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Nexa Resources reported its Q3 2025 earnings, showcasing a robust financial performance with net revenues reaching $764 million, surpassing forecasts. The company’s stock reacted positively, climbing 4.77% in pre-market trading to $5.71. The earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.52, significantly outperforming the forecast of $0.286. This marks a notable turnaround from the -$0.69 EPS reported for the last twelve months as of Q2 2025, according to InvestingPro data.
Key Takeaways
- Nexa Resources reported Q3 2025 net revenues of $764 million, an 8% increase year-over-year.
 - EPS of $0.52 exceeded the forecasted $0.286, reflecting strong operational performance.
 - The stock price rose by 4.77% in pre-market trading following the earnings release.
 - Zinc production reached 84,000 tons, up 14% from the previous quarter.
 - The company aims to reduce its net leverage to around 1x in the coming years.
 
Company Performance
Nexa Resources demonstrated significant growth in Q3 2025, with net revenues rising 8% both sequentially and year-over-year to $764 million. This growth was driven by increased zinc production and a favorable market environment. The company’s integrated mine-smelter model and commitment to low-carbon operations continue to differentiate it from competitors in the metals and mining sector.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue: $764 million, up 8% year-over-year
 - EPS: $0.52, exceeding the forecasted $0.286
 - Adjusted EBITDA: $186 million, a 16% increase from the previous quarter
 - Net income: $100 million
 - Free cash flow: $52 million
 
Earnings vs. Forecast
Nexa Resources delivered a strong earnings performance, with EPS of $0.52, surpassing the forecast of $0.286 by a notable margin. This represents a significant earnings surprise, highlighting the company’s operational efficiency and effective cost management. The revenue of $764 million also exceeded the forecast of $694.42 million, marking a positive deviation of over 10%.
Market Reaction
Following the earnings announcement, Nexa Resources’ stock rose 4.77% in pre-market trading, reflecting investor optimism about the company’s performance. The stock’s movement positions it favorably within its 52-week range, which has seen lows of $4.438 and highs of $9.61. This positive market reaction underscores confidence in the company’s operational strategy and future outlook.
Outlook & Guidance
Looking ahead, Nexa Resources maintains its 2025 capital expenditure guidance at $347 million and plans to reduce gross debt by $500-600 million over the next four years. The company aims to bring net leverage down to around 1x, providing greater financial flexibility. Future revenue forecasts indicate continued growth, with projections for FY2025 and FY2026 set at $2.789 billion and $2.840 billion, respectively.
Executive Commentary
CEO Ignacio Rosado emphasized the company’s strategic execution, stating, "We are executing our strategy across five key business catalysts, building a more resilient portfolio for long-term sustainable cash generation." CFO José Carlos del Valle highlighted the importance of deleveraging, noting, "We would like to bring down our net leverage to levels closer to one time so that we have more flexibility."
Risks and Challenges
- Potential political risks in Peru could impact operations.
 - Fluctuating commodity prices may affect profitability.
 - Supply chain disruptions could pose operational challenges.
 - Workforce retention at the Aripuanã mine remains a focus area.
 - Regulatory changes in key markets could impact compliance costs.
 
Q&A
During the earnings call, analysts inquired about Nexa’s deleveraging strategy and workforce challenges at the Aripuanã mine. Executives addressed concerns about political risks in Peru and highlighted changes in the upcoming silver streaming agreement, showcasing the company’s proactive approach to managing potential challenges.
Full transcript - Nexa Resources SA (NEXA) Q3 2025:
Conference Operator: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Nexa Resources’ Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. Please note that today’s event is being recorded and broadcast live via Zoom, with access also through Nexa’s Investor Relations website. A slide presentation accompanying the webcast is available for download, as well as a replay of the conference call following its conclusion. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode. Following today’s presentation, we will open the floor for questions. To ask a question, if you are joining via Zoom, please click the raise hand button. If your question is answered, you can lower your hand by clicking the put hand down button. You may also submit your question via the Q&A icon. Please include your name and company when submitting your question. For participants joining by phone, press star followed by nine to raise or lower your hand.
Once announced, press star followed by six to mute or unmute your microphone. Questions that are not addressed during the call will be answered afterwards by the Investor Relations team. Questions from media outlets will be handled separately by our Corporate Affairs team. Now, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Rodrigo Cammarosano, Head of Investor Relations and Treasury, for his opening remarks. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Nexa Resources’ Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. Thank you for joining us today. During the call, we will discuss Nexa’s performance as per our earnings release issued yesterday. We encourage you to follow the on-screen presentation through the webcast. Before we begin, I would like to highlight slide number two, which outlines forward-looking statements about our business. Please refer to the disclaimer regarding these statements and their conditions. Now, it is my pleasure to introduce our speakers. Joining us today are our CEO, Ignacio Rosado, our CFO, José Carlos del Valle, and our Senior VP of Mining Operations, Leonardo Coelho. I will now hand the call over to Ignacio for his comments. Ignacio, please go ahead.
Ignacio Rosado, CEO, Nexa Resources: Thank you, Rodrigo. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Before we dive into our third quarter results, I would like to highlight the strategic catalysts that are strengthening Nexa’s competitive position and underpinning our long-term value creation. We are executing our strategy across five key business catalysts, building a more resilient portfolio for long-term sustainable cash generation. Starting with Aripuanã, we are pleased to share that the fourth tailings filter is en route to the mine site. Installation begins in the fourth quarter of this year, enabling commissioning in early 2026. This is a critical step to achieving full production capacity. We will provide more details shortly. In Peru, the Cerro Pasco Integration Project advances on plan. It leverages a well-known high-potential mineral district with over 15 years of potential mine life and meaningful net smelter return uplift. Our integrated mine-smelter model remains a core differentiator.
It mitigates volatility during down cycles, captures stronger margins in supportive pricing environments, and enhances value retention across the zinc chain. Finally, our growth strategy involves actively evaluating accretive opportunities in mining-friendly jurisdictions. Any investment will be grounded in disciplined capital allocation, prioritizing returns, operational excellence, and sustainability. Together, these catalysts reinforce our strategic position and lay a strong foundation for long-term performance. Let’s begin with a review of our strong third quarter performance on slide number four. Nexa delivered robust operational and financial results this quarter, driven by disciplined execution, improved mining output, and a constructive price environment. Mining production reached 84,000 tons of zinc, a sequential and year-over-year increase. This was driven mainly by a record quarter at Aripuanã and a solid recovery at Vazante following the disruptions at the beginning of the year.
In smelting, total zinc sales were 150,000 tons, reflecting stronger performance across all units, with Cammaro also achieving its highest quarterly output to date. Financially, this translates into net revenues of $764 million and adjusted EBITDA of $186 million, both improving in all comparable periods, supported by higher volumes and stronger byproducts prices. We recorded a net income of $100 million, or $0.52 per share, and a free cash flow of $52 million, up versus the previous quarter, strengthening our balance sheet with net leverage slightly decreasing to 2.2 times. Now, let’s dive deeper into our mining performance on slide number five. Our quarterly zinc production of 84,000 tons was up 14% from the second quarter. This was powered by a solid recovery at Vazante and a record quarter increase at Aripuanã, which produced 10,000 tons of zinc, a 70% sequential increase.
For the first nine months of 2025, zinc production reached 225,000 tons, reflecting lower treated volumes and grades in the first half of this year. Our consolidated mining cash cost net of byproducts strongly improved to minus $0.49 per pound, driven by higher byproduct grades and lower TCs. Year-to-date cash costs were minus $0.18 per pound, better than our guidance. Our cost per run of mine was $51 per ton, stable quarter over quarter, and in line with our guidance. As we previously highlighted, the year-over-year increase mainly reflects conditions at Aripuanã earlier in the year. Excluding Aripuanã, costs were broadly in line with the prior year. Financially, the mining segment delivered net revenues of $372 million and adjusted EBITDA of $164 million, with a 44% EBITDA margin, supported by stronger prices and improved operational performance. With that, let’s move to slide number six for more on Aripuanã’s quarterly milestone.
Aripuanã delivered its best performance since ramp-up, reflecting a more stable operation and a higher throughput in this period. The arrival of the fourth tailings filter is a critical step. We expect this upgrade to enable reaching nameplate capacity by the second half of 2026, securing long-term operational stability and cash generation. On cost performance, we saw a notable quarterly improvement supported by higher treated ore volumes and ongoing optimization. Finally, exploration continues to enhance future potential. Recent drilling results confirm new mineralized extensions, reinforcing our confidence in the geological upside and the potential to keep extending the life of the asset. Let’s move to slide number seven to review the latest developments on the Cerro Pasco Integration Project. In the third quarter, we made strong progress on phase one, which focuses on the new tailings pumping and piping system.
Site mobilization is now complete, and we are progressing well with earthworks and civil construction on key areas, including the plant platform, tailings thickener, and drive pipe channel. Major procurement packages are secured, with two key packages fully manufactured this quarter. In parallel, we are advancing with phase two studies, which include technical assessment for the Picasso shaft and underground integration to define the most efficient long-term configuration. This project remains a strategic enabler for Cerro Pasco’s long-term sustainability, supporting future production in this important mineral district. Let’s move to slide number eight to review our smelting operating performance in more detail. In our smelting segment, sales reached 150,000 tons in the quarter, a 3% sequential increase driven by higher production across all units, including a record quarter at Cammaro and a continued recovery at Tres Marías.
For the first nine months of 2025, sales totaled 425,000 tons, in line with our sales guidance, which reflected lower production earlier in the year. Financially, in the third quarter of this year, the segment delivered net revenues of $541 million and adjusted EBITDA of $23 million, reflecting the current margin environment and cost dynamics. Our cost performance in the quarter was in line with expectations, with a cash cost of $1.32 per pound, driven by higher zinc prices and lower TCs. Year-to-date cash costs were $1.24 per pound, well aligned with our revised guidance. Our conversion cost was $0.35 per pound, stable quarter over quarter and slightly below guidance year-to-date. The year-over-year comparison reflects lower sales volumes and higher operational costs, as expected. With that, I will hand the call over to our CFO, José Carlos del Valle, for a detailed review of our financial results.
José, please go ahead.
José Carlos del Valle, CFO, Nexa Resources: Thank you, Ignacio, and good morning, everyone. Let’s turn to slide number nine for a summary of our financial performance. We saw strong momentum this quarter. Starting with the chart on the upper left, net revenues reached $764 million, up 8% sequentially and year-over-year, driven by higher zinc prices, byproduct credits, and stronger operational performance. Year-to-date, net revenues reached $2.1 billion, an increase of 4% versus the first nine months of 2024. Moving to adjusted EBITDA, we reported $186 million in the quarter, a 16% increase from the last quarter and a 2% increase year-over-year, with a healthy margin of 24%. This performance was supported by higher sales volumes and improved byproduct revenues. For the first nine months of the year, adjusted EBITDA totaled $472 million, 9% lower than last year, primarily due to lower sales volumes in the first half of the year, lower TCs, and higher operating costs.
Now, turning to slide number 10 for some detail on our investments. In the first nine months of 2025, we invested $227 million in CapEx, with the majority allocated to sustaining activities, including mine development, maintenance, and tailings storage facilities, fully aligned with our operational priorities. In the quarter alone, CapEx totaled $90 million, in line with our expectations. For the Cerro Pasco Integration Project, phase one investments reached $12 million in the quarter and $30 million year-to-date, keeping us firmly on track with our full-year guidance of $44 million. As such, our total 2025 CapEx guidance remains unchanged at $347 million. Moving to the lower part of the slide, exploration and project evaluation investments totaled $53 million in the first nine months of the year, of which $21 million was in the third quarter.
These investments were primarily directed towards exploration, drilling, and mine development across our portfolio, supporting long-term optionality and value creation. We also reaffirm our $88 million guidance for exploration and project evaluation for the year as we continue to invest in our long-term pipeline. Let’s look at our cash flow generation for the quarter on slide number 11. We generated $196 million in operating cash flow before working capital, starting from $186 million of adjusted EBITDA and after excluding non-operational items. From this amount, we paid $48 million in interest and taxes and invested $91 million in CapEx across our operations. Loans and investments required $10 million, reflecting regular payments of financing and lease liabilities, partially offset by dividends received and the net sales of financial investments. We also paid $16 million in dividends to non-controlling interests.
Foreign exchange gains contributed $2 million, mainly to the continued appreciation of the Brazilian real. Finally, working capital posted a positive impact of $19 million, as we continue to prioritize initiatives to optimize our cycle and strengthen our liquidity. Looking ahead, we expect working capital to remain positive in the fourth quarter, bringing the full-year position closer to neutral. Combining these effects, free cash flow in the quarter totaled $52 million. With that, let’s move to slide number 12. As you can see, our liquidity position remains healthy, supporting a solid balance sheet and an extended debt maturity profile. We ended the quarter with a solid liquidity of $790 million, including our undrawn $320 million sustainability-linked revolving credit facility. Our average debt maturity stands at 7.4 years, with an average cost of 6.2%.
Importantly, our available liquidity, excluding the RCF, comfortably covers all of our financial commitments through the next four years. Net leverage improved to 2.2 times, down from 2.3 times at the end of last quarter, reflecting higher EBITDA for the last 12 months and a reduction in net debt. Furthermore, we continue to optimize our capital structure by diversifying funding sources and enhancing liquidity. A key priority is maintaining a debt maturity profile that is aligned with the long life of our assets while preserving our investment grade rating and guaranteeing competitive financing costs. We remain committed to deleveraging and reducing gross debt. Additionally, in the fourth quarter, we expect working capital normalization and stronger cash generation to further support our financial flexibility. With that, I will now hand the call back to Rodrigo, who will discuss market fundamentals and our key insights from LME Week. Rodrigo, please go ahead.
Thank you, José Carlos. Moving to slide number 13. Let’s start with the zinc market, where we see the backdrop continuing to evolve in a more constructive direction. During the quarter, LME prices trended higher, closing September at around $3,010 per ton. This strength was primarily supported by low exchange inventories and a weaker U.S. dollar. On the supply side, while concentrate availability is gradually improving, utilization across the smelting segment remains uneven. We believe seasonal and logistical factors will likely keep markets relatively tight in the near term, supporting prices. This is reflected in treatment charges. In China, imported spot TCs rose to about $110 per ton, reflecting increased concentrate availability. Meanwhile, Chinese domestic TCs eased toward the quarter’s end as local supply restricted against steady smelter demand. Looking ahead, we see the market moving toward a balance.
Galvanization demand remains robust, supported by global infrastructure and renewable energy investments. On the other hand, supply growth continues to face structural headwinds from declining ore grades and mine depletion, particularly in the Western Hemisphere. Now, turning to slide 14 for a look at copper and silver. The copper market remains well supported by strong fundamentals. Supply disruptions and slower-than-expected mine ramp-ups have restricted balances, helping to keep prices at around $10,300 per ton. Demand continues to be driven by electrification, infrastructure spending, and the rapid expansion of AI-related infrastructure, such as data centers. Silver also performed strongly, up roughly 58% year-over-year. This reflects its dual role as both a key industrial metal for the energy transition and a safe-haven asset supported by the monetary dynamics. Our outlook for both is constructive.
Copper’s fundamentals are solid, with structural demand from electrification, EVs, and grid investment expected to outpace new supply, which remains constrained by permitting and project delays. For silver, industrial demand, particularly from solar, electronics, and electric vehicles, continues to grow, while investment demand benefits from global monetary uncertainty. This combination should help sustain prices at elevated levels relative to historical averages. Now, moving to the next slide. Finally, on slides 15 and 16, I want to summarize our key takeaways from the LME Week held in London in mid-October. The segment was notably constructive. Despite global macro volatility, there was a broad bullish consensus on base metals and a strong recognition of zinc’s essential role in decarbonization, especially in galvanizing steel for renewables, EVs, and infrastructure. This aligns perfectly with our earlier discussions and reinforces that Nexa is well positioned to capture value as the market rebalances.
Looking forward, there are a few key factors we’re watching closely: treatment charges benchmarks for the next year, Chinese export flows, mine output in the Western Hemisphere, and trade policy developments. The 2026 forecasted TC benchmark is currently trending toward around $130 to $180 per ton, which points to a gradual recovery in smelter margins. We see zinc prices holding near $3,000 per ton, with limited downside given the tightening supply outside China. Furthermore, potential export restrictions and logistical issues in China could redirect material flows to other markets. This would favor producers like Nexa, with our regionally integrated low-carbon operations in the Americas. As major mines in the Western world approach depletion and our Aripuanã mine advances towards full capacity, Nexa’s reliable and sustainable asset base is a key differentiator, strengthening our leadership position.
In summary, we see a highly supportive backdrop across our key commodities: resilient demand, tightening supply, and a growing recognition of zinc’s strategic importance. Now, on slide 17, I will comment on our ESG agenda. First, in social performance and community, we received the DePeromines Seal of Excellence in Gender Equity, a recognition of our efforts to advance diversity and inclusion in the mining sector. We also launched Nexa Transforma in Brazil, a unified platform to scale our social investments. Second, in environmental stewardship, we obtained the GAT Protocol Brazil Gold Seal for the second year, demonstrating our progress in reducing emissions. We also advanced circular economy projects at our smelters. Third, in governance and transparency, we achieved full compliance with the LME Responsible Sourcing Standards, Track A, aligned with OECD due diligence guidance. This is an important milestone that reinforces credibility across our value chain.
Taken together, these achievements underscore our leadership in sustainable zinc production and our commitment to creating long-term value for all stakeholders. Now, moving to our final slide, our focus and priorities. I will now hand it back to Ignacio for his comments. Ignacio, the floor is yours.
Thank you, Rodrigo. Now, turning to slide number 18 to explain our focus and priorities. We deliver a strong third quarter and continue to execute our strategy with discipline. At Aripuanã, while some short-term challenges remain, the asset is demonstrating its long-term strength. Our record quarter production reinforces its potential and sustainable cash generation. At Cerro Pasco, execution continues to move forward, unlocking a significant value creation opportunity in a proven district. Exploration results across our portfolio indicate potential further mine life extensions and greater mine-smelter integration, reinforcing our business model. From a financial perspective, our balance sheet remains solid, supported by disciplined capital allocation and a clear commitment to deleveraging. Most importantly, our unwavering commitment to safety for our people and communities remains the foundation of everything we do.
This is all underpinned by our ESG leadership, exemplified by our Cajamarquilla smelter, one of the world’s largest zinc smelters, which is now powered by 100% renewable energy. In closing, we thank you again for the time and continued confidence in Nexa. Operator, we are now ready to take questions.
Conference Operator: Thank you. We will now begin the Q&A session. To ask a question, if you are joining via Zoom, please click the raise hand button. You may also submit your question using the Q&A icon. Please include your name and company when typing your question. For participants joining by phone, press star 9 to raise or lower your hand. Once announced, press star 6 to mute or unmute your microphone. Our first question comes from Gabriel Barra from Siti. Mr. Barra, you may proceed.
Gabriel Barra, Analyst, Siti: Hi everyone. Hi Ignacio, hi José, hi our team, Leonardo. Thanks for taking my question. I have two here from my side and mostly focusing on the capital allocation. You guys have mentioned about the working capital relief in the fourth quarter. We believe and we are seeing the results of the company. We expect the company to have a stronger free cash flow for now on. How should you see the leverage level of the company behaving in the short to medium term, and what’s the level of leverage that the company is targeting for next year? I know that you guys cannot give it like a kind of guidance, but I want to understand the trend here for the leverage. Additionally, on this question, is there any other way here to decrease faster the gross debt in the short term?
How do you see this liability management given this comfortable level of liquidity in the short term of the company? Those are the two questions that I have here. Thank you, guys.
José Carlos del Valle, CFO, Nexa Resources: Hello, Gabriel. Good morning. Thank you for the question. I think this is an important topic and one that has come up in previous meetings as well. I think we can reinforce our commitment to deleveraging. Obviously, the speed at which we can do that will rely on, first of all, our discipline in achieving our operational results, which we are on track for. The expectation that we have on operational results going forward, that’s key, and that’s something that we can control. Something that we don’t control, but that is showing favorable tailwinds, is the current level of prices, which will obviously help us to achieve better free cash flow and to reduce leverage faster as well. Going forward, we continue to see that operational results and free cash flow generation should improve, obviously subject to what prices are going to be.
Ideally, we would like to reduce our gross debt by about $500 to $600 million in the next four years or so, but we have to take this one year at a time, obviously. We would like to bring down our net leverage to levels closer to one time so that we have more flexibility because we will continue to see volatility. We know we’re in a cyclical industry, so conditions can change. This is only parallel to our constant efforts to control costs. Despite inflation, our aspiration is to keep costs at least at the level of what we had the prior year despite inflation. That’s a continuous effort, and I don’t see that changing in the short to medium term. Our goals continue to be the same. Our priorities, as we have mentioned before, are the same.
Deleveraging is key, and in line with that, also maintaining our investment grade. Hope I answered your question. Please let me know if I missed something.
No, really clear. Thank you, guys.
Conference Operator: Our next question comes via phone. Please, sir, you can open your microphone by pressing star 9.
Yes, hello. Can you hear me?
José Carlos del Valle, CFO, Nexa Resources: Perfectly.
All right. Good morning, everyone. Thank you very much. Two questions. One is on Aripuanã. Can you maybe provide, Ignacio or Leonardo, a little bit more color as to what are the next steps to install the fourth filter? You did mention, Ignacio, that you expect the second or middle of the year, second half of the year to have this in operation. What are the critical steps between now and then? My second question will be on free cash flow generation. I want to confirm, José Carlos, that you expect working capital in the fourth quarter to generate cash, therefore bringing the full year working capital to be neutral in terms of cash contribution. Any early views on the CapEx for 2026?
Leonardo Coelho, Senior VP of Mining Operations, Nexa Resources: Okay. Thank you, Carlos. Thank you for the questions. First of all, around Aripuanã, as I was saying, the project is on track to start commissioning in April next year. The filter has arrived in Brazil. It’s going to be in the operation next week, and all the infrastructure that we are building to accommodate the filter and putting the piping system in place and all the earthworks that have to be done are advancing very well. We anticipate that at the end of the first quarter, April, we will start commissioning. Commission should be very fast because we have done everything we needed to do in terms of details of construction to make sure that we can commission in a fast way. That’s why we’re saying that the full benefit will come through the mid next year.
Important to mention that today, we are with the three filters that we have that have limited capacity in terms of achieving humidity for our stockpiles. We are performing very well on those, and we are achieving close to 80% of capacity of the plant. The filter, the fourth filter itself, has a capacity around 75,000 to 80,000 tons, and the total capacity of the plant is 180,000. It gives us a 35% to 40% capacity. With the three filters that we have today and the fourth filter that we have that is coming, we should be able to produce at full capacity, as we are saying, starting April commissioning and in the second half at full speed.
We are very confident on that, and we believe that the project is on track, and the CapEx that we said that we were going to spend is also the one that we are achieving today. Okay? Regarding working capital, José Carlos, please.
José Carlos del Valle, CFO, Nexa Resources: Yes. I will address that. You’re right. As we have seen in prior years, we have this intra-year seasonality, which we have seen quarter after quarter this year as well. Our expectation is that in the fourth quarter, we will also have a positive contribution from working capital. The target continues to be that for the entire year, the impact should be close to zero. For planning purposes, that is the same assumption that we use. We see some seasonality within the year, but year over year, unless something surprising happens, we should expect working capital to have a neutral effect on the cash flow generation of the company. In terms of CapEx for next year, we’re still actually in the budgeting process. It will be early to give you some guidance. Obviously, we will make that public as soon as we finalize our figures.
I don’t see anything drastic changing in 2026 compared to 2025. For practical purposes, you can assume that it will be something in the same neighborhood, but we are finalizing the details of that, and we will share as soon as we can.
Thank you, Ignacio, and José Carlos.
You’re welcome.
Leonardo Coelho, Senior VP of Mining Operations, Nexa Resources: Thank you, Carlos.
Conference Operator: Our next question comes from Tatiana Congini from J.P. Morgan. Mrs. Congini, you may proceed.
Good morning, everyone. Thank you for having me on this call. My question is a little bit of a follow-up for my colleagues, and I would just like to understand a little bit your perspective when it comes to 2026. I think we are a little bit more conservative on zinc prices with some rising supply demand, which is not following up that fast. We know that prices have been pretty resilient, but my question for you guys is the CapEx, and I understand that you still budgeted this, but does the CapEx for next year have flexibility to adjust in case of lower zinc prices? We know that Cerro Pasco has some development to happen. We know that Aripuanã, also, as you mentioned, is working on the fourth filter.
My question here is just to understand a little bit on how flexibility do you feel that you have for CapEx if needed. Thank you.
Leonardo Coelho, Senior VP of Mining Operations, Nexa Resources: Thank you for the question. We have some flexibility on CapEx. Let’s say we have three streams on CapEx. One is the projects that we have that are important for us, the fourth filter, the Cerro Pasco Integration Project, and those we have to develop because at the end of the day, this is value creation for the company in the long term. The second one is sustaining CapEx, which is the CapEx that you have to incur to make sure that you achieve your production for the year and that you make the money that you are expecting to make. That is something that is somehow flexible, but it’s better to achieve that because otherwise the operations are going to suffer in 2027 because you have to develop the mines, you have to buy the equipment, and we are very, very rigid or disciplined on that.
The third is the CapEx that we have in different projects that follow a capital allocation strategy. That CapEx that accounts more or less 20% to 25% of the total CapEx is the one that is flexible for us for 2026 and in general. Okay? Having said that, you’re talking about prices. The way we do our budget is that we are very conservative on zinc. Zinc is our main metal. We believe that doing a conservative price scenario for zinc for next year for us is important. We challenge our operations and make sure that we have the production we want, we have the cost that we want, and we achieve the CapEx that we need to achieve. Okay?
The good thing is that we also produce other metals, 70,000 tons of lead, 12 million ounces of silver, which is a lot, and the upside on silver is very high. We produce almost 30,000 tons of copper. These three metals that are byproducts for us are showing fundamental values that might be able to be similar to the levels that we have today in 2026. Having said that, managing the variables that we can manage, I believe being conservative on zinc, we might get some exposure in the other metals, and we might get a more robust cash flow. Okay?
Clear, guys. Thank you so much.
Conference Operator: Our next question comes from Lawson Winder with BofA Securities. Mr. Winder, you may proceed.
Lawson Winder, Analyst, BofA Securities: Operator, can you hear me okay?
Leonardo Coelho, Senior VP of Mining Operations, Nexa Resources: Yeah.
Lawson Winder, Analyst, BofA Securities: Okay. Fantastic. My screen was just showing that I was muted. Thanks for confirming that. Good morning, Rodrigo and team. Thank you for today’s presentation. If I could just turn the attention back to Aripuanã and dig in a bit more on the workforce turnover issues that you had had. Of course, on recent calls, you’ve spoken to some of the efforts to address those. Where is that today? Where is the turnover versus recent peaks? Some of the programs that you’ve spoken to in the past to address the issue, how are those proceeding? Thank you.
Leonardo Coelho, Senior VP of Mining Operations, Nexa Resources: Yeah. No, very important your question because Aripuanã has been a very difficult project to build. We had a very tough two years of commissioning. One of the work streams that is very important for us is turnover. We started with a turnover of 35, 40%, and that was very high because this Aripuanã location is very isolated from the rest of Brazil. It’s a small town that we have been developing for the long term. We have been working on putting schools, on hospitals, and building entertainment for families. That is important for us. You are right, turnover is improving. The average that we have today is between 18 to 20%, which is still high. The measures that we take is the most important one is trying to make sure that the families that live there have a long-term view of staying in the town.
This is schools, this is health programs, this is building programs for the wives. We are also working on retention programs for key people. We need to bring senior people because of the turnover. The senior people are the ones that really manage the plant, the mine, and the main facilities. Because of the turnover, you have to train and train and train again. We are putting programs for senior people with retention bonuses that are important. We are giving them flexibility on the fly-in, fly-out again. There is a coordination effort to make sure that this turnover goes down to normal levels that are between 8 to 10%. Having said that, we experienced that many years in the past in Vazante. This is a process. We are aware that this is a process. We take some backup actions here.
One is that instead of having, let’s say, in maintenance for the plant, a shift of 20 people, we have more. We train them all, and with the turnover, we have the full people or the full team in the plant whenever it’s needed. We have also some backup plans that are costing us money. If you can see, the cost of Aripuanã today is high, but it’s part of the progress that we need to build in terms of building the team that we want. We have very good people there. We have talented people there. It’s difficult for them because, again, Brazil is also a very full employment. We compete with other industries and other mining companies. We have to do a big effort to retain this talent. I think we are doing the right thing. We believe we have the right strategy.
That’s why turnover is going down, but still, there is a long way to go.
Lawson Winder, Analyst, BofA Securities: Okay. Fantastic. Thank you for that perspective. I also wanted to just say thank you for providing that specific Q4 guidance. On Cerro Lindo, you didn’t mention silver, but the guidance and NIMAS results imply flat silver production in Q4 versus Q3. Is that accurate?
Leonardo Coelho, Senior VP of Mining Operations, Nexa Resources: Hi Lawson, this is Rodrigo. Thanks for the question. You’re right. We expect Cerro Lindo to perform slightly better in 4Q versus 3Q in terms of zinc production and lead production. Silver may be flat quarter over quarter. This is basically driven by the current mine plan. As we move forward with the 4Q reaching the end of the year, we’re going to revise the very short-term mine plan to see if we can eventually access higher silver grades. So far, we are planning to have a flat quarter over quarter in terms of silver.
Lawson Winder, Analyst, BofA Securities: Thank you very much, Rodrigo. Finally, Ignacio, a question for you, just given where you come from. There’s a national election just around the corner in Peru. What is your view right now on the mood in the country? Is there any risk of a potential material change in direction post-elections, particularly as it pertains to mining?
Leonardo Coelho, Senior VP of Mining Operations, Nexa Resources: Yeah, it’s a very important question. We have a new president that is in place two weeks ago. If you are not local or you’re not close to Peru, you believe that this is a very difficult situation in terms of a political environment, which it is. In any case, what I want to convey, and this will happen also for the next elections, is that the country or the mining sector runs according to your relationship with communities and relationship with authorities regarding permits and projects and doing that. In the last 10, 15 years, the case has been that if you keep a strong relationship with communities, you make a win-win strategy and you develop your projects, it shouldn’t be a problem in the political environment. The political environment, in a sense, is isolated from the day-to-day of mining companies and other industries as well.
Having said that, it’s difficult to predict what will happen in the new election because today we have many candidates, and this has been the case for the last also 15, 20 years. Towards finishing to start the first round, which I think is in April next year, we will know three to five days before who are going to be the ones that are going to go to the second round. Today, we don’t know. This is a career that is a marathon from here to April. The comment is that I think most presidents have realized always that the income that they get from the mining sector is so important that they cannot affect the mining companies and the mining sector.
This has been the case for Las Bambas, this has been the case for Cerro Verde and for most mining companies because 12, 15% of the GDP of Peru is mining. I think everybody realizes that it’s good to keep the mining sector going on. I think this relates to new projects, this relates to permits that you will get, this relates to relationship with authorities that you have, but then you have to build always relationships with communities. This is more or less the context, Lawson. I believe it’s going to be, there is a lot that we can say in the next months. We have to wait. We have to wait.
Lawson Winder, Analyst, BofA Securities: Okay, thank you very much.
Conference Operator: Now, I’ll turn the call over to Mr. Rodrigo Cammarosano for reading questions. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you, Operator. We have one initial question from an investor. The question is, with an increased silver price, is Nexa Resources pursuing any opportunities to increase silver production? I will hand this question to José Carlos.
Lawson Winder, Analyst, BofA Securities: Thank you, Rodrigo. The short answer is no. I wish that we had that flexibility. As you probably know, for us, silver is a byproduct. It comes together with the other metals that we produce, and they already have a defined mining plan. It’s very difficult to prioritize, even though it would be great given current prices. However, the good news, and you probably remember this, we have a silver streaming agreement that dates back from 2016 or 2017. This is related to the silver production of Cerro Lindo. 65% of the Cerro Lindo silver production goes to the silver streamer. This streaming contract stipulates that once a certain threshold of 90 million ounces is reached, this steps down to 25%. This is happening towards the end of the second quarter. We expect that this will happen towards the end of the second quarter of next year.
Cerro Lindo produces close to 4 million ounces, close to 4 million ounces of silver. This is about 1.6 million ounces. This could be $70 to $75 million of additional cash flow at current prices. This is significant. This is good news, even though our silver production is not that flexible. This is good news for Nexa Resources in 2026.
Conference Operator: This concludes our question and answer section. I would now like to hand the call over to Mr. Ignacio Rosado for his closing remarks. Mr. Rosado, please go ahead.
Thank you very much. Thank you very much all for attending one more time. I would like to reiterate our commitment to deliver a strong production on the fourth quarter of this year. I believe that at these price levels, we should be able to generate additional cash flow. This has been a very difficult year for us. As we were saying, we have a very weak first half of the year based on the Aripuanã performance, based on the geotechnical problems we had in Vazante, and also based on the poor market of smelters regarding the TCs, very low TCs and sometimes negative TCs that affected the cash flows of the smelters. With those challenges, the third quarter for us was strong. We believe that we are in the good trend to build a fourth quarter, also similar to the third one.
Next year, we are very committed to make sure that Aripuanã achieves full production, that we finish the piping system in Cerro Pasco, and that we are exposed to better commercial terms to our smelters, especially in Brazil. Thank you very much to all. We look forward to speaking to you for our year-closing numbers. Thank you.
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