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Jobless claims dropped back sharply yesterday, a rare positive development for the US jobs market and the US dollar. But we still think the greenback is due to give up its post-Fed gains in the near...
The dollar’s slump mirrors last year’s payrolls-driven false signals, raising the risk of another recalibration in Fed cut pricing if unemployment fails to rise.Markets, Fed risk repeating...
The Treasury curve is climbing again, long-end first, like a slow but relentless tide that lifts every hull, whether seaworthy or not. Two, three basis points higher may not sound like much, but...
So the Fed cut rates, no surprise there. Really, there was nothing in the dot plot that was unexpected. Under Jay Powell’s leadership, the Fed thinks that neutral is around 3%, which is the...
Japan’s central bank enters its September meeting under intense scrutiny. While inflation pressures argue for maintaining a tightening stance, political instability following Prime Minister Shigeru...
US Dollar stays defensive ahead of Fed decision, with Powell’s tone under close watch. USD/JPY slips below 147.00, exposing risk of deeper slide toward 145.00 support. Market focus shifts to Fed...
Japan’s export data underscores a deepening challenge for its auto industry as U.S. tariffs erode competitiveness in the country’s most important foreign market. While overall exports showed only a...
The US dollar is drifting lower ahead of tomorrow evening’s FOMC meeting. Even the market’s favourite high-yield currency play, the Turkish lira, got a lift following news of a delay in a...
The USD/JPY pair closed at 147.05, with an intraday high of 147.43 and a low of 147.04. After failing to sustain momentum above 152.00, the pair has settled into a tight sideways range, reflecting...
After reviewing the changing patterns of economic policies to deal with the denting impacts of Trump’s trade tariffs, I anticipate that this swift escalation of trade tensions and extremely high...
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