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Immediate Technical Structure
Silver is trading just above its Daily VC PMI at $38.44, holding the short-term pivot after a rebound from Tuesday’s low of $37.515. This low occurred right above Daily Buy 2 ($37.57) and Weekly Buy 1 ($37.24), producing a textbook mean reversion bounce.
- Upside resistance: $38.91–$39.23 (Daily Sell 1 & 2)
- Downside supports: $38.08–$37.57, then $37.24 (weekly)
Silver 5-Day - 15-Minute Chart" src="https://d1-invdn-com.investing.com/content/picbde95fa0cdd9e933d846e068d457db01.png" alt="Silver 5-Day - 15-Minute Chart" align="bottom" border="0">
The current sideways consolidation is setting the stage for a breakout test into the next Gann time cycle window.
Gann Time Cycle Alignment
Using the most recent swing high on Aug 7 at $38.875 as the time anchor:
- 45° rotation: Aug 11–12 – price bottomed in this window.
- 90° rotation: Aug 14–15 – next directional change window, often a reversal pivot.
- 180° rotation: Aug 21 – potential major inflection date.
This means Aug 14–15 is the immediate “time trigger” where volatility could spike and price could break out of the current range.
Square of 9 – Price Harmonics
Mapping the Aug 7 high ($38.875) through the Square of 9 spiral:
- First harmonic resistance: $39.23 – aligns perfectly with Daily Sell 2.
- Next harmonic target: $39.78 – just shy of Weekly Sell 2 at $40.18.
- Downside harmonic support: $37.57 – matches Daily Buy 2 exactly.
The price harmonics and VC PMI levels are in near-perfect alignment, increasing confidence in these levels as high-probability turning points.
360-Day Cycle Context
Silver’s broader cycle count shows that we are entering the final third of the current 360-day rotation that began in late September 2024.
- Historically, this phase tends to produce countertrend rallies before the primary trend resumes.
- The last major cycle low was in late June 2025, meaning we are in the mid-cycle expansion phase—often characterized by sharp rallies followed by profit-taking near resistance.
Strategic Scenarios
Bullish Path
- Hold above $38.44 → Target $38.91 → $39.23 (Daily resistance cluster).
- Break above $39.23 during the Aug 14–15 window could accelerate to $39.78–$40.18.
Bearish Path
- Failure to hold $38.44 → Retest $38.08 → $37.57.
- Break below $37.57 risks deeper move toward $37.24 and $35.94 (Weekly Buy 2).
Trade Map
Cycle Date |
Bias Window |
Buy Zone |
Sell Zone |
Expansion Target |
Aug 14–15 |
High Volatility Pivot |
$38.08–$37.57 |
$38.91–$39.23 |
$39.78–$40.18 |
Aug 21 |
Major Cycle Inflection |
TBD
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