Gold Outlook: 30-Day and 360-Day Gann Cycles Signal Late-September Pivot

Published 15/09/2025, 18:45
Updated 15/09/2025, 19:36

Gold futures are trading at 3697.9, staging a mean-reversion rally from the 3621.7 weekly low. That low formed on September 10, 2025, aligning with the 30-day Gann cycle anchor that began from the August 11, 2025, pivot low (~3578). The 30-day cycle projects harmonic turning points approximately every 15 days, with the next vibration date expected around September 25–28, 2025. Within this short-term window, the market has shifted into a right-translated posture, suggesting that higher prices into the September 25–28 timeframe are probable before a corrective phase emerges.

Gold Futures (/GC)

Overlaying this shorter vibration is the 360-day Gann cycle, which was anchored from September 28, 2024. This larger cycle projected a crest window into August 28, 2025 and is now pulling into its subsequent low due around September 28, 2025. The alignment between the 30-day and 360-day cycles creates a confluence: both are forecasting vibration dates in late September, which raises the probability of a larger inflection point during that period.

Gold Futures - Gann Cycle

The linear chart above for Gold Futures (/GC) with:

  • VC PMI Daily & Weekly levels (pivot, Buy 1/2, Sell 1/2).

  • Key Fibonacci retracement supports.

  • 30-day Gann cycle vibration window (Sep 25–28, 2025).

  • 360-day Gann cycle low (Sep 28, 2025).

  • Anchor cycle low (Aug 11, 2025).

From a Square of 9 price-time perspective, the recent 3622 low projects quarter-turn resistance at 3695–3705 and a spiral step at 3712–3715. Both of these levels coincide with the VC PMI Daily Sell 1 (3699) and Sell 2 (3715.6) targets. The next vibration step higher completes at 3727, aligning with the Weekly Sell 1 level. These squareouts reinforce the probability of resistance clustering between 3699 and 3727 into the late-September cycle window.

On the downside, Fibonacci retracements of the August rally confirm the VC PMI demand levels:

  • 38.2% retracement (3660.7) overlaps with Daily Buy 2 (3654).

  • 50% retracement (3643.8) reinforces Weekly Buy 1 (3634).

  • 78.6% retracement (3626.9) aligns with the September 10 cycle low (3621.7).

Momentum indicators (MACD 14,3,3) remain slightly negative but are flattening, consistent with a market preparing for expansion into cycle highs.

Outlook

Gold is in a mean-reversion recovery phase. Holding above the 3670–3683 pivot zone keeps the near-term bias bullish with targets at 3699–3715 and an extension to 3727. The key cycle dates to watch are:

  • September 25–28, 2025 (30-day vibration + 360-day cycle low).

  • September 28, 2025 (major 360-day anchor).

These dates are likely to define the next major inflection, with price-time squareouts clustering in the 3699–3727 resistance band.

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