Breaking News

U.S. Core PCE Price Index YoY

Latest Release

Jul 31, 2025

Actual

2.8%

Forecast

2.7%

2.8%

The Core PCE price Index is the less volatile measure of the PCE price index which excludes the more volatile and seasonal food and energy prices. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in inflation may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in inflation may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Jul 31, 2025 (Jun)	14:30	2.8%	2.7%	2.8%
Jun 27, 2025 (May)	14:30	2.7%	2.6%	2.6%
May 30, 2025 (Apr)	14:30	2.5%	2.5%	2.7%
Apr 30, 2025 (Mar)	16:00	2.6%	2.6%	3.0%
Mar 28, 2025 (Feb)	14:30	2.8%	2.7%	2.7%
Feb 28, 2025 (Jan)	15:30	2.6%	2.6%	2.9%

News

Fed keeps rates unchanged, but two governors break rank for first time since 1993 By Investing.com - Jul 30, 2025

Investing.com -- The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged Wednesday, but two Fed governors broke rank, voting against the decision, marking the first double dissent since 1993 and...

U.S. inflation pressures muted in May despite tariff worries, PCE data shows By Investing.com - Jun 27, 2025

Investing.com - The Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of inflation edged up by 0.1% on a month-on-month basis in May, in line with expectations and matching the prior month's rate, in the latest sign...

Bitcoin price today: hovering near $107k amid Fed, inflation caution By Investing.com - Jun 27, 2025

Investing.com-- Bitcoin fell marginally on Friday, giving up some recent gains as risk appetite cooled in the face of uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s plans for interest rates and a key upcoming...

Analysis

Is the Everything Rally Vulnerable to Trump’s New Tariffs? By James Picerno - Aug 01, 2025

President Trump on Thursday announced new tariffs on dozens of countries, marking a resumption of the trade-war policies that he originally outlined in April. Stocks fell around the world in reaction...

S&P 500: Eyes Now on Jobs Report After Hot PCE Stalls Momentum By Michael Kramer - Aug 01, 2025

It was an ugly day in the stock market, with the S&P 500 finishing down about 40 bps, despite Meta (NASDAQ:META) jumping more than 11% and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) gaining around 4%. The...

S&P 500: Will Strong Earnings From Big Tech Keep Outweighing Trade Risks? By Fawad Razaqzada - Jul 31, 2025

Microsoft and Meta results lift tech; Amazon and Apple earnings now in focus. S&P 500 futures hit new highs as AI optimism powers Big Tech rally. Fed dampens rate cut hopes; investors await key...

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