Breaking News

U.S. Core PCE Price Index YoY

Latest Release

Sep 26, 2025

Actual

2.9%

Forecast

2.9%

The Core PCE price Index is the less volatile measure of the PCE price index which excludes the more volatile and seasonal food and energy prices. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in inflation may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in inflation may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Oct 31, 2025 (Sep)	14:30			2.9%
Sep 26, 2025 (Aug)	14:30	2.9%	2.9%	2.9%
Aug 29, 2025 (Jul)	14:30	2.9%	2.9%	2.8%
Jul 31, 2025 (Jun)	14:30	2.8%	2.7%	2.8%
Jun 27, 2025 (May)	14:30	2.7%	2.6%	2.6%
May 30, 2025 (Apr)	14:30	2.5%	2.5%	2.7%

News

Gold prices edge higher, remaining close to highs post U.S. government shutdown By Investing.com - Oct 02, 2025

Investing.com -- Gold prices hovered near record highs Thursday as haven demand remained underpinned by an ongoing U.S. government shutdown and growing conviction in more interest rate cuts. At 07:55...

U.S. core PCE rises 2.9% in August, in line with estimates By Investing.com - Sep 26, 2025

Investing.com - Underlying U.S. inflation in August matched the prior month's pace as anticipated, in a sign of sticky price pressures that Federal Reserve officials have flagged as a key influence on...

Gold prices set for weekly gains on tariff caution; PCE data awaited By Investing.com - Sep 26, 2025

Investing.com-- Gold prices traded in a steady manner Friday, stabilizing after a recent drop from record highs as fresh tariff measures in the U.S. kept traders keen on safe havens. At 05:50 ET...

Analysis

Corporate Price Weakness Could Bring Core PCE Closer to Fed Target By Michael Lebowitz - Oct 06, 2025

The following discussion is courtesy of Paul Mortimer Lee, as provided by Edward Albert. Paul makes an interesting case that PCE prices, the Fed’s primary gauge of inflation, is likely to...

USD/JPY Q4 Outlook: Data and Politics to Steer the Ship By David Scutt - Oct 03, 2025

US Dollar direction is skewed to U.S. labour data and politics. Sideways trade is likely, but any shock to payrolls or Fed board composition could unleash volatility.USD/JPY directional risks remain...

Miran Says Rates Are Too High: Politics or Reality? By Michael Lebowitz - Oct 01, 2025

Stephen Miran, Donald Trump’s recent addition to the Fed, joined the Federal Reserve the day before the last meeting. At that meeting, he was the only dissenting vote, supporting a...

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