Silver: Sideways Trade Signals Imminent Gann Cycle Move

Published 14/08/2025, 06:13
Updated 14/08/2025, 08:14

Immediate Technical Structure

Silver is trading just above its Daily VC PMI at $38.44, holding the short-term pivot after a rebound from Tuesday’s low of $37.515. This low occurred right above Daily Buy 2 ($37.57) and Weekly Buy 1 ($37.24), producing a textbook mean reversion bounce.

  • Upside resistance: $38.91–$39.23 (Daily Sell 1 & 2)
  • Downside supports: $38.08–$37.57, then $37.24 (weekly)

Silver 5-Day - 15-Minute Chart" src="https://d1-invdn-com.investing.com/content/picbde95fa0cdd9e933d846e068d457db01.png" alt="Silver 5-Day - 15-Minute Chart" align="bottom" border="0">

The current sideways consolidation is setting the stage for a breakout test into the next Gann time cycle window.

Gann Time Cycle Alignment

Silver Futures-VC PMI Levels and Gann Time Cycles Chart

Using the most recent swing high on Aug 7 at $38.875 as the time anchor:

  • 45° rotation: Aug 11–12 – price bottomed in this window.

  • 90° rotation: Aug 14–15 – next directional change window, often a reversal pivot.

  • 180° rotation: Aug 21 – potential major inflection date.

This means Aug 14–15 is the immediate “time trigger” where volatility could spike and price could break out of the current range.

Square of 9 – Price Harmonics

Mapping the Aug 7 high ($38.875) through the Square of 9 spiral:

  • First harmonic resistance: $39.23 – aligns perfectly with Daily Sell 2.

  • Next harmonic target: $39.78 – just shy of Weekly Sell 2 at $40.18.

  • Downside harmonic support: $37.57 – matches Daily Buy 2 exactly.

The price harmonics and VC PMI levels are in near-perfect alignment, increasing confidence in these levels as high-probability turning points.

360-Day Cycle Context

Silver’s broader cycle count shows that we are entering the final third of the current 360-day rotation that began in late September 2024.

  • Historically, this phase tends to produce countertrend rallies before the primary trend resumes.

  • The last major cycle low was in late June 2025, meaning we are in the mid-cycle expansion phase—often characterized by sharp rallies followed by profit-taking near resistance.

Strategic Scenarios

Bullish Path

  • Hold above $38.44 → Target $38.91 → $39.23 (Daily resistance cluster).
  • Break above $39.23 during the Aug 14–15 window could accelerate to $39.78–$40.18.

Bearish Path

  • Failure to hold $38.44 → Retest $38.08 → $37.57.
  • Break below $37.57 risks deeper move toward $37.24 and $35.94 (Weekly Buy 2).

Trade Map

Cycle Date

Bias Window

Buy Zone

Sell Zone

Expansion Target

Aug 14–15

High Volatility Pivot

$38.08–$37.57

$38.91–$39.23

$39.78–$40.18

Aug 21

Major Cycle Inflection

TBD

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