Earnings call transcript: ON Semiconductor Q3 2025 shows EPS beat, stock dips

Published 03/11/2025, 16:44
 Earnings call transcript: ON Semiconductor Q3 2025 shows EPS beat, stock dips

ON Semiconductor Corporation reported its Q3 2025 earnings, revealing an EPS of $0.63, surpassing the forecast of $0.59. Revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $1.55 billion against a forecast of $1.52 billion. Despite these positive results, the company’s stock experienced a 1.9% decline in pre-market trading, closing at $49.13.

Key Takeaways

  • ON Semiconductor’s Q3 EPS of $0.63 beat forecasts by 6.78%.
  • Revenue reached $1.55 billion, a 6% increase quarter-over-quarter.
  • Despite strong earnings, stock fell 1.9% in pre-market trading.
  • Automotive and industrial sectors showed robust growth.
  • New technologies and acquisitions drive innovation.

Company Performance

ON Semiconductor demonstrated solid performance in Q3 2025, with a 6% sequential revenue increase. The company’s strategic focus on automotive and industrial markets paid off, with automotive revenue growing by 7% and industrial revenue by 5%. This aligns with broader industry trends favoring advancements in automotive technologies and industrial automation.

Financial Highlights

  • Revenue: $1.55 billion, up 6% quarter-over-quarter.
  • Earnings per share: $0.63, surpassing the $0.59 forecast.
  • Non-GAAP Gross Margin: 38%.
  • Cash from Operations: $419 million.
  • Free Cash Flow: $372 million, representing 21% of revenue.

Earnings vs. Forecast

ON Semiconductor exceeded analyst expectations with an EPS of $0.63, a 6.78% surprise over the anticipated $0.59. Revenue also saw a positive surprise, reaching $1.55 billion compared to the forecasted $1.52 billion. This marks a continuation of the company’s recent trend of outperforming market expectations.

Market Reaction

Despite the earnings beat, ON Semiconductor’s stock fell by 1.9% in pre-market trading, closing at $49.13. This decline contrasts with the company’s strong performance and may reflect broader market volatility or profit-taking by investors. The stock remains within its 52-week range, having previously hit a high of $74.52.

Outlook & Guidance

Looking forward, ON Semiconductor projects Q4 2025 revenue between $1.48 billion and $1.58 billion, with a non-GAAP gross margin of 37-39%. The company anticipates continued growth in AI data center and power efficiency technologies, signaling potential market stabilization.

Executive Commentary

CEO Hassane El-Khoury emphasized the company’s growth in AI, stating, "We are seeing stabilization in automotive and industrial while continuing to grow in AI." CFO Thad Trent highlighted financial discipline, noting, "We remain focused on disciplined execution and financial leverage."

Risks and Challenges

  • Supply chain disruptions could impact manufacturing efficiency.
  • Market saturation in key sectors may limit growth opportunities.
  • Macroeconomic pressures, such as inflation, could affect costs.
  • Competitive pressures in the semiconductor industry remain high.
  • Potential geopolitical tensions could impact international operations.

Q&A

During the earnings call, analysts focused on the company’s market stabilization efforts and growth in AI data centers. Management expressed cautious optimism, noting no immediate impact from the Nexperia situation and highlighting ongoing customer diversification efforts.

Full transcript - ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) Q3 2025:

Conference Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to ON Semiconductor Quarter 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker’s presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you would need to press Star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press Star 11 again. Please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded. I would like now to turn the conference over to Parag Agarwal, Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Development. Please go ahead.

Parag Agarwal, Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Development, ON Semiconductor: Thank you, Michelle. Good morning, and thank you for joining ON Semiconductor Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call. I’m joined today by Hassane El-Khoury, our President and CEO, and Thad Trent, our CFO. This call is being webcast on the Investor Relations section of our website at www.onsemi.com. A replay of this webcast, along with our Quarter 2 earnings release, will be available on our website approximately one hour following this conference call, and the recorded webcast will be available for approximately 30 days following this conference call. Additional information is posted on the Investor Relations section of our website. Our earnings release and this presentation include certain non-GAAP financial measures.

Reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and a discussion of certain limitations when using non-GAAP financial measures are included in our earnings release, which is posted separately on our website in the Investor Relations section. During the course of this conference call, we’ll make projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future events or the future financial performance of the company. We wish to caution that such statements are subject to risk and uncertainties that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from projections. Important factors that can affect our business, including factors that can cause actual results to differ materially from our forward-looking statements, are described in our most recent Form 10-K, Form 10-Q, and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission and in our earnings release for the Quarter 2.

Our estimates or other forward-looking statements might change, and the company assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements to reflect actual results, changed assumptions, or other events that may occur except as required by law. Now, let me turn it over to Hassane. Hassane.

Hassane El-Khoury, President and CEO, ON Semiconductor: Thank you, Parag. Good morning, and thank you all for joining us. We are pleased with our Quarter 2 results, which reflect the strength of our strategy and the resilience of our business model. Our Quarter 2 results exceeded the midpoint of our guidance with revenue of $1.55 billion, non-GAAP gross margin of 38%, and earnings per share towards the high end of our range at $0.63. We have been positioning the company for a market recovery, and we believe we are well aligned to benefit as demand normalizes. We’re already seeing stabilization in automotive and industrial while continuing to grow in AI. Our Trail platform continues to scale across our core markets, and our recent acquisitions are expanding our portfolio and accelerating our roadmap. We are delivering solutions that help customers scale performance while improving energy efficiency and system cost.

The growing demand for high-efficiency power delivery across our end markets of automotive, industrial, and AI positions us for long-term growth. We remain committed to our gross margin expansion strategy through innovation, with both organic and inorganic investments and differentiation, and have achieved four significant milestones that I’d like to highlight. First is our Trail platform. Our new products continue to scale, and our design funnel now exceeds $1 billion, driven by strong customer engagement across automotive, industrial, and AI infrastructure. We remain on track to double the number of products sampling this year. Teledyne Technologies selected our Trail platform to develop next-generation products for infrared imaging systems. Trail’s process technology combines precision analog, advanced digital, and low-voltage power features to meet the demands of infrared focal plane array systems used in aerospace, defense, and security applications. Second is our vertical GaN, or VGAN.

Last quarter, I highlighted our strategic investment in our generation wide band gap semiconductors. Last week, we announced our VGAN platform developed on proprietary GaN-on-GaN architecture in our Syracuse fab in New York. VGAN conducts current vertically through the chip, enabling higher operating voltages versus lateral GaN and faster switching and record power density. It reduces energy loss by up to 50%, making it ideal for AI data centers, EVs, renewable energy, and aerospace, defense, and security. Sampling is already underway with lead customers in automotive and AI. This launch expands our leadership beyond silicon and silicon carbide, giving customers a future-ready toolkit to meet rising performance and efficiency demands. Third, our SIG JFET continues to proliferate, and we have been ramping revenue in AI data centers for high-current workloads.

We’re also seeing traction in aerospace, defense, and security, where our SIG JFETs are now deployed in low-orbit satellite platforms, delivering industry-leading radiation ruggedness and power density. And fourth is our VCORE acquisition. In Q3, we expanded our analog and mixed-signal portfolio with the acquisition of VCORE power technology and IP assets from Auro Semiconductor. This transaction accelerates our roadmap for advanced multiphase controllers and monolithic smart power stages, enabling us to close key gaps in our offering and deliver comprehensive solutions for the next generation AI data centers and compute platforms. These new products will be integrated into our Trail platform, enhancing performance, reliability, and energy efficiency at the point of load and support X86 and ARM-based architectures. Sampling begins this quarter with production release expected in early 2026.

Shifting to the demand environment, we are seeing stabilization in the near term with automotive, which grew 7%, and industrial, which grew 5% sequentially, and our design wins in both markets continue to reflect a broad global engagement. For example, our industrial image sensor funnel is up 55% year over year, with traction in factory automation and inspection. We continue to ramp our AI revenue, which again approximately doubled year over year in Q3 and is now becoming material, with almost $250 million expected in 2025. Regionally, our revenue in the Americas grew 22% sequentially from momentum in automotive and aerospace, defense, and security. Japan was up 38% quarter over quarter, driven by traction in automotive and image sensing. Europe was down 4% as macro softness persisted, while China was down 7% sequentially.

In China, we secured strategic wins in high-voltage traction inverters with a leading tier one for multiple local OEMs. We also expanded our position at NIO with SICK for their traction inverter across their newest brand and with our 8-megapixel image sensor for their ADAS applications. AI is reshaping the power landscape both inside and outside the data center. Their National Energy Agency projects that electricity demand from AI-optimized data centers will quadruple by 2030, making power efficiency and density critical differentiators, an area where ON Sem leads. ON Sem’s intelligent power technologies span the full power tree from solar and storage systems to UPS and rack-level PSUs, optimizing every watt before it reaches the processor. In Q3, we secured strategic wins in solar and energy storage platforms that are foundational to hyperscale AI deployments.

Our latest generation of IGBTs and SiC in the most advanced hybrid modules were selected for high-efficiency solar inverters and energy storage systems, or ESS, including wins with two of the leading utility solar inverter suppliers in China. We also secured the next generation large-scale stationary storage with a large OEM in the United States as microgrid deployments are rapidly emerging as a key growth vector across our end markets. This business is reported under our industrial segment, and we expect our latest generation FieldStop 7 IGBT revenue to increase in 2025 over 2024, with continued double-digit growth expected in 2026. Turning to the AI data center itself, at the UPS level, a leading industrial OEM has integrated ON Sem’s SiC MOSFET into their latest three-phase UPS platform, where superior efficiency and power density were key differentiators.

At the rack level, we secured multiple design wins across high-efficiency PSUs with our SIG FETs, T10 Trench MOSFET, and SiC JFET into 5.5 kilowatt AI server PSUs with top global PSU providers, delivering best-in-class thermal performance, supply assurance, and switching efficiency for hyperscale deployment. At the compute board level, we have introduced high-efficiency smart power stages and secured design wins on multiple platforms with leading XPU providers. The acquisition of IP from Auro Semiconductor further strengthened our SPS and controller offerings for power-to-the-core applications. Our collaboration with NVIDIA is also accelerating the industry’s transition to 800-volt DC power architecture critical for next-generation AI data centers. These technology achievements and customer engagements reflect the strength of our differentiated power and sensing portfolios and our ability to deliver system-level value in the high-growth segments of our core markets.

Let me now turn it over to Thad to give you more detail on our results and guidance for the fourth quarter. Thanks, Hassane. Our third-quarter results were driven by disciplined execution and prudent management of the business. We have made structural changes across our portfolio and our manufacturing footprint that will enable margin expansion at scale and position us for a market recovery. These initiatives will continue in future quarters, and we are committed to extracting value through our fab-like activities. Our investments in next-generation technologies, including Trail, VCORE, silicon carbide JFET, and vertical GaN, are reshaping our mix and strengthening our competitive advantage to further our leadership position. In addition, we continue to return capital to our shareholders. Year to date, we have repurchased $925 million of shares, returning approximately 100% of our free cash flow to shareholders.

Turning to the third-quarter results, we exceeded the midpoint of our guidance with revenue of $1.55 billion, increasing 6% over Q2. Automotive revenue was $787 million, which increased 7% sequentially, driven by increases in Americas, China, and Japan. Revenue for industrial was $426 million, up 5% sequentially, primarily driven by aerospace, defense, and security. Outside of auto and industrial, our other business increased 2% quarter over quarter with continued momentum in AI data center. Looking at the third-quarter results between the business units, we saw sequential revenue growth in all three business units. Revenue for the Power Solutions Group, or PSG, was $738 million, an increase of 6% quarter over quarter and a decrease of 11% year over year. Revenue for the Analog and Mixed Signal Group, or AMG, was $583 million, an increase of 5% quarter over quarter and a decrease of 11% year over year.

Revenue for the Intelligent Sensing Group, or ISG, was $230 million, a 7% increase quarter over quarter and a decline of 18% over the same quarter last year as we strategically refocused this business. Turning to gross margin in the third quarter, GAAP gross margin was 37.9%, and non-GAAP gross margin was 38%, above the midpoint of our guidance due to favorable mix within the quarter. Manufacturing utilization was up compared to Q2 at 74% as we started to build DiBank inventory to support the mass market. We expect utilization to be flat to down slightly in the fourth quarter as we complete these builds. GAAP operating expenses were $323 million, and non-GAAP operating expenses were $291 million. GAAP operating margin for the quarter was 17%, and non-GAAP operating margin was 19.2%. Our GAAP tax rate was 6.5%, and non-GAAP tax rate was approximately 16%.

Diluted GAAP earnings per share was $0.63, and non-GAAP earnings per share was also $0.63. GAAP and non-GAAP diluted share count was 408 million shares, and we repurchased $325 million of shares in the third quarter. Since launching our share repurchase program in February 2023, we have repurchased $2.1 billion and had approximately $861 million remaining on our authorization at the end of the quarter. Turning to the balance sheet, cash and short-term investments was approximately $2.9 billion, with total liquidity of $4 billion, including $1.1 billion undrawn on a revolver. Cash from operations was $419 million, and free cash flow was $372 million. Our year-to-date free cash flow is 21% of revenue, and we remain on track to deliver strong free cash flow margin for the full year. Capital expenditures were $46 million, or 3% of revenue.

Inventory decreased by $39 million to 194 days from 208 days in Q2. This includes 82 days of bridge inventory to support fab transitions and silicon carbide, down from 87 days in Q2. Excluding the strategic builds, our base inventory is healthy at 112 days. Distribution inventory declined to 10.5 weeks from 10.8 weeks in Q2 and within our target range of 9 to 11 weeks. Looking forward, let me provide you the key elements of our non-GAAP guidance for the fourth quarter. As a reminder, today’s press release contains a table detailing our GAAP and non-GAAP guidance. Our guidance is inclusive of our current expectation that there is no material direct impact of tariffs announced as of today. We anticipate Q4 revenue will be in the range of $1.48 billion-$1.58 billion. Our non-GAAP gross margin is expected to be between 37%-39%, which includes share-based compensation of $8 million.

Non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be between $282 million-$297 million, which includes share-based compensation of $32 million. We anticipate our non-GAAP other income to be a net benefit of $7 million, with our interest income exceeding interest expense. We expect our non-GAAP tax rate to be approximately 16%, and our non-GAAP diluted share count is expected to be approximately 405 million shares. This results in non-GAAP earnings per share in the range of $0.57-$0.67. We expect capital expenditures in the range of $20 million-$40 million. To close, we remain focused on discipline execution and financial leverage. The structural changes we have made across our portfolio, operations, and manufacturing footprint are driving margin expansion and positioning ON Semiconductor for long-term earnings power. With over 100% of our year-to-date free cash flow returned to shareholders, we continue to prioritize capital efficiency and shareholder value while investing in innovation and differentiation.

As the market stabilizes, we are well aligned to scale with demand and deliver sustainable growth. With that, I’d like to turn the call back over to Michelle to open it up for Q&A. Thank you. As a reminder to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. Our first question comes from Ross Seymore with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open. Thanks for the question, guys. First one, I want to ask about the automotive side of things. Upside in the quarter nicely versus the low single-digit guide that you had.

So, Hassane, I just wanted to get an update on what you’re seeing in that end market, what caused the upside, and perhaps what’s the sustainability of that sort of growth as you look into the fourth quarter and then 2026 as well. Yeah. Nothing really out of the ordinary. You can think about the Q3 and Q4 as I do, which is what I’ve been talking about. I look at the second half versus the first half of the year. The quarter-on-quarter lumpiness as customers try as new designs ramp, I wouldn’t read much into it. What we’re seeing in automotive is really stabilization, which is a positive from where we were. The quarter-on-quarter, I don’t think I read anything into it. It’s purely between seasonality and ramps. As far as 2026, we’ll let you know as we get closer.

A lot of things going on out in the world, so we’re not guiding specifically by market into 2026. What I can tell you is demand is stabilizing. We’re starting to see a seasonal trend. One thing I would highlight is we haven’t seen a restocking cycle yet. That’s still out there. Thanks for that color. I guess this is my second question, perhaps a little bit of a longer-term one. You, for the first time, I believe, sized the AI business at about $250 million, I think, for this year as a whole, so what are the roughly 4% of sales. Can you just talk about how ON differentiates in that? You mentioned the collaboration list on the 800-volt with NVIDIA, and that’s great to be on that list, but there’s 13 other folks on the list as well.

As you look at that market, how do you believe that $250 million will grow, and what’s the differentiation ON delivers to drive that growth? Yeah. That’s a very good question. Overall, we expect the AI data center for us to continue to grow. We look at ourselves as really the share gainer from some of the companies that have been in that market longer than we have. Being able to post $250 million or about $250 million revenues is pretty stellar. You can see our investments accelerating in that across the whole power tree. From a customer perspective, to answer your question more directly, if you take that "crowded space" of 13 or however many companies and you look at who can go from wall to core, there are only two. We are the shared gainer. We are one of the two.

The way we differentiate is we are one of the only companies that are able to support the power delivery from the high voltage all the way to the core, all with the product portfolio that we have that we have grown organically or even inorganically with the VCOR acquisition. That is how we differentiate. We have proven that differentiation through our JFET, Silicon Carbide, through our AMG with the products that they have been delivering, and the revenue growth that has doubled year on year, every quarter in the first three quarters to deliver that number I gave in 2025 is really the proof of that. Thank you. Our next question will come from Vivek Arya with Bank of America. Your line is open. Thanks for taking my question.

Hassan, I know it is a little early and I am not asking for quantitative guidance, but I am curious how you are thinking about seasonality in Q1 and just growth in 2026 overall versus how you thought about it three months ago. No change from where we were three months ago. Still with the same outlook, same expectation. Okay. For my follow-up, maybe on utilization and gross margins, I think you said something about utilization perhaps flat to slightly down, anything more to read into it? If you could just remind us, what is your seasonal pattern in Q1? If there is some utilization headwind from Q4, how does that kind of reflect in gross margins in Q1 just based on historical seasonal trends? Thank you. Yeah.

Our utilization increased to 74% in Q3, as I said in the prepared remarks. We have been building die bank inventory for the mass market. This is a market that we have talked about for probably well over a year about needing to seed that market. We have been doing it through the distribution channel. Now we have to hold inventory in die bank for kind of quick turn on that mass market that we need to invest in. I expect it to be down, the utilization to be down in Q4 because we expect those builds to be completed. Going back to kind of a normal, normalized utilization rate from that point forward, excuse me. You can think about utilization, the impact on utilization as having a couple-quarter impact on the P&L. There is always a delay on that, right?

If you think about going into next year, and obviously we’re not providing any guidance at this point, but we think between Q4 and kind of the next couple quarters, we’re looking at seasonal patterns. If you take the midpoint of our guidance for Q4, it’s directly in line with normal seasonality, which is typically flat to down 2%. I think the midpoint of our guidance is down about 1.3%. To answer your question about kind of what’s the normal seasonality in Q1, it’s typically down 2-3%. Does that mean slightly lower gross margin in Q1 time, or just how should we be prepared based on if that kind of seasonality is what actually emerges? Look, we’re not guiding that far out, Vivek, but there’s tailwinds as the utilization improves over time. Got it. Thank you. Our next question is going to come from Chris Danely with Citi.

Your line is open. Hey, thanks, Gang. I’m sure you’ve seen this ongoing soap opera, Nexperia. Have you seen any impact to your business, either directly or indirectly, or do you anticipate any impact longer term from all this stuff going on over there? Look, as you said, there’s a big impact. It’s too soon to call anything. We’re focusing really on the business that I’ve really outlined. What I can say about that, obviously, is we have a lot of the same customers, and we are supporting our customers to the extent we can, and we’ll continue to do that with the complete portfolio, not just the parts that may be impacted. What I can say is I’m not redirecting any changes from where we are, but we are supporting customers as they request it. Okay. Thanks, Hassane.

For my follow-up, it seems like the auto market is starting to do a little better than the industrial end market. We’ve seen this trend at several of your peers. Going forward, would you expect auto to keep outgrowing industrial for the next few/several quarters? I wouldn’t put the two kind of—I guess I wouldn’t compare the two and read anything into a difference in growth quarter on quarter. Both of them have growth factors that we are participating in, but the lumpiness that you see between the two is purely a market timing or a build-out timing. Some of the industrial was from some of the slowdown in the solar deployment in China. That’s temporary. As you go from a tariff to a market pricing, there’s a shift in there. We see that as temporary and will continue to grow.

We talked about some of the industrial growing because of the AI data center power requirements that I highlighted, like energy storage system driven by AI, but we call those out in our industrial market. That’s some of the growth vectors in industrial and automotive. Obviously, it’s our major market. You know about the growth factors that we have there. So both are growing, but the delta is purely market-driven and macro-driven. I would not read anything into kind of the deltas in the few quarters here short term. All right. Thanks, Hassane. The next question will come from Blaine Curtis with Jefferies. Your line is open. Hey, morning, guys. Thanks for the question. I just want to ask about normal seasonal for December. Obviously, your company’s gone through a lot of changes, but I think in the past, particularly auto has been up in December.

I am just kind of curious how you are thinking about this guide, which is down 1%. Do you feel like that is a more normal range for you, or do you think you are undershifting the market? Yeah. As I mentioned, our normal seasonal pattern for Q4 is flat to down 2%. I think it is very positive that we have gone from this stabilization to now seeing seasonal patterns. I think that is the first step to recovery. As we think about the guidance there in Q4, both auto and industrial, we think, will be down low single digits. The other bucket will be up kind of mid to high single digits. Hassane mentioned it, right? I do not think you should kind of read into the lumpiness of the autos just because of the ramping of programs and timing.

That is how we kind of think about Q4 is laying out right now. Perfect. I wanted to ask you about that AI, I am assuming, straddles industrial and this other bucket you have. I am just kind of curious, is there a way to think about, as we try to layer on that growth, how it impacts those two buckets? Yeah. The AI data center is reported in the other bucket. Everything prior to the data center wall is in industrial. Think about all the energy storage, energy infrastructure. That is sitting in industrial. AI data center specifically inside the four walls of the data center is in the other bucket. Gotcha. Thanks, Hassane. Our next question comes from Gary Mobley with Loop Capital. Your line is open. Morning, guys. Thanks for taking my question.

I think last quarter it was communicated, the specifics to the revenue headwind as you exit nine core businesses. If I recall correctly, it was assumed to be a $200 million revenue headwind for this fiscal year, $300 million for next year. Is there any change from that outlook? No change. For Q3, we exited about $45 million of nine core exits. That leaves about $55 million here for Q4. That is right in line with our expectations. You nailed it going into 2026. There is about 5% of the 2025 revenue that does not repeat. No change from what we were talking about last quarter. Great. Thank you. I guess there has been some news, maybe it is a few months old now, about. The big analog player raising prices. How do you think that impacts sort of a pricing reset as we transition to the next calendar year?

I think we’re expecting normal pricing behavior. I don’t know if the other company you’re talking about is something specific to them or not, but obviously, things can change. We’re monitoring the situation always. As you can imagine, it’s very dynamic out there. Right now, we’re not expecting any of that in 2026. You can think about it as if anything does happen, it will be upside. Got it. Thank you, guys. The next question will come from Quinn Bolton with Needham & Co. Your line is open. Hey, Hassane, I was wondering if you could give us a little bit more detail on the VCORE power or exactly what comes into the business with that acquisition. I think in the script you mentioned VCORE for X86 and ARM processors. Obviously, there’s a huge number of voltage regulators on the XPU side.

Does VCORE help you on that, or does that come from the existing ARM product portfolio? I got a follow-up. You can think about it as a combination of both. The way we look at the acquisition is it complements the product offering that we’re already offering with Trail. It provides products also in the short term. I talked about revenue generation coming here in 2026. That gives you time to market while we integrate those architectural and product functions into our base Trail platform. It’s a very synergistic approach that gives us the acquisition itself, time to market, and in long term, it gives us an architectural advantage from a performance perspective once we leverage the performance of Trail from a technology base.

Reading between the lines, are you taking those VCORE products as they are today into the market for 2026, but longer term, you’ll redesign them using the Trail platform to get better performance? Yes. Yeah. Got it. You guys mentioned the entry into the vertical GaN market. GaN to date hasn’t been used that much in the high-power segments of the market, I think, because of reliability issues. Can you just address how do you feel the vertical GaN technology compares with lateral GaN on reliability? Can you give us any sense on when you think that might start to go into production? Yeah. I’ll tell you, vertical GaN is better on the reliability side. It has all the inherent features from the lateral GaN, but better on reliability from a die size perspective.

One thing you need to understand, the barrier for lateral GaN to be used in high-voltage applications has really been the fact that lateral GaN, to get it to high voltage, you have to go laterally, which makes the die size not competitive versus other similar functions. When. You look at the vertical GaN, the current goes vertically, which means that we can go higher and higher voltage without increasing the die size. Not just from a performance perspective, but also from a commercial competitiveness perspective, not just the reliability. We believe we’ve solved those. We’re sampling. We have lead customers in both AI and automotive. We’re excited about that, that we cracked that code. It is a breakthrough technology. I don’t believe anybody’s able to sample such technology outside. It gives our customers the optionality to have really a broad portfolio of high-voltage, high-efficiency products.

Anytime you need high voltage and high switching frequency, vertical GaN is the solution and the answer. Thank you. Our next question will come from Joe Quartrocchi with Wells Fargo. Your line is open. Yeah. Thanks for taking the questions. I was wondering, a quarter to go, any sort of color you could provide on your expectations for silicon carbide revenue growth this year? We didn’t provide any guidance on silicon carbide, but I’ll tell you, silicon carbide is coming in exactly where we expected. We continue to gain share in our end customers, and our position in China remains unchanged as new products are ramping. I mentioned one of a couple of examples here. One is the NIO launching a new brand where we were designed into that new brand with silicon carbide.

A broader deployment now in China EVs through a leading tier one in China gives us really exposure to beyond just the top 10 OEMs that we’ve been engaged to. That gives you a little bit of an outlook or a feel into our penetration with silicon carbide will continue to increase, and we will continue to gain share. Thanks. As a follow-up, I was wondering if you could talk about the rate of short lead time orders that you’re seeing and how that compares in the third quarter relative to the prior quarter and if you’re seeing any increased visibility. Our lead times actually pushed out slightly. We’re kind of in the mid-teen weeks. We’re up around 20 weeks or so now. I don’t think there’s been a significant change to the short lead time orders at this point. Customers are layering in backlog as they have visibility.

We probably have seen order patterns that continue to improve, which gives us that confidence in the stabilization right now. Thank you. Our next question will come from Joshua Buchalter with TD Cowen. Your line is open. Hey, guys. Thank you for taking my question. I was hoping you could provide a little bit more color on the revenue by geography. It seemed like there was a lot of volatility this quarter with Americas up so strongly. In particular, China down. Could you maybe elaborate on some of the drivers there? Was the Americas strength led by your lead customer and, yeah, what’s going on in China? Thank you. Yeah. In our prepared remarks, we laid out the quarter-over-quarter changes on each of the markets. There is some kind of movement of orders between some geographies as well. A large customer is now placing orders out of Japan versus Europe.

If you normalize for that, Japan comes down slightly, Europe goes up a little bit. The rest of it is just what we’re seeing as a normal pattern at this point. Not a lot to read into those bigger swings. Okay. Thank you. I was also hoping you could elaborate on what you’re seeing now and why it’s the right time to start building up die bank inventory and taking utilization rates up, especially ahead of a couple down seasonal quarters. Maybe how we should be thinking big picture about your capacity planning with those utilization rates. Thank you. Yeah. Look, I think we’ve been very disciplined on utilization versus inventory versus outlook and demand. I think we’ve proven that the formula works. We’re not sitting here on a ton of inventory. Our base inventory is actually closer to the low end of our target, which is 110-120 days.

I think we’re sitting at like 112. 112, yep. 112. I think Thad mentioned it, the die bank inventory we’re building is really for the mass market. For the last two to three quarters, we have been consistently talking about how we are going to be growing. Our customer count increased almost 20% year on year just in the mass market. Therefore, the demand is there for that, and we will make sure that we have it in die bank internally so we can respond to changes in demand that usually come from the mass market. We do see the business justification for it. That doesn’t mean that we’re going to be building blindly. We will maintain our targets. We will maintain inventory and all of our metrics within the range that we’ve previously outlined. I see this as business as usual, really. Yeah.

Just to point out also that even with that die bank increase, our inventory actually declined quarter on quarter $39 million. It’s a mixed shift within our base inventory to get a better profile of inventory for that mass market. Thank you both. The next question will come from Tore Svanberg with Stifel. Your line is open. Yes. Thank you. Hassane, with the recent acquisitions. I know you have a slide that talks about power delivery from grid to processors and the content per rack going from maybe a few thousand dollars today to maybe as much as $50,000 by 2027 or so. I mean, do you have all the IP and all the building blocks right now to get there, or is this sort of more of an opportunity and you still need to build out a few more things before you get to those types of numbers?

I think with whatever we need, call it in the next couple of years, we either have it or are working on it both organically and inorganically. Obviously, the ecosystem is evolving. Things that are needed three, four years from now are slightly different. We believe we have a very full portfolio of the IP that we need, and we will be creating products very quickly based on that IP. You can think about it as we have built a toolbox with all the IP and technology, and we are quickly deploying products. I mean, you’ve seen us double the number of products and Trail overall year on year, which we remain on track to do. You’re going to see kind of that same mindset on AI data center along with automotive and so on. We do have the toolbox. We do have the IP.

We developed it internally and/or acquired it, and we will be deploying it to win in these markets to capture a lot of that share from the dollars you mentioned on the rack. Great. Great. Thank you for that. That’s my follow-up, and I want to just take a step back on VGAN. Could you just give us a little bit of history here? I mean, I know it’s obviously in your own Syracuse fab, but how many years has this been in development? Maybe back to Quinn’s question, when do you start to expect some revenues here? Because obviously, this is a very unique approach to GaN. Any sort of historical context and future revenue contribution milestones would be great to know. Sure. We started working on it through acquisition of IP and assets back in 2024. Since then, we’ve turned on the fab, launched the first products.

First products from a, call it electrically speaking, are yielding, are functioning. Therefore, we were very aggressive in our deployment with samples to customers. We have lead customers in our major markets of automotive and AI data centers that are currently evaluating the first-generation samples, and we’re already working on the second generation. We expect revenue, you can think about it in the 2027 timeframe. Great. Thank you so much. The next question will come from Christopher Rolland with Susquehanna. Your line is open. Thanks so much for the question. My questions are really around AI as well and what seems like a bigger push over the last few quarters. Just some of these applications that you mentioned. I wanted to know if you could address, could you do things like solid-state transformers? It sounds like you’re in the PSU, 48-volt bus converters.

I guess the last one would be hot swaps as well. Do you address these or do you plan on addressing these over the next few years? We address every single one of them already. When I refer to, and we have it online too, when we refer to our ability to address the power tree, that was my answer before as far as how do we differentiate. Our ability to address already today the whole power tree, including all of the IP and functionality required that you have mentioned, some of them, is the differentiation we bring. The answer is yes to all. We do that today, and we will continue to expand that portfolio as we gain share. Excellent. And Hassane.

Secondly, on silicon carbide, as we kind of digest that growth outlook, perhaps you can talk about some of the moving parts like geographically or even across industries. Lastly, do you have the ability to convert to 300-millimeter wafers? We’re hearing about the potential for new applications on 300. Yeah. First off, there’s a lot of changes in the silicon carbide as new opportunities open up. For example, a few years ago, silicon carbide in AI data centers was not even a conversation point. Today, it is, and we are gaining share and really designed into the PSUs with our JFET and even our silicon carbide MOSFET. Those are new applications that our legacy with silicon carbide in automotive allowed us to really tackle very quickly and gain share with products we already have. In automotive specifically, the silicon carbide approach was for battery electric vehicles or BEVs.

As now you see a resurgence of a mix into plug-in hybrids or range extender EVs, silicon carbide is now getting designed in even in plug-in hybrids, which historically has been assumed to remain on IGBT. That’s not the case, and we are gaining share in the plug-in hybrid market with our silicon carbide. Within the market itself, there are new opportunities and really breadth of opportunities that just a few years ago when we started on this journey was not part of even our addressable market because it wasn’t there. As far as geographical, I would say I don’t expect a change in the geographical outlook for silicon carbide specifically because to a first order, it’s going to match where the electrification, whether it’s full electric vehicles or plug-in hybrids, is going to come from and where the AI data center deployments are going to come from.

That puts it strong in China and the U.S., and following behind that is Europe then Japan. Excellent. And 300 millimeter? 300 millimeter. We’ve seen it, but my point is it’s too far from now. I don’t think 300 millimeter opens up new applications. It’s a different throughput, just like 6 to 8. I’ve always said 6 to 8 inch provides us an additional capacity from the number of die per wafer. We see the 300 millimeter the same, but it’s very, very early in development today. I wouldn’t put that in any short-term models or anything. But today, we have been just, I’ll use the opportunity to give you an update on our 8 inch. Our 8 inch is in production. We’re running 8 inch in our fab at 350 micron thickness, so best in class. And we will be shipping production on track in 2026.

The 8 inch is full-on, and then we’re always looking at what’s next to come both from a device like the JFET or MOSFET, but also from a technology. Thanks, Hassane. The next question will come from Harlan Sur with JP Morgan. Your line is open. Yeah. Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Back to the mass market strategy or long tail of small to medium-sized customers. This has been a bright spot for the team, right? Solid customer account improvements. It serves through distribution, which gross margins. How big is this segment as a % of your total distribution revenues, and how did this subsegment do in the September quarter relative to your overall DISCI business? Let me give you a breakdown of the distribution revenue that may help you get there. Roughly about 58% of our business goes through distribution. About half of that is fulfillment.

Half is demand creation, right? If you think about that half, not all of that’s mass market. When we think about mass market, we’re thinking small customers, right? We at ON Semiconductor maybe don’t know their names, right? They’re emerging customers that the distributors do a good job of identifying at the opportunity. You can think about it as being a subset of that half. Maybe it’s 25% of the total distribution revenue, somewhere in that kind of camp if you think about it. If they’re a medium or large customer at that distributor, we still have, we still track that. I wouldn’t put that in the mass market. Got it. Okay. It was good to see the technology and portfolio expansion on the wide band gap with your vertical VGAN technology.

As you mentioned, I think, Hassane, it looks like this was the technology that you acquired through the acquisition of NextGen late last year. Did the acquisition also include the Hewitt Syracuse Fab Facility, or was that already a part of ON? It looks like they were able to develop this very differentiated technology but not able to commercialize it. What has the ON Semiconductor team done to take the technology beyond proof of concept to commercialization? Great question. Yes. The fab was not part of our base fab. You can think about it as a fab that came with the technology given the differentiation of the technology. You’re absolutely right on. It’s such a breakthrough and differentiated technology, very difficult to make.

What the ON Semiconductor team has brought is our ability to manufacture wide band gap and the team’s capability to be able to scale new technologies very quickly and reach maturity very quickly than, call it a startup. By the way, I will mirror this to what we’ve done with GTET and silicon carbide, if you recall. Same questioning, same conversations. Can you guys pull it off? Why would you pull it off if the others did not? And look where we are today. You can think about it. Our capability has already been proven with the GTET acquisition and building a franchise in a couple of years. That gives us leadership. You can imagine that same muscle, that same knowledge, and that same team is going to do exactly that with VGAN. Yeah. Totally agree. Thank you, Hassane. The next question will come from Jim Schneider with Goldman Sachs.

Your line is open. Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Hassane, you talked about the fact that customers are not willing to restock at this point, or you are not seeing that effect. Can you maybe talk a little bit about when you speak to OEMs, what they would need to see to get more confidence to restock? Is that broadly applicable to the distributor side as well? Yes. First, I will answer the distributor. I think distributors are from a mass market, as Thad said it, we are increasing our die bank internally because we want to be able to make sure we see the, call it the shelves as customers pull on the mass market. The OEM is slightly different. The OEMs, what they need to see, one is a credible demand signal.

Think about it, consumer-level confidence, consumer-level demand signal that people are going to buy cars or people are going to buy power tools or whatever the market is. That has to be seen. The biggest thing that they want to see, which we do also, is stabilization in the geopolitical aspect of it. As they are working on shuffling and changing logistical models and manufacturing sites and so on, they are not going to be replenishing given the changes that they are going through. What I would say is consumer confidence and geopolitical stabilization will start adding more and more confidence for OEMs to restock. Thank you. Maybe as a follow-up, give us a little more visibility on what is happening with your other segment for a minute. It sounds like data center is doing very, very well for you.

Maybe talk about what some of the offsets are that might be headwinds you saw in this quarter and then maybe what you are seeing going forward. Thank you. For Q4, I mentioned that we think that other segment is going to be up mid to high single digits. There is some normal seasonality in our non-core markets there that helps. You have AI data center that is growing as well in that market. I think those are the big drivers if you sum it up. And then, of course, we have the exits that a lot of it lands into the others bucket as offsetting the growth. So net growing actually means the strategic market like AI, data center, and so on within that is growing very, very nicely. Thank you. And the next question will come from Joe Moore with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open. Great.

Thank you. I wonder if you could give us some sense of the automotive market by region, any sort of different behaviors that you’re seeing, and I guess particularly. On China EV, there’s been sort of a lot of noise in both directions. Can you just talk to the health of that market? Yeah. Look, I think from a market, of course, we’ve always expected adjustments in that market. I’ve always said there’s over 100 brands. So between consolidation, between. Success and not success, the only strategy we have, which we’ve been executing to, and it’s worked very well for us, is customer diversification. So you’ve heard us always adding new and new customers. Leading customers in the top 10, which drive a lot of volume. And then secondary is trying to reach into that tail of OEMs. So we’re not sitting here picking winners or not winners in China.

We want to have the majority market share across the market. And as shares shift between them, our customer diversification strategy will work to our advantage. We’ve proven that very well over the last few years. We’re gaining share consistently across a broad range of OEMs and brands. Have worked for us to really de-risk the lumpiness that you’re referring. But I don’t see that as any change from the headlines. So our strategy is working, and we’ll continue to execute to that while we kind of fine-tune it as things change because things do change rapidly. Great. That’s helpful. And then you addressed an experience situation, but I guess I’m just trying to figure out why that isn’t a bigger deal. We’ve listened to some of the tier one auto suppliers, and they seem quite anxious about the situation.

Shouldn’t that be the catalyst for them to start building up inventory to sort of deal with the geopolitics of the situation? Or just. Why isn’t that something that’s a bigger deal for you guys in the next quarter or two? We’re here to support, but I will make a comment on the tier ones panicking. I’ve been saying that inventory is low for the last two years, and we’re draining inventory below critical levels. Whether Nexperia or not, any trip into supply chain is going to cause a chain reaction, and this is the proof. The only way out of this is place the backlog with visibility, and we will start planning and shipping. So we are seeing it. We are responding to it. And we will keep supporting it. Regardless of how the next few quarters go, we need the replenishment cycle.

We need to make sure that the tier ones and OEMs have safety stock in order to buffer any disruption. That is the only solution. We have learned a hard lesson in COVID, and here we are again. Yeah. Very helpful. Thank you so much. The next question will come from Harsh Kumar with Piper Sandler. Your line is open. Okay, guys. Thanks for squeezing me in. Hassane, if I can dare say that you seem somewhat, somewhat cautiously excited about your end markets for the first time in a long time. If I can ask you a question in auto, a two-parter, could you give us a hint of maybe what backlog or bookings were? I am trying to gauge that relative to your stabilization comment.

If you are talking about stabilization in auto, then I am looking at your 6% odd growth that you put up in the September quarter. Is that seasonal growth, or is that better than seasonal growth? If it is better, then, of course, what drove that? Yeah. Look, I think I will go back to the prior answer that I gave earlier. I do not look at the quarter-on-quarter. I would recommend you should not either. I have to look at first half, second half. We have always said the second half of the year is going to outgrow the first half of the year in our end markets. Remember, auto, we said the bottom was going to be in Q2. That has been the case, and we were going to grow from there. Grow meaning closer to demand, but no restocking yet.

That is coming in exactly as we expected. That quarter-on-quarter, I would not talk about seasonality within markets and so on. I would talk about the lumpiness and project ramps. Some projects ramped in Q3 versus ramping in Q4. Those, I do not think, are a read on how the market is doing. Visibility, however, with stabilization, we get better visibility. Not where we would like to see it, but it improved. We are getting better visibility. Again, there is more work to do to get the visibility. That is what I can tell you about where we are in automotive. I am cautious, but I am also looking at the data in order to sound like I do. Our work is not done. It is not all behind us.

I think what you have seen from us is we will manage to what we see, and we will deliver the results that we promise. That is the consistency. Of course, we all wish it were different. We all wish it was way better than sometimes it is. Some of my peers did. We have been very consistent, and we are going to continue to manage the company with discipline, whether in inventory, cash flow, or really R&D investments in differentiated technologies. Fair enough. Maybe one for you, Thad. As sort of you look at stabilization. I understand you’ll need to ramp up your factories and fabs to be able to get to that 40% level. But is there a revenue number that I can think of where you start to get close to that 40% number.

Or is it just purely a function of utilization and it ebbs and flows depending on how much dive bank inventory you’re building? Yeah. It’s utilization-driven, right? So we talked about. Every point of utilization is 25 to 30 basis points of gross margin improvement. That math still holds. As we look into the 2026, utilization is going to drive the margin. Fair enough. Thanks, guys. Thank you. This will conclude today’s question and answer session. I would now like to turn the call back over to Hassane for closing remarks. Thank you all again for joining us today. Before we conclude the call, I want to recognize the outstanding efforts of our global teams. Their focus and execution continue to drive our results and help us deliver for our customers and shareholders.

We’re encouraged by the signs of stabilization across our core markets and remain focused on delivering differentiated solutions and operational excellence for our customers. We are committed to being a reliable and trusted partner and continue to raise the bar on how we support their success through technology, leadership, responsiveness, and a deep understanding of their evolving needs. We appreciate your continued support and look forward to updating you next quarter. Thank you. This concludes today’s conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

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