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Anchored to the September 28, 2024 360-day cycle low, silver’s current structure represents a classic mean reversion phase within a larger 9-year expansionary wave. The retracement to the $48–47 zone marks a confluence of technical and time-based harmonics—an area where probability, geometry, and time intersect.
VC PMI Structure & Probabilities
From the VC PMI framework, the Weekly Pivot at $50.44 defines the equilibrium mean. With price currently trading below that mean, the short-term trend is bearish, but the Buy 1 ($47.12) level now emerges as a high-probability reversion zone. A reversal pattern here would activate an upward mean-reversion trade targeting the pivot ($50.44) and possibly Sell 1 ($53.46), as volatility normalizes.
This alignment echoes the Square of 9 rotation from the $47 pivot to the $53 harmonic, representing 180° in price rotation—often associated with polarity shifts between accumulation and distribution phases. The $47.12 level aligns with a 45° node from the 2024 low, reinforcing it as a potential vortex of balance and energy reversal.
30-60-90-360 Day Gann Cycle Outlook
- 30-Day Cycle (Oct 28, 2024): Marks short-term exhaustion and typically precedes a 10–15% rebound if price holds support.
- 60-Day Cycle (Nov 28, 2024): Forecasts the first acceleration wave, often coinciding with a pivot from speculative selling to accumulation.
- ‘90-Day Cycle (Dec 28, 2024): Represents a transitional phase; historically, silver’s strongest 30-day runs often emerge from this window.
- 180-Day & 360-Day Cycles (Mar 2025 & Sept 2025): These larger harmonics define the macro swing structure. The 360-day node aligns with a projected move into the $60–65 range under a full mean reversion expansion, consistent with prior Square-of-9 spirals projecting forward from the $18.50 2022 base.
Square of 9 & Time-Price Geometry
The Square of 9 spiral places the $48–$53 range in harmonic resonance with the $60–$63 arc by late 2025, implying that if silver holds above the $47.12 support, the market could enter a hyperbolic phase by the second half of 2025. Each 90-day rotation strengthens the underlying momentum geometry, potentially leading to breakout symmetry at the 360-day point.
Conclusion
Silver remains in a controlled correction within a larger bullish framework. The next reversal window lies between October 25–31, aligning with both the 30-day cycle and VC PMI Buy 1 range ($47.12–48.00). If confirmed, the next leg could propel silver back above $53.46, setting the stage for a 2025 reacceleration toward $60–65, completing the Square-of-9 time-price spiral initiated a year earlier.
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TRADING DERIVATIVES, FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AND PRECIOUS METALS INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR EVERYONE. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.