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Gold futures are trading within a tightly compressed mean-reversion structure defined by the confluence of daily and weekly VC PMI levels, creating a high-probability coil pattern that typically precedes a breakout. The chart shows a clear rejection at 4134.3, forming a short-term swing high precisely inside the SELL 1/SELL 2 band (4115–4152). This area continues to operate as a strong supply zone, with every test of the 4090–4115 resistance cluster triggering profit-taking and algorithmic selling. The repeated wick rejections around 4090.4 reinforce the idea that institutional liquidity waits above this zone but is not yet committed to a sustained breakout
On the downside, the 3997.4 low represents the extreme of the weekly BUY 2 and Daily BUY 2 cluster, creating a major demand shelf. Price has repeatedly bounced off the 4044–4061 area, which aligns with the BUY 1 Weekly and BUY 2 Weekly levels. Each dip toward the mid-4000s has produced higher lows, indicating that buyers continue defending value at the bottom of the range.
The MACD at the bottom of the chart shows rising bullish momentum from oversold conditions, consistent with a potential upside rotation toward the VC PMI Daily mean at 4085 and the Weekly mean at 4097. If price closes above 4097, the next upside magnet is 4115, where the SELL 1 daily and weekly levels overlap. A breakout above 4115 would signal a shift from consolidation into trend expansion, with 4149–4152 the target for the next extension.
Cycles shown in the chart (5-day compression) point toward an imminent volatility expansion. With price holding above the 4061 BUY 1 Weekly, the bias favors a push toward 4097. If accepted above that level, December projection targets expand toward 4140–4152. Failure to hold 4044 reopens the decline toward 4032 and 3997.
This structure is typical of a pre-breakout coil, with diminishing volatility and rising compression against a clearly defined inflection point. All signals indicate that the market is preparing for a directional move, with the key battleground at 4097–4115.
TRADING DERIVATIVES, FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AND PRECIOUS METALS INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR EVERYONE. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.