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Markets are quite clearly rethinking popular short-USD trades, but further gains may prove harder to sustain unless markets start to price out Fed easing. With the US CPI report reportedly being...
The standout FX move over the last month has been the spike in USD/JPY above 150. Here, the market is speculating that a renewed bout of reflationary policy will weigh on the yen. While we’re...
In the absence of US data, FX markets have largely focused on French and Japanese politics, plus surprise rate cuts in New Zealand and Poland. There is also the fallout from the First Brands...
With yields rising at the same time that the Japanese yen is falling, the Japanese economy is highly vulnerable to any additional setbacks, especially given the country’s extreme sovereign debt...
The US dollar continues to rally, with political events in France and Japan weighing on the two largest components of US Dollar Index (DXY) – EUR and JPY. Today’s deadline to form another...
The Japanese yen didn’t drift weaker — it yawed hard, like a cargo ship caught in a crosscurrent. The move through 152 wasn’t some gentle slide; it was a full-bodied turn powered by stop losses,...
3 Takeaways Monitor dispersion and volatility metrics — Elevated DSPX and wide gaps between VIX and VIXEQ suggest instability beneath headline index gains. Watch for volatility unwind during...
The USD/JPY pair closed at 150.33, with an intraday high of 150.62 and a low of 150.34. It has extended its rebound, piercing through short-term resistance levels as buyers regain control. The move...
I mentioned in my editorial that “barring a black swan event,” the stock market would stage an impressive year-end rally. If we have another black swan event, it will most likely be...
Supply disruptions and mine outages have boosted copper prices, supporting a short-term upward trend. Copper’s gains are aided by a weaker US dollar and rising global...
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