Silver Pulls Back Into a High-Probability Buy Zone Near Cycle Lows

Published 21/11/2025, 16:36
Updated 21/11/2025, 16:40

Silver has completed a classic VC PMI mean-reversion pattern from a high-volatility advance above $52 back down into the Daily and Weekly Buy zones. The failure at the Daily Sell 1–2 band above $51–52 triggered a rotation that drove price under both the Daily VC PMI (50.587) and the Weekly VC PMI (51.12), shifting the short-term structure from bullish to corrective. The recent low near 48.05 effectively tags the Daily Buy 2 (48.95) and aligns closely with Fibonacci support and Weekly Buy 1 (47.81), creating a powerful demand cluster where the algorithm anticipates strong buyers.

Key Levels

  • Daily VC PMI: 50.587

  • Daily Buy 1 / Buy 2: 49.62 / 48.95

  • Daily Sell 1 / Sell 2: 51.27 / 52.24

  • Weekly VC PMI: 51.12

  • Weekly Buy 1 / Buy 2: 47.81 / 44.94

  • Weekly Sell 1 / Sell 2: 53.99 / 57.30

Silver Futures
Overlaying the 30-, 60-, and 90-day cycles shows that this decline is occurring into a time window where shorter cycles are bottoming while the longer 60–90-day structures remain in expansion mode. In other words, the correction is time-aligned with a reset in the dominant uptrend rather than a structural top. As these cycles turn up into December, the probability favors a migration of price back toward the Daily VC PMI first, then the upper weekly band.

Silver Futures

The hyperbolic projection on the chart models a path where price stabilizes in the 48.50–49.50 zone, then builds an ascending base above 49.62 (Daily Buy 1). A close back above 50.587 would confirm that mean reversion has completed and that the next leg toward 51.27–52.84 is in progress. If volatility expands into year-end, the model allows for a potential test of Weekly Sell 1 at 53.99 and, in an extreme scenario, Weekly Sell 2 near 57.30.

Risk is clearly defined: as long as price holds above Weekly Buy 1 (47.81), the correction is considered a buying opportunity within a larger bullish regime. A sustained break and close below 47.81 would neutralize the bullish cycle view and open the door to a deeper mean-reversion toward 44.94.

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