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Today's FX market focus is squarely on the June US jobs report. Does a consensus +110k release provide cover for Fed Chair Powell to continue resisting pressure to cut rates? Or will a weak number...
Yesterday’s US data (JOLTS and ISM manufacturing) were stronger than expected, but this provided only limited support for a US dollar still suffering from an asymmetrical negative bias. To watch...
EUR/USD rally continues despite Fed’s hawkish stance and lack of rate cuts so far. Trump may announce a pro-cut Fed Chair nominee, adding pressure on Powell’s position. Key US jobs data arrives...
Yesterday’s US data was a mixed bag, failing to unequivocally endorse the recent speculation on Fed rate cuts. Today, focus will be on the PCE, personal spending and more Fedspeak. EUR/USD has its...
I think this is the most important macro chart in the world right now. The chart shows the 120-day rolling correlation between EUR and SPX. This is a key correlation for big asset allocators such as...
The US dollar's bearish march has continued after the Middle East crisis brought scattered, short-lived support. EUR/USD has broken 1.170 and is setting its sights on 1.20. The recent short-term rate...
EUR/USD extends rally as oil slump and ceasefire weigh on US dollar sentiment. Markets fully price in September rate cut, with July now back on the table. Euro gains on risk-on mood, but weak...
Markets seem to be trusting the ceasefire between Iran and Israel, and the US dollar is back to testing its lows. Expect US data to play a bigger role from here, especially since Fed Chair Powell's...
The Sunday Market Open got filled with gaps and while most of them have been tested by retracting prices, all markets are still trading at different levels compared to the Friday close. EUR/USD...
Market reactions remain muted despite Middle East tensions, with volatility limited outside of oil. Focus shifts to Fed as rate cut expectations hinge on data and tariff war impact. EUR/USD eyes a...
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