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Silver continues to demonstrate mean-reversion strength following its recovery from the $46.52 low, which aligned with the Daily Buy 2 ($45.98) level. The market has reestablished itself above the Daily VC PMI pivot ($47.30), reinforcing bullish momentum within the daily and weekly frameworks. The price now trades just above Daily Sell 1 ($46.64), targeting the upper resistance zones at Daily Sell 2 ($48.62) and the Fibonacci 78.6% retracement near $49.30.
The Weekly Buy 1 ($47.12) has provided a critical support area, while the Weekly Buy 2 ($44.06) remains the long-term defensive line. The chart’s horizontal confluence across these levels shows a well-defined equilibrium pattern—typical of mean-reversion phases preparing for breakout acceleration.
A close above $49.30 would mark a transition from reversion to expansion, activating the Weekly Sell 1 ($51.34) as the next magnet target, consistent with the 360-day cycle projection from the 2024 low.
Momentum and Structure
The 15-minute chart over the past five trading days reveals expanding volatility accompanied by stronger volume on upward moves—an early sign of accumulation. The MACD crossover turned positive on November 5, confirming the start of a short-term bullish sequence. If price action sustains above $47.20, algorithmic mean-reversion models (such as the VC PMI AI) will favor long positions with a 70–80% probability of retesting the $48.60–$49.30 range before encountering significant resistance.
Extended projections through December 2025 show gradual price expansion supported by a long-term bullish slope, suggesting continued accumulation toward $52.00 as cycle harmonics unfold.
Cycle Alignment and Probabilities
The extended Silver Futures (/SI) projection line chart above through December 2025.
It illustrates how the market could evolve within the VC PMI framework, maintaining oscillations around key mean-reversion levels ($47.96–$49.30), with a bullish drift toward $51–52 as part of the ongoing 60- and 90-day cycle expansions into year-end.
Silver’s position within the 30-, 60-, and 90-day Gann cycles suggests a synchronized rising phase extending into mid-December. The 360-day cycle, anchored on September 28, continues to project higher lows and higher highs, with volatility compressions often preceding accelerated moves. The 9-year macro harmonic pattern, combined with Square of 9 geometry, reinforces potential price convergence around $52–$55 by Q1 2026.
Conclusion
As of early November 2025, silver remains in a strong mean-reversion recovery, poised for a potential breakout above $49.30. The outlook favors accumulation on dips toward $47.30–$47.12, with high-probability targets set between $48.62 and $51.34 through year-end. The momentum, cycles, and probability convergence all align for a bullish continuation phase within the broader 360-day expansion window.
Key Levels:
- Resistance: $48.62–$49.30, $51.34
- Support: $46.64–$45.98
- Bias: Bullish within the mean-reversion channel
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