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Gold futures continue to behave with mathematical precision as the market completes a full mean-reversion cycle from the hyperbolic peak at 4250 down to the 3997 low. This decline was not a trend failure but a highly technical rotation driven by the VC PMI AI model and the synchronized time-cycle structure that remains firmly bullish into late November and December.
The high at 4250 aligned exactly with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, the Weekly Sell 1 zone ($4,328), and the upper boundary of the 30-day acceleration window. When multiple cycle and Fibonacci structures cluster with VC PMI Sell levels, the market typically enters a “probability exhaustion” phase—precisely what occurred. The subsequent breakdown through the Daily VC PMI Mean triggered the expected mean-reversion into the Buy 1 Weekly ($3,982) and Buy 2 Daily ($3,962) zone. The final flush to 3997 completed the rotation and produced a powerful counter-trend rebound, confirming that the weekly demand zone remains firmly intact.
The 30-day cycle, which bottomed in late October near 3950, continues to project upward pressure into the last week of November. Gold’s decline into the 11/17–11/18 window perfectly matched the cycle’s mid-cycle rotation trough. As the market begins to move away from this low, price regains alignment with the 60-day cycle, which shows a rising slope into early December. These two cycles—30-day momentum and 60-day structural trend—are now synchronizing to support the current rebound from the 4000 region.
The 90-day cycle, which governs broader trend pivots, remains in its bullish expansion phase that began in October. This larger cycle has not reached its topping window, suggesting much higher probability of continuation, with upside projections into the 4150–4320 zone. The 360-day cycle, the dominant long-term cycle that identified the September 2025 low, continues to push the market into a major expansion phase targeting December–January for potential hyperbolic extensions. This long-cycle influence remains the primary driver behind gold’s persistent buying interest on every dip.
As long as gold maintains trade above the VC PMI Daily Mean ($4,049) and holds the 3997–3982 support cluster, probability strongly favors a retest of 4102 → 4136, followed by a structural test of the weekly mean at 4116. A breakout above 4136 would shift the market back into escape-velocity conditions, re-energizing the larger hyperbolic structure targeting 4250–4328 and potentially 4362.
Gold remains in a mathematically strong bullish phase—corrective, not bearish—supported by every major time cycle.
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