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EDP Energias de Portugal reported a strong financial performance in its Q3 2025 earnings call, with a recurring net profit increase of 5% year-on-year to €974 million. The company’s EBITDA rose to €3.7 billion, marking a 2% underlying growth. However, net debt increased to €17.3 billion, with an expectation to reduce it to €16 billion by year-end. EDP’s stock remained stable following the announcement, reflecting steady investor sentiment.
Key Takeaways
- Recurring net profit increased by 5% year-on-year.
- EBITDA reached €3.7 billion, with a 2% underlying growth.
- Net debt rose to €17.3 billion, expected to decrease by year-end.
- Renewable capacity installations reached 19.8 gigawatts.
- Market reaction to earnings was neutral, with no significant stock price movement.
Company Performance
EDP demonstrated robust performance in Q3 2025, with significant growth in its renewable energy segment. The company successfully expanded its installed renewable capacity to 19.8 gigawatts and reported a 14% increase in wind and solar generation year-on-year. Despite challenges in hydro generation due to reservoir level restoration, EDP maintained competitive operational efficiency.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue: Not specified
- Recurring net profit: €974 million (+5% YoY)
- EBITDA: €3.7 billion (+2% underlying)
- Net debt: Increased to €17.3 billion from €15.6 billion at 2024 year-end
Outlook & Guidance
EDP provided guidance for the remainder of 2025, expecting a recurring EBITDA of €4.9 billion and a recurring net profit of approximately €1.2 billion. The company plans to add 2 gigawatts of capacity in 2025 and has hedged 85% of its 2026 production at prices over €64/MWh.
Executive Commentary
CEO Miguel Stilwell d’Andrade highlighted the company’s strategic positioning, stating, "These results underscore the strength of our integrated model." CFO Rui Teixeira noted the continued demand for EDP’s portfolios, reflecting confidence in the company’s asset rotation strategy.
Risks and Challenges
- Hydro generation challenges due to reservoir level restoration.
- Increased net debt, though expected to decrease by year-end.
- Renewable resources in Q3 were among the worst in 20+ years, particularly in North America.
EDP’s Q3 2025 earnings call underscored the company’s strong performance in the renewable energy sector and its strategic initiatives to manage debt and expand capacity. Despite some operational challenges, EDP remains well-positioned for future growth.
Full transcript - EDP Energias de Portugal SA S (EDP) Q3 2025:
Conference Moderator: Good morning. We welcome you to the EDP and EDP Renováveis nine month 2025 results presentation. If you wish to ask a question at any time during the presentation, you may type it in the Ask a Question box on the webcast. Please note that only written questions will be taken on today’s presentation. If you’re experiencing any difficulty in listening to the conference at any time, please make sure you have your headset fully plugged in, or alternatively, please try calling from a different device. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Miguel Viana, Head of IR and ESG. Please go ahead, sir.
Miguel, Head of IR and ESG, EDP: Good morning. Welcome to EDP and EDPR ninth month 2025 results conference call. We have with us today our CEO, Miguel Stilwell d’Andrade, and our CFO, Rui Teixeira, that will present to you the main highlights of EDP and EDPR financial performance in these first nine months of 2025. The presentation will be followed by a Q&A session in which we’ll be receiving just recent questions that you can insert from now onwards in the text box available in the webcast. As we’ll have just later on at 10:00 A.M. London time, our Capital Markets Day presentation, the Q&A session will be focused on themes around the nine months financial performance. I’ll pass now the floor to our CEO, Miguel Stilwell d’Andrade.
Miguel Stilwell d’Andrade, CEO, EDP: Thank you, Miguel, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for attending our nine months 2025 results conference call. As Miguel said, we will be doing the EDP results and then the EDPR, so really a two-in-one call, for the reasons that Miguel has already mentioned. I will go straight into the EDP overall numbers. If you go to slide three, you will see that recurring net profit has reached EUR 974 million in the first nine months of the year. That is up 5% in underlying terms. That reflects basically higher wind and solar installed capacity, higher generation, and also the resilient electricity networks. On the wind and solar front, underlying EBITDA is growing 21% year on year, and that is supported by almost 20 gigawatts of installed capacity and generation up also 14% year on year. Electricity networks, they continue to show good resilience.
Underlying performance, excluding asset rotation gains and FX, is increasing 3% year on year. Our integrated business in Iberia is also delivering solid results. Although year-on-year comparison was impacted by higher sourcing costs, lower hydro volumes, and lower contractor prices, this was partially mitigated by the performance of our flex gen fleet in Iberia. It is also important to note that the asset rotation gains were lower at this point in the year, so EUR 55 million versus EUR 250 million last year, the same time last year at the EBITDA level. I think that just reinforces the strength of our underlying performance. If you look at the numbers, X capital gains.
Finally, just to mention, we will also continue, or we continue to show an improvement in efficiency with lower costs and better productivity metrics, for example, in things like OPEX per megawatt, et cetera, and Rui will get into that in his slides. Overall, these results underscore the strength of our integrated model, even in the context of reduced asset rotation gains. With that, I will pass it over to Rui to present the EDP and the EDPR financials.
Miguel, Head of IR and ESG, EDP: Thank you very much, Miguel. Good morning to you all. Let me start first with EDP’s results, and then moving to slide five. Our EBITDA reached EUR 3.7 billion in the ninth month of 2025. That is a 2% increase on underlying year on year, or actually 4% when excluding FX effect. Let’s look to the recurring figures. Renewables, clients, energy management decreased EUR 99 million year on year. This is coming from a EUR 198 million decrease in this segment, the hydro clients and energy management. Comparing last year, the fact that we have now lower hydro volumes, lower contracted price, and higher sourcing cost. This is mainly in Iberia, and there is also some FX impact in Brazil. Strong performance of EDPR, EUR 1,100 million year on year.
If we compare last year’s asset rotation gains of EUR 179 million with this year’s EUR 59 million, this means an increase of EUR 231 million in underlying terms, driven by the increase in installed capacity. Obviously, this is following the record additions we had in 2024. On the network side, EBITDA is declining EUR 91 million, but this is mostly due to the absence of asset rotation this year, compared to the EUR 71 million or the capital gains from the asset rotation, compared to the EUR 71 million that we booked in the ninth month 2024. Also the loss of EBITDA from the transmission lots that were sold, which together with the asset rotation gain represented around the EUR 102 million reduction versus last year. Additionally, this segment is also impacted by the year-over-year real depreciation.
If we now move to slide six, the performance on the wind and solar segment, recurring underlying EBITDA grew 21% or 23% when excluding FX impacts. It is a robust growth. It reflects a significant step up in generation following our record capacity additions last year. Although this has been negatively impacted by worse renewable resources in Q3, mostly in North America, you may have seen that it was one of the worst quarters in 20 or more years, I think since 1989. I will not spend too much time here. We will provide a bit more color on EDPR’s performance in the next section. Let me move now to slide seven and deep dive into the hydro activity in Iberia. Hydro inflows, 38% above the long-term average, higher than the 33% level that we saw last year.
However, despite this increase, the hydro generation was lower year on year since the rainfall was primarily used to reestablish reservoir levels, and this was mostly in Q1, as you can see by the chart on the right-hand side. Even if we lowered generation year on year, hydro output remained above average, and the uncontracted volumes were sold at higher prices compared to 2024, with the Iberian pool price reaching EUR 65 per megawatt hour versus EUR 52 per megawatt hour. In the nine months of 2024, the contracted volumes were sold at a lower price of EUR 70 per megawatt hour this year compared to the EUR 90 per megawatt hour in the nine months last year. Regarding the outlook for the remaining part of the year, October was dry, with the hydrological index 36% below average. Meantime, it has been starting to rain.
In any case, we see reservoir levels still above average, but obviously decreasing. I would say that we can expect a weaker fourth quarter as compared to previous expectations and to Q3. If we now move to slide eight, to our hydro clients and energy management segment as a whole, EBITDA stood at EUR 1.1 million or EUR 1.14 million. That represents a fall of 15% versus last year, as expected. It’s a mix of different dynamics. Iberia in the nine months 2024 were impacted by extraordinary gas sourcing costs. On one hand, hydro generation volumes net of pumping were 7.2 terawatt hours versus the 8 terawatt hours last year. That’s a 10% drop. While on the other hand, pumping generation increased by 28%. CCGT’s generation increased by more than 3 terawatt hours, as requested by the system operators, both from Portugal and Spain.
I’d also highlight that in line with the trend that we saw in the second quarter, in the nine months, we had an increase in flexibility revenues from generation, but also some costs on the supply side, which we expect to persist in the fourth quarter 2025. Finally, in Brazil, EBITDA declined from EUR 141 million to EUR 106 million, but this is primarily due to FX impacts. Overall, despite the decline in headline figures, following a very strong 2024, the segment continues very solid. Now moving to slide nine on the networks. Recurring EBITDA reached EUR 1.18 billion in the nine months this year. That represents a -7% year on year. This decline is primarily explained by the absence of asset rotation gains in 2025, as I introduced before, which amounted to EUR 71 million in the nine months last year.
There are also some other moving pieces here. Let me break this down probably in three main building blocks. The first one is a EUR 33 million increase of EBITDA in Iberia, following inflation update in Portugal and RAB growth in Iberia, in Spain. Flat EBITDA in Brazilian real, driven by the improvement in operations being mitigated by the loss of EBITDA from transmission lines that were sold. Actually, the Brazilian real devaluation and no capital gains. The segment is minus EUR 53 million versus last year. All in all, EBITDA for electricity networks, excluding asset rotation gains and FX, increased 3%, showing the resilience that is expected from this segment. If we now move to slide 10, net debt stood at EUR 17.3 billion from EUR 15.6 billion at year-end 2024. This is obvious.
Reflecting the execution of the investment plan, the annual payment of dividends, and the fact that we will have proceeds from asset rotation and tax equity expected to be mostly concentrated in the last quarter. The key drivers for the change in net debt include EUR 2.1 billion organic cash flow, reflecting an improved working capital performance, with organic cash flow increasing EUR 0.5 billion year on year from EUR 1.6 billion in the nine months last year. EUR 0.8 billion of dividend. Annual payment. Dividend annual payment executed in May. EUR 2.4 billion of net cash investments, including EUR 3.1 billion of cash CapEx, including EUR 0.5 billion related to working capital changes with PP&E suppliers. This is offset by EUR 0.4 billion of asset rotation proceeds and EUR 0.3 billion of tax equity proceeds. We have about EUR 0.8 billion from regulatory receivables and others.
For the year-end, we expect to reach the EUR 16 billion net debt, considering the EUR 2 billion asset rotation proceeds in total expected for the year and the EUR 1 billion tax equity proceeds in total expected for the year. As I said before, we are expecting that to come in, so the remaining pieces in Q4. With this, we will be reaching a 19% FFO net debt ratio and therefore meeting our BBB goal in terms of funding of net debt ratios. Now, on slide 11, recurring net profit, EUR 974 million. That is a 5% increase year on year. This is coming on the back of a lower EBITDA, as I explained before, EUR 139 million lower than last year, a combination of lower asset rotation gains and the decreased results from the integrated segment in Iberia. Higher DNA and provisions, increasing EUR 107 million, resulting from our investment path.
The increased net financial costs are driven by higher cost of debt, 4.5% last year and this year, 4.9%. This is primarily due to the higher cost of debt in Brazilian real, which is, you know, it’s floating. Also, the higher average nominal debt. We also have some lower income taxes, lower non-controlling interest. Basically, this takes us to the net profit. Highlighting again that excluding asset rotation gains, the underlying performance on the net profit shows a 5% increase versus last year. Definitely a very solid operational performance. In reported terms, net profit reached EUR 952 million, including the negative impact of around EUR 22 million, mostly related to some EDPR impacts. I will now turn to EDPR’s performance for the first nine months of 2025. On slide 14, you can see that EDPR delivered a strong set of results.
I mean, this is marked by robust underlying EBITDA and net profit, continued capacity delivery, solid progress on the asset rotation plan throughout 2025. Operationally, EDPR reached 19.8 gigawatts of installed capacity, with generation up 14% despite this lower renewable resource that we experienced in Q3. The average selling price declined 9% year on year to an average of EUR 54 per megawatt hour, reflecting the changes in the generation mix, lower average prices in Europe, mainly from hedges normalization and the lower feed-in tariff prices in Portugal. Recurring EBITDA reached EUR 1.4 billion. That’s up 9% year on year, with underlying EBITDA growing by 21%. I think it’s important really to note that asset rotation gains were EUR 59 million this period compared to EUR 179 million in the same period last year, because this really shows the strength of the underlying business performance. Recurring net profit came at EUR 189 million, or.
If we exclude asset rotation gains, EUR 153 million. That is definitely a very important increase, EUR 111 million versus nine months 2024. Overall, these results underscore EDPR’s ability to combine the growth, efficiency, and value creation, reinforcing our confidence in the outlook for the remaining of the year. Now let’s go a bit deeper into EDPR’s results. If you focus on EBITDA, slide 15, this was driven by EUR 1.6 billion from electricity sales, EUR 308 million of tax equity revenues from North America. That is a 20% increase in generation and new capacity additions. On the back of this, EUR 59 million of capital gain from asset rotations that we closed in Spain and France and Belgium, with the remaining gains to be concentrated in the fourth quarter. We have less the impact of EUR 574 million from core OPEX, which is mostly in line with last year’s.
I would highlight here the strong efforts in cost and efficiency improvement that we have been implementing across the company. You also can see that on the ratios on the OPEX per megawatt that have been really under control. I think they’re probably one of the best in class in the sector. EUR 22 million from other net costs that improved around EUR 80 million on the back of no material impacts this year. As you may remember, last year we had some headwinds in Colombia, also Romania. This year we do not. Therefore, that’s a significant improvement impacting our EBITDA. These results highlight improvement in the underlying business as a whole from an operational perspective, as well as this enhanced efficiency that we’ve been deploying. Now turning to slide 16.
I’d like to look at EDPR’s cash flow evolution for the first nine months of this year. Organic cash flow reached EUR 458 million, representing a EUR 200 million increase year on year, reflecting a solid performance of our operating portfolio, as well as the changes in working capital, distributions to minority interests, and the tax equity partnerships. I’d like just to note that organic cash flow excludes tax equity cash proceeds, which are typically received at the project completion and have an immediate positive impact on net debt. First nine months of this year, we received EUR 278 million, and we remain on track to reach EUR 1 billion for the full year. As of September, net debt stood at EUR 9.2 billion. It’s up EUR 900 million since December last year. The increase is primarily driven by the EUR 1.6 billion in net expansion investments, obviously supporting the portfolio growth.
This is partly offset by the asset rotation proceeds from the transactions, as I mentioned, closed in Spain, France, Belgium, and also the US. Looking ahead, we do expect net debt to converge to around EUR 8 billion by year-end, supported by the timing of the asset rotation and tax equity proceeds. As I mentioned, this will be concentrated now until the end of December. Also highlighting that already in October, we closed a transaction for a 1.6 gigawatt portfolio in the US. Again, just to emphasize, it is a 49% sale, straight equity, no structure. I think it came in the context, as you know, of quite a lot of uncertainty throughout 2025. Definitely a great transaction executed on top of the ones that we have been executing in Europe.
As you know, we have already signed some European transactions that we are expecting to close before the end of the year. Now moving to slide 17. As previously highlighted, EDPR’s recurring underlying EBITDA rose by EUR 231 million, again, on the back of the solid performance on the operational side. Depreciation and amortization increase, obviously on the back of the new capacity additions. We do have some one-off impact from accelerated depreciation of a requiring wind farm in the U.S. Financial results increase on the back of higher nominal financial debt, lower capitalized financial expenses, partly offset by some FX and derivatives. Contribution to minorities improved year on year following the completion of the buyback of CDG minorities in late 2024. At the net profit level, we recognize around EUR 40 million of one-off impacts this quarter. This is mainly from impairments in Europe related to non-core countries.
All in all, recurring net profit reached EUR 189 million. Excluding capital gains, this represents a four-fold increase versus last year. Again, just underscores the strength of EDPR’s underlying performance. Summary, EDPR’s performance during nine months, I think it’s a testament to the ability to execute, to adapt, deliver sustainable growth. We will have Miguel presenting the strategy for the next few years, but I think that we are definitely on good track in terms of how we are delivering the results this year. I would hand it over to you, Miguel, for final remarks. Thank you. Thank you, Huyt. Just to wrap up and moving on to slide 18. Just to reinforce the guidance, we are expecting a recurring EBITDA for 2025 of around EUR 4.9 billion, and that’s supported by strong performance across all of the business segments.
You can see that already at the nine months. Numbers. Breaking this down by segment, the integrated generation supply should deliver about EUR 1.4 billion of EBITDA, of which EUR 1.1 billion was already recorded in the first nine months. Wind and solar, including EDPR, are expected to contribute roughly EUR 1.9 billion, including EUR 0.1 billion of asset rotation gains, and having the two gigawatts capacity additions on time and on budget. Electricity networks forecasted at around EUR 1.5 billion, with the distribution performance mitigating the transmission asset deconsolidation and the Brazilian real devaluation. Recurring net profit, approximately EUR 1.2 billion, impacted mostly by a higher cost of debt on the Brazilian real debt, an average higher debt. Since the asset rotation proceeds and the tax equity proceeds are expected to be received more towards the end of the year.
Net debt expected to stand near EUR 16 billion, so assuming about EUR 2 billion in asset rotation proceeds and about EUR 1 billion in tax equity proceeds for the year. All in all, guidance reflecting resilience, reflecting the strength of our integrated and diversified portfolios, Rui has also mentioned. Obviously, we will be providing further color on the outlook for the years ahead in the next presentation, the CMD. For now, I will pass it back to Miguel to see if there are any questions so we can take those, mostly concentrated on the nine-month numbers. Thanks. Thank you. We have here some recent questions. The first one from Pedro Alves, CaixaBank BPI, regarding the capital gain at EDPR in the third quarter. If it relates only with the sale of the 121.
Megawatts wind portfolio in France and Belgium, and if we can clarify the good capital gain per megawatt. Implicit in the transaction. Okay, so thank you, Pedro. Yes, so in the third quarter, the capital gain is mostly related to the French and Belgian portfolio, and it’s around EUR 0.4 million per megawatt. The multiple was great. It was an EV per megawatt of around EUR 1.6 million per megawatt. That implies around 28% capital gains on invested capital. Yes, it was a great deal. I think this just reinforces that we continue to see strong demand for these portfolios. We continue to see great multiples for these portfolios. In Europe, we’ve been consecutively able to deliver on good numbers here. It was a good operating portfolio.
It was around 11 wind projects in France and one wind project in Belgium, all with COD around 2020. I mean, in this case, the buyer is a financial investor. As I said, we continue to see strong interest for our assets at attractive implicit yields. We have also a question about what impact we have in our nine-month 2025 accounts regarding the extra cost with the ancillary services in Iberia related with the increase of these costs during this year, namely supported on the supply side. Yeah, ancillary services, as you know, post blackout was a big increase, but there had already been a structural increase before that. I’ll talk a little bit about that later in the CMD. I mean, the value is estimated at around EUR 150 million. Just bear in mind that the revenues on the generation side.
Have to then be passed on to customers. In some cases, those contracts are already fixed. On a net basis, we continue to benefit from our FlexGen portfolio, but obviously partially offset by the pass-through to the customers taking just happening over the next couple of years. We can give you more detail on that also when we talk in the CMD. We have also a question regarding the guidance for 2025. We see now EBITDA on the 4.9, which is at the top of the previous range provided, net income at 1.2. If we can comment on this evolution for the guidance for 2025. Yeah, what I’d comment here on the guidance is, listen, we’re very confident on delivering the guidance for all the different business segments, including the integrated and Iberia.
I mean, we did have a weaker October, and that’s also incorporated. We are also seeing, so that’s sort of at the EBITDA level. There’s no doubt we’re sort of at the top end of the range. We are seeing slightly higher financial costs, especially in Brazil, and also a tax rate expected to be around 25%-26% by year-end. Therefore, the net income coming in still within the range, but close to the EUR 1.2 billion end of the range. We have also a question regarding our current exposure regarding offshore in the US, and if we have any comments regarding the latest news regarding permitting in the US.
Listen, there was some news that came out, I think it was an article, that’s probably what you’re referring to, an article that came out in The New York Times or something like that, around offshore in the U.S. and around the permitting. As you know, offshore in the U.S. is pretty much in hibernation mode at the moment, and sort of it’s been much more about just riding out this phase. We have an exposure, and we said this multiple times, we have a total exposure at the EDPR level of around EUR 300 million. It’s about EUR 200 million at the EDP level. We already partially impaired that at the end of last year, assuming that we were going to delay the project four years. We’re keeping this exposure contained and sort of at a minimum. We’re just focused on.
Building the legal case to defend the project permits and the value, and also just then focusing on what could be the next steps. Essentially, we’re at the same stage as many other of our peers are in relation to offshore in the U.S. I think the key issue here is what is the value at stake. And as many of you know, it’s around EUR 300 million at the EDPR level, which has already been partially impaired. We have also a question in terms of the, how we are evolving in terms of, hedging for 2026, where we are in terms of contracting, in terms of hedging volume and prices in Iberia. For hedging, as you know, we typically hedge 12 to 18 months ahead. In this case, for 2026, we’re already around 85% hedged at a price that’s north of EUR 64 per megawatt hour.
This is something that we do sort of on a rolling basis. For 2026, it is pretty much all set. I would say we normally do not, we would not hedge more than this just because of, just to make sure from a risk perspective, we do not become overhedged. So 85% is, I would consider to be already the level of hedging that we want for 2026, and that is at the 64, or north of 64 actually in this case. We have a last question just in terms of execution of 2025. How do we see our delivery in terms of the target 2 gigawatts in EDPR in 2025? We are on track, on time, even slightly under budget in some of the projects, but overall very much within the budget for the 2025 project. I would say that is a good year from an execution point of view.
There’s been no issues around supply chain. Everything sort of is on site, and we’re just wrapping up sort of, and we’ll be wrapping up sort of by the end of the year. I’d say everything on time, on budget, and on track. We have no more questions. Miguel, just if you want to, just closing remarks. I’d say, listen, it was a good set of, it’s been a good year, good three quarters, and I think we’re well positioned to have a good full year. Looking forward to talking to you about the next couple of years at the CMD. Look forward to seeing you all then. Thanks.
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