we continue to focus on delivering next level, the next level cost savings agenda. And thirdly, initiatives around the funding mix and structure, so how we finance it. So one area is evaluating instruments that are less cash consuming in those peak beam moments. You’ve seen in the charts before those high peak volatility and with high peaks leveraging instruments that are less cash consuming in those areas are certainly going to help to reduce our financing cost.

We’re also making more use of inventory linked financing solutions to reduce the dependency on this immediate fluctuations. And also on that front and across the different levers, we are making good progress. Discussions are ongoing and we will be sharing more with you at a later stage when we report more specifically also outlooks at the end of the year. Overall, we expect to take around twelve to eighteen months to see the full impact from all of these deleveraging actions. Some are fast, some are a bit slower, but we do expect the first good step already at the end of this fiscal year.

And on that note,

Peter Feld, CEO, Barry Callebaut: I will hand back to Peter to share the outlook and to conclude. Thank you, Peter. So with the recent swings driven by unparalleled market volatility that we’ve just talked about in our internal decisions for cacao, we’re revising our twenty fourtwenty five outlook to mid single digit volume decrease in Cacao and double digit decrease in Cocoa, with the results overall in minus 7% volume decrease for the group. And with EBIT recurring expected to see a mid- to high single digit increase in local currency. So let me just sum up.

As the entire industry is decisive actions to enhance resilience and agility. One, in pricing, leveraging our cost plus model. Second, with our clear focus on our four key strategic pillars, outsourcing, Gourmet, specialties and Asia and importantly, creating better customer experience and enhancing agility, scalability and cost efficiency. We are confident and continue implementing the right steps to build a stronger, more resilient barricade ball for our customers, our employees and our shareholders, especially in this new environment. Thank you very much, and handing back to the operator.

Conference Operator: Thank you. We have our first question from Ed Hawken from JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Ed Hawken, Analyst, JPMorgan: Hello all. Thank you very much for taking my questions. My questions are both actually on pricing, please. So number one, pricing in the short term. Obviously, in H1, the pricing that you took was not able to fully compensate for your higher net financials costs.

I think it was about 50% coverage, if I remember correctly. Can you comment on how that pricing coverage has evolved in Q3, please? And my second question, more kind of mid to long run, is on your action plan for the next twelve to eighteen months. I see the wording looks to have slightly changed since H1. And at H1, the number one topic was pricing for the higher cost of capital requirements and adjusting the cost plus model.

I’m wondering, please, can you elaborate on how those discussions with your customers are going? Are you seeing much in the way of pushback? And when we might start to see that adjustment to the cost pass through model coming through?

Peter Feld, CEO, Barry Callebaut: Yes. Thanks for your question. Let me start, and then maybe Peter can take the second part of your question. So indeed, I mean, in Q1, obviously, with this, how do you say that, extremely strong slope or increase in bean prices in the November period, you know, we obviously already in q one priced through very significantly at that point in time. I think we said that in h one, we priced about 3,000,000,000 or 3,100,000,000.0, which is pretty unseen in the industry.

But indeed, as you said, there were a few delays, especially in long term contracts, where we’re bound to long term agreements with customers. Since then, we’ve made strong progress, and Dieter talked about it before, both in working with our customers, how we can reduce jointly the cash cycle. But secondly, you know, we’re obviously tailoring, you know, and and going further in making sure that, you know, we drive our cost plus model into the market. Technically, as you may know, we have three ways we go to market. We have partnership agreements, which are long term contracts that are literally going in real time in pricing unless there’s additional cost cash cycle discussions happening.

Secondly, in the closed book arena, which is mainly for the FM customers and then certainly in Bombay. In Bombay, you have technical delays simply because we’re legally bound to certain periods of preannouncements such as, for example, in France, where it just takes some time to implement pricing into the market. I think as you’ve seen in the second or third slide that I was sharing, we have really ramped up very significantly and, as I had called it, price through in near real time into the market to a significant level of 63% year to date, which is quite amazing when you think about it. Peter, maybe you’ll take the second part.

Peter Van Aster, CFO, Barry Callebaut: Yes. I make the bridge I’m making the bridge from from your first question to the second one. Of course, we’re working both on, you know, regarding to those finance costs and those extra costs that we carry in the disruption. We’re we’re working both we’re working both on the pricing as on avoiding some of those costs. So those are the areas, and and this is also what we what I had to explain in this one page, and I heard you refer back to the to the H1 communication we had on that.

Essentially, it’s the same levers. It’s the the the admittedly, they’re they’re a little bit differently structured this time around. But let me elaborate a bit on that and and give you a bit of a a state. But they’re the same levers. They, of course, they evolve.

Some of them, we see more potential. Some of them, we we face a bit, but we have not lost traction or belief since half year one. We’re just being more specific and making progress. So, you know, we we do have those end to end value chain projects in place. Right?

When do we buy the beans? How fast in advance? Which kind of cost can we avoid by buying later? What are consequences on the on the way we produce on the value chain with that? So and and to what extent, of course, that also helps to reduce the inventory levels, Including origins, you know, which origins do we buy beans from?

Because some origins have lower cycles than others. We can we we we can be flexible around that. Our flex blending capabilities are being stepped up so we can get to same and strong quality results with different bean sources. We’re assessing the flexibility and that, of course, we do together with customers, flexibility that we allow and have in our contracts in terms when customers take off. Customers have challenges, obviously, for themselves as well in the market, so they need to have some flexibility.

Of course, there’s flexibility in this disruptive market might have a cost, so we’re working on that. We’re obviously pushing our internal program. I didn’t I didn’t emphasize this in this time around in the communication, but we have our internal cash is king program where based on strong reporting KPIs, we work on the different levers of the cash conversion cycle, inventory, payables and then and receivables. So that’s one area. The other area, of course, is EBITDA.

Pricing comes in, as Peter talked about, not just the the straight bean pricing, but also pricing through carry costs, switch costs, all the costs that are related to operating in this volatile environment. Also there, we have task forces in place with key customers to see how we can either price or avoid some of those things, which is more of a win win even than pricing it through. And then there’s the other levers, of course, on the cost savings side, which is the next level agenda of cost savings. And next to that, next to the next level also cycling out gradually some of those extra costs that we are carrying that also impacted h one, that we’re carrying in a disrupted market. Think about pricing, the frequency that we stepped up, which to some extent still is manual.

The the shifts of the bean origins create some complexity in our factory network. So all these things we’re working on to reduce that, which will also step up our our our EBITDA and therefore also reduce our leverage. And then the third element, I’m not going to repeat it, I said it into the presentation, is more around the financing and the funding, inventory based solutions, all the types of financing that are less susceptible immediately to short term fluctuations in the bean price. I hope that answers your question.

Conference Operator: Thank you. We have our next question from Johan Evertz from UBS. Please go ahead.

Johan Evertz, Analyst, UBS: Thank you for taking my questions and good morning. The first question would be, please, on the volume outlook. I mean, you mentioned there’s some temporary insourcing happening, some SKU rationalizations on the customer side. And also in Kokura, you’re focusing more on higher margin products. I mean, for how long do you think these things outside of the consumer price elasticity will impact your volumes?

Or in other words, when roughly do you expect volumes to turn to positive territory again? That would be the first question. And the second question, please, on the competitive environment. You mentioned in Turkey, it’s quite competitive. Do you observe some customers not fully priced, rising financing costs, etcetera?

Is there some irrational pricing happening? And also at the Evonikos, it seems the government is increasingly partnering up with Chinese players to invest in grinding capacities. Do you expect this to impact your business? Yes, this will be the second question, please.

Peter Feld, CEO, Barry Callebaut: Yes. Thank you, Johan. Just let me answer the questions quickly. So on volume outlook, look, I think the main things that I would point to is really the market volatility and disruption that we’ve seen in the last eighteen months, combined with the obviously, North America with as Peter was mentioning, with the disruption we saw with the new administration taking measures on on tax and tariffs. And then our internal decision on Kakao in line with our, you know, focus on cash, you know, that that obviously is paramount.

So, you know, the way that we see that is that and and you see me pivoting far more to, you know, really making sure that, you know, we look at the chocolatey solutions going forward, which really is the essence and the purpose for the company. And so, you know, with that, we will, you know I believe that we will see less volatile pricing, but at a higher level, as we have said before. And I do think we can see that in the latest spike that went far less up than than than before. But I must say that we, you know, we’ll continue to be in a in a in a volatile environment, needless to say, going forward. I think for us, internally, we’re having far more end to end discussions about cacao into chocolate and how we actually really drive that synchronization of activities that we have in chocolate for cacao far more effectively, far more efficient as Peter was also outlining with the different bean blends and the mechanisms that we put in place.

So that’s to the first part. In a competitive environment on Turkey, you know, I think that there’s a there’s this quiet market where we have been cautious in the past given the the the currency volatility that that was in Turkey. Hence, we, you know, have a strong program in place locally. We have literally, you know, developed our business very nicely, but at a lower market share level than in comparison to the rest of Europe, simply by the fact that we’ve been cautious on investing in Turkey versus the current currency and devaluation that was going on some years ago. So so that’s a little bit the situation.

There is local competitors, which in turn then obviously operate locally, and that’s creating the the competitive environment that we see in Turkey.

Johan Evertz, Analyst, UBS: Okay. Thanks. And the Chinese partnering up with the government in their worry code is something which is concerning you regarding a different

Peter Feld, CEO, Barry Callebaut: competitive environment? I I was I wouldn’t say that. It was just three weeks ago in Ghana. In fact, I met with the with the ambassador of China in Ghana because, obviously, the the Chinese government is very active in infrastructure development projects.

And when you think about that we need to get fertilizer to the farms, roles matter, and and and that is why it is obviously important for us to engage, and that’s what we’re doing. But I don’t think that that is a that is a, let’s say, a significant amount of activity to the opposite, I think we’re far more seeing activities in infrastructure investments and other things.

Conference Operator: Thank you. We have our first question from Alex Stone from Barclays. Please go ahead.

Alex Stone, Analyst, Barclays: Yes. Hi. Good morning all. Thanks for taking the questions. First one, just on volumes.

I mean, show in the presentation Barry Callebaut’s performance versus Nielsen. You’ve shown that for the last kind of decade or so. I mean, I look at the sort of the nine month numbers in the comparison, I can’t remember a period of such sort of stark underperformance. And I mean, specifically in North America, the delta of your volume performance versus that Nielsen has really widened materially. I mean, in that context, should we not be concerned that Barry Callebaut appears to be losing market share?

Or is this just entirely about differences between kind of sell in versus sell out? And if it is the latter, could you maybe update us on sort of where you see inventory levels at customers and retail today? That will be the first one. The second one, just going back to finance cost and the pass through of that in pricing, I didn’t fully get the answer there. But I think you’ve historically I mean, you had guided at H1 to the finance cost being around SEK $350,000,000 to the strength for the year.

Is that still the right guidance? And can you tell us how much within your updated EBIT guidance you’re assuming is passed on in terms of higher financing costs year over year, obviously quite an important variable? Thank you.

Peter Feld, CEO, Barry Callebaut: Thank you, Alex, for your question. Let me refer back to Page five, which I deliberately put out there. I know that BC has for the, you know, past decades always refer to Nielsen as as the best proxy of what’s happening in the on our on our customer side. But what it is important to understand is in in this short term disruptive environment, Nielsen is a bad proxy to look at. And the reason that that we’re showing both slides here is because there’s a nine months delay between what happens in a consumer offtake and the reporting that Nielsen is doing, which also has a lag compared to when customers actually order with Spotted Carnival.

And so so it’s it’s paramount for us, and and and we’re pivoting. We’ve actually I think you can share that we’ve we just fielded a b to b study because we need to have a proxy for b to b environment and give far better accuracy on market shares in the b to b environment that we’re focusing on. So so I think absolutely, there’s a there’s a decoupling here that we see in Nielsen and and the lag the time lag of six to nine months versus purchasing activities and call off activities of business in Maricana Bar. Now that said, we’re having eyes very clearly on the ball here in North America because, obviously, we took a major intervention last year that you will remember was Toluca in Mexico, a 100,000 ton chocolate factory that we deliberately took out for two months and and where we’re reconnecting very nicely now. But that obviously had an impact because customers had to find interim solutions elsewhere, and that is being returned and reversed at this point in time, but, obviously, it will take some time to get back fully into the numbers.

And, Peter, maybe you take the financing.

Peter Van Aster, CFO, Barry Callebaut: Yes. So the financing cost and parcel, we believe we’re going to land the year. I’m not going to give very specific guidance because this is, of course, about volume, but we believe we’re going to be somewhat above the $3.50 that we mentioned at the half year, so that’s going to be a bit higher. Obviously, as the bean price comes down and as we are making our progress on deleveraging, we are, of course, going to be gradually reducing that as we get the maturities of some of the debt or we reduce some of the open debt that we can reduce immediately. So that will go down, but end of year will be a bit higher than what we guided in the middle of the year.

And then on the impacts and the Basel, I mean, we obviously we will have we had an exceptional impact on half year one, right, because of the speed of the increase that we saw then happening. So h two will be significantly better. Our net profit, because it’s you know, I’ll I’ll talk a bit about more about that in that context because net profit is is, of course, a key KPI, right, that we have very high metrics on internally. As I mentioned in my previous answer, we were both on pricing through those interest but also in the voting, some of those, so that’s that’s that helps. We will have a significantly better net profit results in H2 than what we have seen in H1, be it that it will still be slightly negative most probably and certainly the full year will be.

So we’re making very strong progress in passing on everything that needs to be passed on. But next to that, of course, we have a bit of volume pressure and some of those extra costs related to the disruption.

Conference Operator: Thank you. We will take our next questions from Yuzhanping from Citi. Please go ahead.

Yuzhanping, Analyst, Citi: Yes. Thanks for the presentation and thanks for taking my question. I have two. The first one is on financing. So I’m just very curious that whether more financing will be needed in the short term.

So if I remember correctly, at H1, you had about $1,600,000,000 cash and nearly $2,000,000,000 RCF, which was not drawn out. And then you at at that point, the short term the current liabilities of of of of sorry, of of about 2,500,000,000.0. So looks like the liquidity you had at that point was just about to cover the short term debt. So my question is, under what scenarios in the short term will you need more financing? And specifically, since the I think the procurement of the main season cocoa beans is about to start in summer, will you need more financing to procure if everything stays as it is today?

So that’s my first question. And then my second question is just a quick one on tax. I remember at h one, we had some extraordinary tax charges, and that was to do with some less favorable mix of profit before tax and then some non tax effective losses in some countries. So now we are three months passed into h two. Directionally, do you expect any sort of exceptional tax expenses in the second half?

Or any additional color on that will be very helpful. Thank you.

Peter Van Aster, CFO, Barry Callebaut: Alright. Let me take those. I’ll save it high level, of course, because this goes a bit detailed for a volume update. But if I to your first question on liquidity, of course, that’s at any update important. Just one thing to say on your part of your answer is that we always have kept, including in the months where the BEP prices were very high, we also have kept sufficient liquidity buffer to make sure that we could absorb peaks that could come on top of where whatever peak the the the price is at.

That’s a very important point. It’s like a a very basic thing. Our liquidity today is is is is ample. So we have we certainly have enough today. We have raised, as you are well aware, with within Jan Feb, with the Eurobond, with the Swiss bond, additional liquidity.

We get we keep our RCF and an additional RCF that we have completely open, so we’re not tapping into that. So we have a very significant buffer that can protect us. On top of that, as I mentioned, we are developing and concluding instruments that keep us less exposed to short term peaks if they might come and they might come, you know, there might be some volatility. We don’t expect bean prices to stay very high for very long. You’ve you’ve seen it in the past, but we could have peaks and we’re using different elements to do that.

But even without that, I think we are I am very comfortable with the financing that we have, liquidity that we have, and I’m not anticipating that we need to raise more over the next months or even year. And then you had a point about the tax. I mean, you yes. You you explained it well what what happened in half year one, which was exceptional for the reasons that you mentioned. In half year two, we expect an improved tax rate versus h one.

It will still be a bit above the usual that you’ve seen in the past of 17 to 22%, but a significant improvement versus what you’ve seen in h one and no major exceptional things to mention.

Conference Operator: Thank you. We’ll take our next question from Antoine Perfault from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

: Good morning to all of you. Thank you for taking my questions. So two for me, please. First one on Global Cocoa. So maybe could you split a bit the performance between, let’s say, powder, liquor and butter, please?

Because I mean, global powder price has been improving and there’s probably some okay demand there, whereas butter is really down a lot. So I guess demand more weakish. And so we are splitting a bit the the performance there. And how do should we think about this business, let’s say, going forward? You said you want to focus a bit on higher on better mix type of products.

So what does that really mean in terms of like this term of different sub categories? And the second question is maybe on on on compounds. I mean, you said momentum, I think, remains strong. But with cocoa butter coming down and cocoa butter going up, would not the price differential means compound is becoming less interesting to to use compared to normal cocoa butter but I’m sorry.

Peter Feld, CEO, Barry Callebaut: Thanks, Antoine, for the question because it goes to the heart of, you could say, the transformation of how we manage the portfolio and how we look at cacao really being the supplier for chocolates. Right? Mean, I when when you think when you go back to our November 23 presentation, we already said that, you know, we are the chocolatey solutions company, and we’re the best in the world. And and that’s what we’re driving at. And so cacao needs to have the clear role that actually creates a competitive advantage for our chocolate business and the chocolatey solutions we’re driving.

That’s the that’s the whole setup. Right now, as we’re transitioning into that environment, we’re obviously looking very detailed at, okay, how do we further grow our compound business? You you may know that we have roughly 65% in chocolate, 35% in compound. We’re the largest compound company in the world when you think about it. We barely have spoken spoken about it, but it’s a very strong capability in Balacallabaud that we’re now even amplifying with the innovation center in Singapore and the collaboration that we’re that we actually have established there.

And in fact, next week in Singapore for that reason. So I think that’s a very important element for us and to really think more through how do we leverage Kakao relentlessly and get every bean to the complete utilization in Bali Calibault. That’s that’s a key underlying strategy in the group and has been since November 23. Now when when you think about third party sales, what we’re doing there is we have obviously, you know, taken measures early in the year to, you know, think about, you know, the end to end needs in chocolate and hence have deliberately taken action as the bean price was exploding to actually mitigate the the cash impact in the right way. And with that, we’re obviously now seeing cacao because there’s obviously a delay between when you buy beads and when you then actually call off the volume into customers.

We’ve seen the erosion that we were talking about, to a large degree, self designed. So, Peter, do you wanna comment on that? Any other salt that you have?

Peter Van Aster, CFO, Barry Callebaut: No. I think you talked about powder powder and liquor and butter. I think there’s powder is, of course, the majority of what we’re selling into cocoa. I mean, it’s a good business, right? So it’s it’s and the power prices have strengthened, but we’ve seen so it’s profitable business.

But but we’ve seen, again, the demand pressure that Peter talked about in terms of destocking, some substitutions, take customers taking some less cover. And as I mentioned in the presentation, this category is more commoditized than the chocolate products that we’re selling. So some of those pricing impacts are simply more amplified.

Conference Operator: Thank you. We have our next question from Andres Vongas from Baader. Please go ahead.

Andres Vongas, Analyst, Baader: Yes, good morning. First question is on the dividends. Given your new shareholder structure, I mean, could there be a change in dividend policy given that maybe your new shareholders do not need, let’s say, a constant payout. So maybe you could lower the dividend payout in order to strengthen the balance sheet. That will be the first question.

And then second question would be on the tariffs. You also mentioned that they have an impact. Could you elaborate a bit more in detail what you expect from North America, let’s say, given the current news flow, what to expect of impact if additional tariffs would come? Thank you very much.

Peter Van Aster, CFO, Barry Callebaut: Maybe let me start with your first question, then I’ll hand over to Peter for the second one. On the dividend, yes, I mean, we confirmed that half year in the half year communication that we would maintain a dividend during the transformation at the level that it has been last year. So that was what we have confirmed at that time. I have the comfort that we can get to our leverage agenda without needing to intervene on that. What shareholders might think about that is not really up to me to judge that.

I’m focused on the deleveraging plan and then working within that framework to get that done.

Peter Feld, CEO, Barry Callebaut: And Amit, maybe on tariffs in The U. S, I mean, you know that, that has an impact on the industry as a whole, not just chocolate industry. I I I do think, and I wanna reiterate what I said in h one presentation, we are actually very local with our business. We have operations in The US. We have operations in Canada.

We have operations in Mexico. So, you know, we can actually pivot to, you know, actually navigate this environment in the right way. But in the short term, it has significant impacts. And Peter alluded to that in the market loss, you know, the market developments that we had in in q three as, you know, we obviously had, like, two announcements for 25% taxes between Canada and The US and and our customers. As a consequence, we’re simply extremely confused and and worried about what is happening.

And when you think about our customer customer base, base, we’re not just having the big FMCG companies, but we have, like, more than 1,200 midsized family owned businesses that obviously are vastly worried about, you know, the announcements and the uncertainty that that was created in that. So it’s less a lasting impact on taxes. It’s more a people are just worried about what is coming, and that is fundamentally different, I think, for us in Balicallabaud versus, for example, the car industry because we are already very local with multiple operations and factories in The US as well as in Canada as well as in Mexico, and that’s true for cacao and for chocolate.

Conference Operator: Thank you. We have our next question from Tom Sykes from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead. Please go ahead.

Sophie Lan, Head of Investor Relations, Barry Callebaut0: Yes. Thank you. Good morning, everybody. So just firstly, on customer behavior. You obviously said there’s kind of a lag between what you see in buying and what comes out through Nielsen.

But what are you seeing in terms of cocoa content, the chocolate content and products that people are producing? And is that something that you expect sequentially is going to put pressure on the amount of chocolate in product in aggregate? Or are we cycling now some of the effects of what we’ve seen over the last six months? And then just on and any differences in type of between manufactured, gourmet, etcetera, would be interesting. And then just on stock levels, I mean, mentioned destocking.

How much do you think destocking is an impact on your volumes at the moment? And where are industry stock levels at different points, perhaps where your larger customers, where were their stock levels versus history default, please?

Peter Feld, CEO, Barry Callebaut: Yes. Let me take the first one, Tom, and then we can see what we do in rest there. I think on customer behavior, you know, we already today are the largest compound company in the world. And so we have vastest there’s somehow an echo. I don’t know if we can reduce that.

Andres Vongas, Analyst, Baader: Don’t know if we can reduce

Peter Feld, CEO, Barry Callebaut: thank you. The the there’s clearly a lot of innovation underway, and frankly, we’ve we’ve already implemented many projects into the market with our customers and one new business with customers as we’re driving those innovations for them in what we call the super compound area and the compound area and other things. But we also see the different angle. And depending by brands, our customers are selective in deciding what they actually do in this environment. We can, you know I can I can tell you that we’ve just had discussions with a very large customer of ours who’s actually pivoting to more innovation in chocolate before respective brands because that is what consumers are expecting to see?

So we see a whole array of that, but I think that is underpinning the strengths of bicolorable’s business model to literally be the, you could say, the engineer for our customers and become the adviser for the brands of our customers to really unlock growth for them. And and I think that’s the strengths that we’re driving there. I would say that this situation has just unlocked a array of innovation opportunities for what we call about, and we’re aggressively going after that. Because, obviously, we have the capability globally in our r and d centers around the world and with our academies around the world to excite our customers with new innovation that is actually helping them to navigate through this environment. So I don’t see a lasting issue.

I, in fact, would say that crisis usually triggers innovation, and that’s good for what we call them out. So so that’s that’s the first message message there. On the destocking, Peter, do

Peter Van Aster, CFO, Barry Callebaut: you wanna take that? Maybe just to pick up on what Peter said. I mean, at the end of the day, we’re still in a a very resilient end consumer preferred taste. And the biggest shift we’re gonna see is to compound or even non cocoa based solutions, which, by the way, both have a very positive cash effect. So we’re gonna see some shifts in that front.

But but but we’ve seen that historically that through price increases and so on, you have temporary impacts, but consumers do go back to their preferred tastes. On the restocking, I mean, it’s difficult to give you specific numbers. We’ve seen, first of all, and we reported on that in half year one that customers reduced their cover, first of all. We’ve also seen with that customers keeping less stock, again, with high bean prices waiting for and hoping for lower prices. But also at the same time, of course, they they see they have similar working capital impacts as we have.

Right? So they also have their CFOs and their cash focus. So it’s certainly at the lower stock levels than what we have had historically, which obviously has had an impact on what we have been selling out.

Conference Operator: Thank you. I’ll now hand back over to Patrick Bieserfeld for any closing remarks. Thank you.

Peter Feld, CEO, Barry Callebaut: Well, thank you very much for joining us this morning, and looking forward to seeing you in person in the next conference. Thank you very much.

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