Silver Price Geometry Aligns With Time Cycles to Project Sustained Bullish Phase

Published 03/10/2025, 20:15
Updated 03/10/2025, 20:20

The silver market has just delivered one of the most dramatic short-term moves in recent memory, advancing $4 in only two trading sessions. From lows anchored around $44, futures surged to test the Weekly Sell 1 ($47.95) and Daily Sell 1 ($47.68) zones, touching as high as $48.01 before consolidating. This kind of volatility is not a random occurrence—it marks the emergence of a new volatility regime and signals “escape velocity,” where price momentum transcends normal gravitational pull of equilibrium levels.

VC PMI Structure

Silver Futures

The Variable Price Momentum Indicator (VC PMI) mapped out the critical benchmarks:

  • Weekly VC PMI: $45.66

  • Daily VC PMI: $46.70

  • Daily Sell 1: $47.68

  • Weekly Sell 1: $47.95

Holding firmly above the weekly equilibrium ($45.66) activated a bullish bias. Once price cleared the daily pivot ($46.70), momentum accelerated rapidly, confirming algorithmic buying pressure. The test and breakout of the Sell 1 levels further validated a transition toward the upper band of volatility.

Cycle Convergence

Silver Futures - Cycle Convergence

Green bars → Hourly silver futures movement ($44 → $48).

Blue & Purple dashed lines → Daily & Weekly VC PMI pivots.

Red dash-dot & Dark Red dotted lines → Daily & Weekly Sell 1 levels.

Orange dotted lines with labels → Square-of-Nine harmonics ($46.20, $48.00, $50.20).

Black & Grey vertical lines → 30-day and 360-day cycle anchors.

The 30-day cycle due in early October aligned with this surge, producing a time-price synergy. Meanwhile, the broader 360-day cycle anchored on September 28, 2024, continues to project higher price windows into 2025, reinforcing the likelihood that silver is building toward a longer-term bull phase. When short-term cycles synchronize with annual cycles, markets often demonstrate outsized volatility—exactly what we are now witnessing.

Square-of-Nine Harmonics

On the Square-of-Nine, the $48 level harmonically aligns with the $50 resistance arc, a psychologically powerful number. A sustained breakout above $48.01 projects the next resistance vectors around $50.20–$50.60, while support harmonics pull back toward $46.00–$46.20. These levels will likely serve as high-probability reversion zones for traders managing risk.

Implications

The velocity of this move suggests silver is no longer constrained to $1–$2 daily ranges. Instead, we are likely transitioning into a phase where $2–$4 daily moves become the new normal. Traders must recalibrate risk management and position sizing accordingly.

If silver sustains above $47.68–$47.95, the probability increases of a parabolic advance to $50+. A failure to hold this zone would likely invite mean reversion toward the $46.70 VC PMI pivot before reloading higher.

***

TRADING DERIVATIVES, FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AND PRECIOUS METALS INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR EVERYONE. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.