Gold prices slid below $4,000/oz amid profit-taking on Gaza ceasefire
Silver is standing at a critical juncture in both time and price, with the short-term 30-day and the dominant 360-day cycles converging near a key Square-of-Nine resonance at $49.00. The market’s recovery from the $45.71 low last week confirms that buyers remain in firm control of the mean-reversion trend that began after the September 28 cycle anchor. This rebound established a strong foundation above the Weekly Buy 1 level at $46.34, where the VC PMI algorithm triggered a high-probability reversion signal that quickly carried prices into the upper equilibrium zone.
At present, silver trades around $48.27, holding above both the Daily and Weekly VC PMI means—$48.31 and $47.84, respectively. This dual alignment signifies a synchronized bullish bias across time frames, suggesting that the metal is entering the compression phase typical of the second act of the 30-day cycle. Historically, this type of coiling action—where volatility narrows between the daily Buy 2 ($47.56) and Sell 2 ($49.06) bands—often precedes a sharp directional breakout. The MACD, flattening near zero, confirms this energy build-up, implying that momentum is storing potential rather than exhausting.
From a Gann and Square-of-Nine perspective, silver has completed the 270° rotation from its 2024 base of $21.95, aligning geometrically at $48.95. In Gann’s framework, the 270° mark represents both resistance and transition: a gate between distribution and acceleration. Should the market close decisively above $49.10, the geometry projects a continuation toward the 315° vector at $54.50, and ultimately the 360° harmonic between $58 and $60, which corresponds to the projected 2026 cycle apex.
The 30-day cycle places the market in its mid-compression stage (Day 10 of 30), forecasting a potential expansion phase beginning around October 17. Price-time harmony suggests that a sustained consolidation above $47.80 will act as the platform for the next acceleration wave toward $50–$51. Conversely, a breakdown below $46.00 would reset the cycle, inviting a reversion toward deeper support at $44.72 before the next upward leg resumes.
The 360-day cycle remains firmly bullish since its September 2024 origin. Each successive 90° harmonic—from $30 to $40 to $49—has reinforced a pattern of ascending mean reversion. Unless the current 270° node fails, the probability distribution favors higher highs into the first half of 2026.
In essence, silver is coiled within a powerful harmonic corridor—its shorter 30-day rhythm vibrating within the broader 360-day symphony. Above $48.31, the path of least resistance remains upward, inviting a potential breakout that could redefine the long-term structure of the precious-metals cycle.
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TRADING DERIVATIVES, FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AND PRECIOUS METALS INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR EVERYONE. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.