Breaking News

U.S. Core PCE Price Index YoY

Latest Release

Sep 26, 2025

Actual

2.9%

Forecast

2.9%

The Core PCE price Index is the less volatile measure of the PCE price index which excludes the more volatile and seasonal food and energy prices. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in inflation may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in inflation may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Dec 05, 2025 (Sep)	16:00		2.9%	2.9%
Sep 26, 2025 (Aug)	13:30	2.9%	2.9%	2.9%
Aug 29, 2025 (Jul)	13:30	2.9%	2.9%	2.8%
Jul 31, 2025 (Jun)	13:30	2.8%	2.7%	2.8%
Jun 27, 2025 (May)	13:30	2.7%	2.6%	2.6%
May 30, 2025 (Apr)	13:30	2.5%	2.5%	2.7%

News

Gold prices edge higher, remaining close to highs post U.S. government shutdown By Investing.com - Oct 02, 2025

Investing.com -- Gold prices hovered near record highs Thursday as haven demand remained underpinned by an ongoing U.S. government shutdown and growing conviction in more interest rate cuts. At 07:55...

U.S. core PCE rises 2.9% in August, in line with estimates By Investing.com - Sep 26, 2025

Investing.com - Underlying U.S. inflation in August matched the prior month's pace as anticipated, in a sign of sticky price pressures that Federal Reserve officials have flagged as a key influence on...

Gold prices set for weekly gains on tariff caution; PCE data awaited By Investing.com - Sep 26, 2025

Investing.com-- Gold prices traded in a steady manner Friday, stabilizing after a recent drop from record highs as fresh tariff measures in the U.S. kept traders keen on safe havens. At 05:50 ET...

Analysis

Weak Labor Market Supports Outlook for Another Rate Cut By James Picerno - 9 hours ago

Markets were already expecting that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates again at next week’s policy meeting ahead of yesterday’s of ADP’s estimate of private non-farm...

US Dollar: Negative Seasonality Starting to Show By Francesco Pesole - 14 hours ago

The dollar decline is trying to gather some pace with December’s negative seasonality pairing up with poor US data and lingering USD overvaluation relative to short-term drivers. We could see...

Rates Outlook: Treasuries Ranging but Poised for a Breakout By Padhraic Garvey, CFA - 17 hours ago

We could be in this 4% to 4.1% trading range (US 10yr yield) for a bit before we break out. We’d view a break below as temporary (perhaps into the turn of the year), and a break above as more...

Core PCE Price Index (YoY) Discussion

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