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Silver futures (SIZ25) remain in a firmly established bull trend, with price action consolidating above the key $50 area after a powerful advance from the mid-$30s earlier in the year. The reconstructed daily trend shows a steady, stair-step rise through late summer, followed by an acceleration phase into October that produced a pronounced rally “bump,” consistent with a momentum expansion leg typical of precious-metal breakouts.
Following that surge, the market entered a classic mean-reversion window, where price pulled back from overextended levels yet continued to hold above the rising trend line. This behavior is structurally bullish: the market is digesting gains rather than reversing.
When we overlay the 30-, 60-, and 90-day cycles, a clearer rhythm emerges beneath the price path. The 30-day cycle captures the shorter swing rotations—roughly monthly waves where impulsive rallies are followed by two- to five-day corrections.
The 60-day cycle aligns with broader “campaign” moves, often marking the transition from accumulation to markup phases. The 90-day cycle, with a gentler amplitude, acts as the backbone of the trend, showing that each corrective phase has so far resolved into higher highs and higher lows.
Into late November and December, these cycles begin to cluster in a constructive formation, with the shorter cycles turning up from their lower quadrants while the 90-day wave remains firmly in its bullish phase. This alignment supports the probability of renewed upside rather than a breakdown.
On top of this cyclical structure, the hyperbolic projection path illustrates a scenario where price may begin to accelerate again as we approach year-end. The projected curve is not a guarantee but a roadmap of what can unfold if the current trend, volatility regime, and cycle alignment persist: controlled consolidation around $50–$51, followed by an increasingly steep slope targeting higher price territory into the final weeks of December.
Risk remains defined by the ability of silver to hold above prior support bands and the lower cycle envelopes. As long as pullbacks respect these structural levels, silver continues to trade in a bullish regime, with the potential for an “escape-velocity” move if the hyperbolic path is activated by fresh demand or macro-catalysts.
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TRADING DERIVATIVES, FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AND PRECIOUS METALS INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR EVERYONE. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.