In the recent earnings call, Xos Inc. (NASDAQ: XOS), a leading electric vehicle manufacturer, reported modest revenue growth and consistent positive gross margins for the third quarter of 2024. CEO Dakota Semler highlighted the company's revenue of $15.8 million, marking a 1.6% increase from the previous quarter. Xos delivered 94 units and achieved a gross margin of 18.1%, the fifth consecutive quarter of positive margins. The improved financial outcomes were attributed to enhanced production processes and cost management.
Despite facing challenges with incentive collections, which have accumulated to over $25 million, Xos is streamlining approval processes to address this issue. Looking ahead, the company has adjusted its Q4 revenue guidance to between $54.1 million and $67.6 million and expects unit deliveries to range from 320 to 400. The non-GAAP operating loss is projected to narrow, reflecting tighter expense controls and improved product margins.
Key Takeaways
- Xos Inc. reports a Q3 revenue of $15.8 million, a slight increase from the previous quarter.
- The company delivered 94 units with a gross margin of 18.1%, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of positive gross margins.
- Xos is addressing over $25 million in uncollected incentives and streamlining processes for quicker approvals.
- Revised Q4 revenue guidance is set between $54.1 million and $67.6 million, with unit deliveries expected between 320 to 400.
- Non-GAAP operating loss is anticipated to narrow due to improved product margins and expense management.
- The company remains a key electric vehicle supplier for FedEx (NYSE:FDX) and UPS and is seeing traction with the Xos Hub product.
Company Outlook
- 2024 revenue outlook adjusted to $54.1 million to $67.6 million.
- Unit deliveries for 2024 projected between 320 to 400.
- Non-GAAP operating loss guidance revised to a range of $42.2 million to $33.7 million.
- The powertrain segment is expected to contribute 10% to 25% of overall revenue.
- Efforts to optimize inventory turnover and mitigate tariff impacts through reshoring production.
Bearish Highlights
- The company faces challenges with infrastructure and customer delays.
- Concerns about Buy America compliance and tariffs affecting battery costs.
- Approximately 8 to 10 months of inventory carried, aiming to reduce to industry standards.
Bullish Highlights
- Positive gross margins for the fifth consecutive quarter.
- Improved non-GAAP operating loss to $6.6 million from $9.7 million last quarter.
- Successful transaction of energy credits, enhancing margins.
- Ongoing discussions with Aljomaih for future capital solutions beyond the maturing convertible note in Q3 2024.
Misses
- Cash and cash equivalents stood at $9.2 million, with negative free cash flow of -$11.7 million, though improved from -$26.1 million.
- Inventory levels rose to $42.4 million, prompting a focus on liquidity and working capital management.
Q&A Highlights
- The company is working towards achieving about 90% commonality across different product lines for scalability.
- Active engagement with suppliers to manage potential disruptions from upcoming tariff changes in 2025.
- Internal efforts such as cost reduction initiatives and improved payment terms with suppliers to enhance working capital management.
Xos Inc. continues to navigate the electric vehicle market with strategic adjustments and a focus on operational efficiency. The company's efforts to streamline incentive collections, optimize inventory management, and engage in energy credit transactions are aimed at bolstering its financial position. With the Q3 report scheduled for filing tomorrow morning, investors and stakeholders will be watching closely as Xos strives to maintain its growth trajectory and solidify its market presence.
InvestingPro Insights
Xos Inc.'s recent earnings call paints a picture of a company navigating the challenges of the electric vehicle market, and InvestingPro data provides additional context to the company's financial situation.
According to InvestingPro, Xos has a market capitalization of $33.9 million, reflecting its current position as a smaller player in the EV industry. This aligns with the company's reported revenue of $63.77 million over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, which shows significant growth potential but also highlights the company's early stage in its development.
One of the most striking InvestingPro Tips is that Xos is "quickly burning through cash." This corroborates the earnings call discussion about the company's focus on liquidity and working capital management. The negative free cash flow of -$11.7 million mentioned in the report, although an improvement from previous quarters, underscores this concern.
Another relevant InvestingPro Tip indicates that Xos "suffers from weak gross profit margins." While the company reported a positive gross margin of 18.1% for the fifth consecutive quarter, the InvestingPro data suggests that there's still room for improvement in this area. The gross profit margin of 12.75% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 reflects the challenges Xos faces in achieving profitability, which is crucial for long-term sustainability in the competitive EV market.
It's worth noting that InvestingPro offers 16 additional tips for Xos, providing a more comprehensive analysis for investors interested in delving deeper into the company's financial health and market position.
The InvestingPro data also reveals a significant revenue growth of 119.67% over the last twelve months, which aligns with the company's narrative of expansion and increased deliveries. However, the operating income margin of -72.24% indicates that Xos is still operating at a loss, consistent with the company's focus on narrowing its non-GAAP operating loss in the coming quarters.
These insights from InvestingPro complement the earnings call information, offering investors a more rounded view of Xos Inc.'s financial performance and challenges as it strives to establish itself in the electric vehicle market.
Full transcript - Xos Inc (XOS) Q3 2024:
Operator: Good day and welcome to Xos Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions]. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over Christen Romero, General Counsel. Please go ahead.
Christen Romero: Thank you, everyone, for joining us today. Hosting the call with me today are Chief Executive Officer, Dakota Semler; Chief Operating Officer, Giordano Sordoni; and Acting Chief Financial Officer, Liana Pogosyan. Ahead of this call, Xos issued its third quarter 2024 earnings press release, which we will reference during the call. This can be found on the Investor Relations section of our website at investors.xostrucks.com. On this call, management will be making forward-looking statements based on current expectations and assumptions, which are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from our forward-looking statements if any of our key assumptions are incorrect because of factors discussed in today's earnings news release, during this conference call, or in our latest reports and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These documents can be found on our website at investors.xostrucks.com. We do not undertake any duty to update any forward-looking statements. Today's presentation also includes references to non-GAAP financial measures and performance metrics. Please refer to the information contained in the company's third quarter 2024 earnings press release for definitional information and reconciliations of historical non-GAAP measures to the comparable GAAP financial measures. Participants should be cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements. And with that, I now turn it over to our CEO, Dakota.
Dakota Semler: Thanks Christen, and thank you everyone for joining us. On today's call, I'm thrilled to share the highlights from the third quarter of 2024 during which we generated $15.8 million in revenue, delivered 94 units and achieved a gross margin of 18.1%. Xos is one of the very few electric vehicle manufacturers delivering double-digit gross margins on our products. This marks the fifth quarter of delivering consecutive positive gross margins. In addition to our improved margin performance, Xos continues to focus on improving year-over-year growth and liquidity. In my remarks, I plan to cover some of our achievements in vehicle deliveries, the hub product ramp up and shifting market conditions in the commercial electric vehicle market. Then Gio and Liana will then dive deeper into our operational and financial achievements. Of the 94 deliveries this quarter, we've seen growing momentum with increasing customer and product diversity. This quarter we began shipping hubs in significant volumes with nearly 12 units shipped through the end of the quarter, underscoring the rising demand for our rapid deployment mobile charging solution. Overall, unit deliveries increased by 4.4% compared to the second quarter while topline revenue increased by 1.6%. In our StepVan business, we are seeing positive shifts with an increase in strip chassis deliveries relative to completed vehicle deliveries. This drives substantial improvements in our working capital turnover. By delivering strip chassis units ahead of the bodying up process, we accelerate our delivery cycle and better ensure quicker turnaround times relative to completed vehicle deliveries. While not all of our deliveries will transition to strip chassis, we believe that a rising proportion of these orders will positively impact our cash flow and inventory turnover. We also made significant strides in our powertrain business, delivering our first powertrain product to be utilized in a Blue Bird (NASDAQ:BLBD) school bus. This short wheelbase Type C school bus is an exciting product offering as Blue Bird continues to lead the market with its electric school bus solutions for districts nationwide. The product provides school districts with a durable and reliable Type C commercial chassis frame on body school bus while meeting the constraints of narrow streets and tight turning radiuses that are typical of many school districts. This quarter marked a major milestone as we reached low volume series production with our hub product, and by the end of the quarter we were building approximately two units per week delivering this valuable tool to our customers. Regarding our hub deliveries, we delivered several units including to top tier companies like Waymo, a leading self-driving car operator. ABM, a top facility service provider and Loomis (LON:0JYZ), one of our valued fleet customers. We also delivered units to other key customers such as Xcel Energy (NASDAQ:XEL), which is one of the largest investor owned utilities in the country and SSA Pacific, a subsidiary of SSA Marine, one of the largest terminal operating companies and stevedoring businesses in the world. In short, hub deliveries are being put in the hands of well-regarded companies and excitement around the product is growing. While charging infrastructure continues to be a challenge and fleets such as FedEx ground contractors face continued delays, we believe that the hub can offer a solution. As mentioned, we've already seen adoption from some of our largest customers. Such momentum reflects the strong demand for our hub solutions not just across fleet operators, but across a range of industries. In light of the hub's success and growing interest in the product, we ramped up demonstrations of the hub in Q4, evaluations are intended to showcase the hub's versatility and ability to provide diverse fleet charging, mobile charging and events, and crucial disaster response charging infrastructure during storms and public safety power shutoffs. Beyond our deliveries, we've secured several million dollars in new incentives, providing critical support to small and large national accounts. Such incentives, available in key states like Texas, New York and California, help enable a more seamless and affordable transition to electric vehicles. Despite these new incentive applications and a growing number of approvals, incentive collections on delivered vehicles continues to be a challenge. There are several state programs and agencies that oversee the disbursement of such funds, and the processes vary significantly depending upon the state agencies involved. Incentive collection has become a primary focus at Xos and the backlog of delivered incentives in our accounts receivable is exceeds $25 million. Fortunately, we've developed several new processes to streamline the incentive application process and the redemption, approval and collection workflows. These efforts are a key step in accounts receivable collection. I want to personally thank all of the Xosians who have worked tirelessly to help customers receive incentive benefits and to streamline Xos collection of such incentives. While we do not anticipate collecting 100% of the over $25 million in backlogged incentive receivables this quarter, we do expect these payouts to accelerate which would improve our cash position and access to working capital. We have also begun to improve our inventory carrying costs and better ensure our customers receive vehicles as needed by increasing our sales through dealer partnerships. This helps us manage inventory carrying costs and better ensures our customers receive vehicles as needed. We found dealers to be supportive in delivering vehicles and providing ongoing maintenance services. This is especially true for our dealer partner, Thompson Truck Centers in Tennessee. Just as the year started, we continue to be sharply focused on the reduction of operational expenses. Gio will detail our efforts in reducing facility based operational expenses. We also reduced a portion of our overall headcount in the quarter and subsequent to the quarter end. While this decision was difficult for Xos and all of the impacted employees, we believe it puts us on a better trajectory towards achieving positive free cash flow in the near term. We continue to be excited about achieving free cash flow through increased revenues and reduced operational expenses to bring this goal within reach. With that, I'll hand it over to Gio for more on our operational updates.
Giordano Sordoni: Thank you Dakota, and good afternoon everyone. The manufacturing supply chain and quality teams delivered strong results in the quarter and continued their focus on consistent, high quality production, all while improving efficiency. In addition to regular chassis production, the team worked hard in the quarter to prepare for the launch of a new longer wheelbase variant of our StepVan chassis platform. We are now producing this 208-inch wheel-based variant on our main production line. This longer wheelbase allows for a longer body and an increase of 200 cubic feet of cargo capacity. This was driven by requests from some of our linen customers and other folks that are looking for larger cubic volume on our Class 6 platform. We increased our hub production build rates up in the quarter, achieving a steady pace of approximately two hubs per week. This significant accomplishment positions us well to build and deliver additional hub units to meet customer demand before the end of the year. The engineering and supply chain teams remain dedicated to a bill of material cost reduction program, both through optimizations of our vehicle design as well as partnering with our supply base to introduce cost savings changes to the components that we source and bring in. In the last 12 months, our team has implemented over $10,000 in cost reductions and we have an additional and we have additional reductions planned this quarter and well into 2025. We remain focused on our strategy to invest more in Tennessee, which is proving to be a central hub for our operations. Our StepVan chassis and the Xos Hub are both built at our main plant in Byrdstown, Tennessee. Recently we secured a sublease for part of our Los Angeles facility and transferred possession to our new tenant. This move will reduce our operational expenses through the end of the lease term. We are also actively working on subleasing two additional real estate facilities that we assumed through our acquisition of ElectraMeccanica, which closed in Q1. There's interest in both properties and we hope to provide more updates on these potential subleases in the near future. Our operational improvements and cost control measures are designed to keep us on track for our long-term goals while supporting our short term needs for production and delivery. In light of the recent election results, we anticipate potential changes at the federal level that could impact our industry and our business. Among these, one of the most significant changes could be an increase in tariffs on imported components from our global suppliers. While we're closely monitoring this evolving situation with the help of customs advisors, no immediate changes are expected until 2025. Meanwhile, we're actively working with suppliers to pursue alternative sourcing strategies, including reshoring components to North America where possible and increasing our investments in our U.S. based supply chain. Although these tariffs may be disruptive, we're confident they won't hinder our ability to source necessary components. Additionally, we anticipate mitigating much of the impact from these tariffs through ongoing reductions in our cost of goods along with positive effects from our engineering and supply chain initiatives aimed at lowering direct material costs. We are committed to American manufacturing, which is why we've invested significantly in our Tennessee facility and we will continue to strengthen our manufacturing and supply chain infrastructure and manage potential changes in the federal landscape effectively. With that, I'll turn it over to Liana for an in depth look at our financial performance.
Liana Pogosyan: Thank you, Gio. For the third quarter of 2024, our revenue was $15.8 million, up from $15.5 million in the second quarter this year. Our cost of goods sold during the quarter decreased to $12.9 million compared to $13.5 million in the second quarter. GAAP gross margin during the quarter was a profit of $2.9 million or 18.1% compared to a profit of $2 million or 13.1% in the second quarter. We are excited to deliver the fifth consecutive quarter of positive gross margins. Margin improvements were mainly driven by continued focus on reducing labor and overhead costs and improving our production processes. GAAP gross margin also benefited this quarter from a sale of clean energy credits. Excluding this sale, GAAP gross margin was 15%. Turning to expenses, our third quarter operating expenses were $12.6 million compared to $13.4 million last quarter as we remain disciplined in managing our costs while continuing to support key growth initiatives. Our operating profitability continued to follow a promising trajectory with non-GAAP operating loss for the third quarter of $6.6 million compared to non-GAAP operating loss of $9.7 million last quarter. Turning to the balance sheet, we closed the quarter with cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash totaling $9.2 million. Operating cash flow less CapEx or free cash flow was negative $11.7 million for the quarter compared to a negative free cash flow of $26.1 million last quarter, which represents a significant improvement over the second quarter due to enhanced discipline with respect to working capital and cash management. Inventory increased to $42.4 million in the current quarter from $41.4 million last quarter. We are actively managing our liquidity position and plan to improve our liquidity and working capital requirements, including reducing operating costs in order to preserve financial resources and improving accounts receivable collections. We have taken several cost cutting measures during the fourth quarter which include reduction in our total workforce and temporary salary reductions for certain of our senior executives. On the collection front, as Dakota mentioned, our accounts receivable from delivered incentives currently exceeds $25 million. We've developed streamlined processes to expedite the application approval and collection of these incentives, though we do not expect to collect the entire backlog this quarter. We do anticipate the collection of these incentive payouts to accelerate, which will enhance our cash position and improve our access to working capital. Now, turning to our outlook for the rest of 2024, we are updating our guidance. While our revenue and unit delivery outlooks have decreased, we are now expecting a narrower non-GAAP operating loss. We anticipate revenue to fall within the range of $54.1 million to $67.6 million and our unit deliveries to be within the range of 320 units to 400 units. We have reduced our non-GAAP operating loss a range of $42.2 million to $33.7 million. This adjustment reflects some of the challenges we face with infrastructure and customer delays. However, it also reflects a higher average selling price and improved margins on our products, along with tighter control over operating expenses. We expect Q4 to be an equally active quarter as we work diligently to deliver within these guidance ranges. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Dakota.
Dakota Semler: Thank you, Liana. While our industry is facing tremendous challenges including delays from charging infrastructure and continued pressures from our customers to produce the most competitively priced durable vehicles on the market, we aim to meet these challenges and delight our customers. We are proud to be the largest electric vehicle vendor for FedEx ground operators and the largest electric vehicle package car manufacturer for UPS's North American fleet. We continue to be the largest electric vehicle vendor for several leading uniform rental companies with more EV deliveries than any other OEM for companies such as Alsco, Cintas (NASDAQ:CTAS) and UniFirst (NYSE:UNF). Our new product, the Xos Hub, is gaining traction as well with purchase orders from some of the largest and most respected investor owned utilities in the country along with many diverse Fortune 500 companies. From the point that we started this business eight years ago, we have demonstrated consistent leadership in our product development initiatives. We've adapted our operating cost model to ensure resilience in the near term and we continue to see significant long-term potential. The commercial interest across the segments we serve is broad and we believe that Xos is uniquely positioned to be a leading player in this industry, competing with the legacy diesel manufacturers that have dominated the market for decades. With that, we'll open up the queue for questions and I'll turn over the call to the operator.
Operator: [Operator Instructions] the first question comes from Craig Irwin from ROTH Capital Partners (WA:CPAP). Please go ahead.
Craig Irwin: Good evening. Thank you for taking my questions. Dakota, can you maybe talk a little bit about the opportunity on the drivetrain side? It's a business that's shown that it's starting to take off a little bit, could offer some leverage back to the other side of the house where you've already been doing good volumes. Can you maybe sketch out for us the breadth of customers that have shown interest in potentially buying drivetrains and whether or not there are different vehicle sizes or different formats that might represent new opportunities?
Dakota Semler: Absolutely. Thanks for the question, Craig. With our powertrain business powered by Xos, we believe there's an immense opportunity. And as a reminder for everybody, the powered by Xos business takes and leverages a lot of the intellectual property that we've developed on our vehicles, including software, high voltage distribution and engineering design that goes into that high voltage powertrain system. And we then market it and provide it to other OEMs along with the engineering support services to help integrate those powertrains into their vehicle platforms. There's several, what we call beachhead markets or early markets that have really embraced electrification, some of these being more specific vocational vehicles. So there's one of our customers, Winnebago, produces mobile medical and mobile command center vehicles which have really embraced these products as they do a lot of idling, a lot of short distance travel where a zero emissions vehicle is perfect because they can drive the short range that it takes to get to their destination and then ultimately idle for hours on end, utilizing that powertrain system to power any house loads that are on that vehicle. In addition to the mobile command center market, school bus has been an incredibly fast growing market for us and we continue to see that market in the U.S. be strongly supported by EPA funding that's been afforded to many of the school bus manufacturers in North America. We've delivered our first powertrain system for this market segment and believe that that industry will continue to see growth as the vehicles become more cost competitive and as incentives applications are approved for some of the school districts around the country. And then lastly is some of the off highway vehicles that we've been supporting for several years now with customers such as Wiggins Lift, [Indiscernible] Jack and other customers that we haven't announced yet in the off highway heavy industrial equipment sector where they're leveraging powertrain components and powertrain systems from us to fully electrify their vehicles. And many of these markets and applications have been very quickly forced to go electric either through emissions regulations or specific state or local port regulations requiring zero emissions adoption in those markets. So we think that will be a fast growing market as well. Ultimately, with these customers, we are a supplier to our OEM partners, so we don't control the direct sales of these end user units into the fleets that they get adopted into. So we have less control over the size and scale of how these markets ramp up. But we believe that these are all critical, strong markets that will continue to see growth in the electrification realm in the next two to three years and certainly beyond that timeframe too. With these markets, I think across the powertrain business, we can anticipate that this could grow to being in the range of 10% to 25% of our overall top line revenue contribution. And it will vary across the unit mix because we have different ASPs for different kinds of products that we support with the powered by Xos business.
Craig Irwin: Excellent, excellent. Thank you for that. So my second question is about your inventory. Can you maybe clarify for us what portion of the inventory right now should be considered finished goods or maybe finished vehicles or hubs? And then can you maybe discuss the parts commonality between your different products and as you receive incremental orders, your ability to liquidate inventory into different markets, not just being dependent on having batteries for one truck, one type, but being able to sell things, into a variety of different applications?
Dakota Semler: Absolutely. So when it comes to the work in process versus finished goods, we really are building all of our products to order. So we don't build inventory to sit on a dealer lot or to sit in an OEM lot. Most of the work in process or the finished goods that we have on our balance sheet is destined for a customer and is designed to be delivered within shortly thereafter that it finishes the production process. Now there are periodic delays in that process that can come about from infrastructure and charging. However, we really try to mitigate those. And before we go to production with most of our products, we clarify with the customer that they're ready to receive them and that they have an infrastructure plan in place. As a bit of a split, raw materials today accounts for about 70% of our total inventory. WIP is around 21% and finished goods is around 9%. And raw materials, you'll note we're a little bit heavier on the raw material side of things. That's as we work through some of that older inventory and parts inventory, that will continue to reduce and we'll optimize those inventory flows in the quarters to come. But we really want to operate as leanly as possible, making sure that those finished goods get delivered to a customer as quickly as possible. And then your second question, can you remind me what that one was, Craig?
Craig Irwin: No, that basically captured it, Dakota. Last question, if I may, is well, if we were to liquidate inventory, what do you see as the opportunity as far as cash generation out of inventory liquidation over the next couple of quarters? Is there potentially a lower level of inventory that you think would be steady state for the company at the current run rate?
Dakota Semler: Yes, it's a great question. From an inventory liquidation standpoint, most of the inventory we are in possession of today is relevant and applicable for the products that we're building today. So we do anticipate to be able to work through that in the ordinary course. And some of the steps that we highlighted in the call are helping us do that. So one, by delivering strip chassis instead of completed vehicles, it shortens that inventory turnover period we're actually not carrying the balance of those bodies on our balance sheet, and that's something that the customer is working directly with the upfitter to carry. And going beyond that, most of those components share commonality. So this kind of addresses your initial question, which is when we look at our StepVan platform, our powertrain platform and even the hub platform, excluding the chassis components, really thinking more about the powertrain components such as the battery modules, high-voltage power electronics, cables, software systems, vehicle control units, electronics, we share about 90% commonality across those different product lines. So there may be slightly different SKUs or variations for different product configurations, but there is a lot of commonality that we've designed into the product so that we can get to scale and build synergy even as some of these markets are relatively small, we can build that scale across the total unit production that we're producing at the company.
Craig Irwin: Excellent. And I'm sorry, if I can just squeeze one more in. There's been some concern out there about the Buy in America compliance, the tariffs that have been put in place and the potential for these to significantly impact overall system costs, battery costs. But talking to some of the different vendors, I think maybe these fears are unfounded. Can you maybe update us on what you think the tariffs, the way they're written would mean for battery costs if companies that you're working with were maybe to pursue some of the strategic options they have in front of them to bring out some of the cost of Asian production?
Dakota Semler: Yes, absolutely. It's actually a process that started several years ago. As we were delivering vehicles before we went into the COVID-19 pandemic, we saw a lot of the disruption that followed with the supply chain in 2020, 2021 and beyond. And that really forced us to focus on reshoring as much of our production as possible, really trying to find competent, capable suppliers that met our quality and cost and reliability targets in North America, particularly in the U.S. So several components that we used to source abroad in Asia, whether it be in China or in India, we're now sourcing directly here from U.S. suppliers, which has helped insulate us from the potential impacts of tariff changes or trade regulation changes that will be coming in the year ahead. Beyond that, we still do have some components that we source from Asia, and we're actually actively having conversations with suppliers to understand what their plans are and to make sure that we can mitigate any potential disruption that may come as a result of changing tariff regulations or trade restrictions that are going to ensue in 2025. I think we're very well positioned in that we are trying to multi-source with suppliers across a range of different components. So for a single component, we'll try to have two or three suppliers that have a diverse source of producing those components. So we don't become too beholden to a particular geographic industry or to a particular geographic location or supplier that's concentrated in an area that might be subject to incremental tariffs. And beyond that, we're working with some advisers to help us manage those costs so that we can continue to deliver industry-leading cost to our customers in a way that isn't going to be disrupted by tariffs in the next administration.
Craig Irwin: Great. Well thank you for the update and congratulations on those strong margins this quarter.
Dakota Semler: Thanks.
Operator: [Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Ted Jackson from Northland Securities. Please go ahead.
Edward Jackson: Thank you, good afternoon. I'd like to just kind of drill into the balance sheet a little bit and talk a bit about kind of working capital and the improvements that you think you can get out of there. So like we talked about inventory with the last set of questions. But if you look at it, it's -- I mean, depending on how you want to do the math, maybe up to 10 months of inventory. Where do you think you could get that down to in terms of bringing it down to kind of if you think about it in terms of how much stuff do you have on hand vis-a-vis on a turns basis, how many days of coverage that you need? And then going over into the receivables side, do you think that with regards to that $25 million of what I guess you would call it like credits that you'll bring some of that across the finish line in the fourth quarter? And then how do you see that playing out into 2025? So I guess what I'm really getting at is kind of the main levers you have in terms of working capital improvement are going to be really on inventory and on receivables. And I guess you could say on payables, too. But kind of walk through how you're going to bring these things down to levels and really take some cash out of the balance sheet.
Dakota Semler: Yes, absolutely, and thank you for the questions. So first, we definitely are carrying a heavier set of inventory than is a typical industry turn. I think if you look at many stabilized manufacturers, it can be anywhere from 4 to 8 turns per year depending upon the product. Although one thing that we'd like to call out, which I think is important is electric vehicles today, we still rely on a global supply chain. And much of that global supply chain informs the amount of inventory turns and the inventory cycles and the supply chain lead times of many of our critical components. So we are always trying to manage that while continuing to reduce cash usage overall. As of right now, our inventory turns are relatively low, as you mentioned, roughly 8 to 10 months of inventory. And we anticipate that over the coming quarters, that will step down slightly. And eventually, our target is to get to the industry range of 4 to 8 turns per year, but we haven't provided specific guidance as to when that will happen or whether it will occur next year. There are several efforts that we're leading internally into including our cost-out effort to reduce cost of goods sold, but also to improve payment terms with those suppliers to make sure that we can reduce that number. There's also things that I mentioned before, such as reshoring, which will shorten that supply chain lead time and shorten the length of time that goods are in transit before they get incorporated into a work in process or into a vehicle. So we're taking several steps to make those changes, but it is a gradual process as we make those transition to suppliers. And then your second point about credits and the accounts receivable balance, is something that we've really been focused on for the last three to four months quite intensely given the volume of these credits and the value that they provide to many of our customers. We have already started to see significant progress in the beginning of Q4 in how those credits have been paid out, and we're making significant steps in shortening the length of time to get those vouchers accepted and those vouchers paid out and collected from our perspective. So while we don't anticipate collecting the full $25 million, we do anticipate we're going to make a significant dent in that balance by the end of Q4 with the remaining to be collected in the first half of 2025. But something to keep in mind is as we deliver more vehicles, that balance does grow as most of our customers have the benefit of utilizing these incentives and purchasing their vehicles. So while we anticipate the volume or the balance to go down, there will still be increasing incentives as we increase deliveries and increase top line revenue.
Edward Jackson: Well, all else being equal, would it be fair to think that we'll see the reported receivables number on the balance sheet go down in the fourth quarter because of the credits being turned over?
Dakota Semler: Yes. We can definitely anticipate that, that will happen in the fourth quarter. Our credit balances are expected to be reduced as well as our accounts receivable from our direct pay customers will also be reduced in the fourth quarter.
Edward Jackson: Okay. Great. And then shifting over to the convertible that is now in the current liabilities side of the balance sheet. Can you talk through how that's going to play out in the coming quarters now that we have that moved from long-term to short term?
Dakota Semler: Absolutely. The convertible note with Aljomaih has been an important source of capital for us and continue to help us meet the growing needs of the business and afford us working capital to fund inventory. The maturation of that note occurs in the third quarter of next year, which is why it's moved into our current liabilities. As we continue to approach that maturity date, we've been in conversations to discuss what the intended plans for that convertible note facility is. We don't have any current news that we can share but we're very, very pleased with Aljomaih's support up until this point as they've continued to be a strong equity investor holding a significant position within the company as well as continuing to fund our ongoing capital needs through this convertible note, and we anticipate they'll continue to support us well beyond 2025. So as we approach the maturity date, we think we'll have some solutions as to how to address that particular convertible note and hopefully continue to scale our access to capital beyond just that facility.
Edward Jackson: Okay. And then my final question on this, and I'll step out the line is on the sale of energy credits that boosted the gross margin in the current -- or in the third quarter. Is there a chance that we would see some more activity on that front in the fourth quarter and beyond? I mean I'm kind of new to the name. Is that something that you've done in the past? Is that something that we would -- could count on seeing in future periods?
Dakota Semler: Yes. This is the first time that we've actually transacted credits. So this is actually a bit of a new process for us. But -- it is a process that we've been closely monitoring and banking those credits over the past several years as we've delivered vehicles across the country. We don't anticipate that there will be regularity to these credits every single quarter, but there will be periodic transactions like this one that will continue to improve margins and also be very cash accretive as they have no marginal cost to us when we transact these credits to other OEMs or other potential consumers. And it really depends on the credit type. They vary pretty significantly, but we do anticipate that this will happen more frequently in the future.
Edward Jackson: And where are those? I mean, are -- do you have these things on your balance sheet? And what line item are they in? And kind of what -- I mean, could you kind of bird dog the value that you have sitting there?
Dakota Semler: Yes, they're not on our balance sheet. They are on our balance sheet and -- but they aren't fully accounted for in all of the value of all of the different credits. So right now, we anticipate that this small payment that we received in Q3, that's in our AR. But any of the future credits that we anticipate transacting are not on the balance sheet in a substantial form. And the reason for that is because of the uncertain value and the kind of nascent markets for a lot of these credits, it's very hard to place a valuation on them that can be clearly relied upon.
Edward Jackson: Interesting. And will your Q [ph] be out later today?
Dakota Semler: It will actually be filed tomorrow morning.
Edward Jackson: Okay. Alright, I'll step out of line. Thank you very much
Dakota Semler: Thanks, Ted. Appreciate the questions.
Operator: This concludes our question-and-answer session, and the conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.
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