Breaking News

U.S. Core PCE Price Index YoY

Latest Release

Feb 28, 2025

Actual

2.6%

Forecast

2.6%

2.9%

The Core PCE price Index is the less volatile measure of the PCE price index which excludes the more volatile and seasonal food and energy prices. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in inflation may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in inflation may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Mar 28, 2025 (Feb)	13:30			2.6%
Feb 28, 2025 (Jan)	14:30	2.6%	2.6%	2.9%
Jan 31, 2025 (Dec)	14:30	2.8%	2.8%	2.8%
Dec 20, 2024 (Nov)	14:30	2.8%	2.9%	2.8%
Nov 27, 2024 (Oct)	16:00	2.8%	2.8%	2.7%
Oct 31, 2024 (Sep)	13:30	2.7%	2.6%	2.7%

News

PCE inflation rises 2.5% year-on-year in January, meeting estimates By Investing.com - Feb 28, 2025

Investing.com - U.S. inflation matched the prior month's pace and slowed on an annualized basis in January, while consumer spending unexpectedly contracted, presenting a muddled economic picture for...

U.S. PCE inflation accelerates in December By Investing.com - Jan 31, 2025

Investing.com - The personal consumption expenditures price index accelerated slightly in December, in line with estimates, while the pace of consumer spending unexpectedly rose, according to a raft...

Fed's rate path, Starbucks, xAI funding - what's moving markets By Investing.com - Dec 24, 2024

Investing.com -- Wall Street is seen trading largely flat in holiday-impacted trade Tuesday, with Starbucks in focus as the strike affecting the coffee chain looks set to expand. The pat of future Fed...

Analysis

US Dollar: Rising Rate Cut Bets, Geopolitical Risks Put Recovery to the Test By Günay Caymaz - Mar 03, 2025

The dollar’s rebound faces a key test as traders assess Fed expectations, geopolitics, and slowing spending. With inflation cooling and rate-cut bets rising, markets eye jobs data for policy...

Nasdaq Bulls Stand Firm - But a Slip Below This Level May Spark Selling Pressure By Fawad Razaqzada - Feb 27, 2025

Nvidia’s muted reaction keeps tech on edge, with chipmakers in focus. Nasdaq’s 20980-21000 support holds—for now. A break could mean trouble. With Nvidia done, GDP today and Core PCE Friday...

Bonds Offer an Exciting Risk-Reward Opportunity If This Disinflation Thesis Holds By Alfonso Peccatiello - Feb 09, 2025

Our main macro thesis for the first half of 2025 is that another disinflationary wave will hit the US. We expect core PCE to annualize at or below 2% in H1 2025. Our Leading Inflation Indicator...

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