Breaking News

U.S. Core PCE Price Index YoY

Latest Release

Apr 30, 2025

Actual

2.6%

Forecast

2.6%

3.0%

The Core PCE price Index is the less volatile measure of the PCE price index which excludes the more volatile and seasonal food and energy prices. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in inflation may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in inflation may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
May 30, 2025 (Apr)	14:30			2.6%
Apr 30, 2025 (Mar)	16:00	2.6%	2.6%	3.0%
Mar 28, 2025 (Feb)	14:30	2.8%	2.7%	2.7%
Feb 28, 2025 (Jan)	15:30	2.6%	2.6%	2.9%
Jan 31, 2025 (Dec)	15:30	2.8%	2.8%	2.8%
Dec 20, 2024 (Nov)	15:30	2.8%	2.9%	2.8%

News

U.S. inflation pressures ease; March PCE rises 2.3% on annual basis By Investing.com - Apr 30, 2025

Investing.com -- The March personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, an inflation metric closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, indicated easing inflationary pressures in the U.S.,...

Goldman Sachs hikes probability of US recession to 35% amid Trump tariff jitters By Investing.com - Mar 31, 2025

Investing.com-- Goldman Sachs said on Sunday that it expects a greater chance of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months, citing uncertainty over trade policy, softening consumer and business...

U.S. inflation slightly heats up; core PCE index rose 2.7% in February By Investing.com - Mar 28, 2025

Investing.com -- The "core" personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, an inflation metric closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, edged higher in February, providing the U.S. central bank...

Analysis

US Dollar Faces Pivotal Week as Trade Talks and Inflation Data Loom By Francesco Pesole - May 12, 2025

Markets are anxiously awaiting today’s update from Secretary Bessent on the content of initial US-China trade talks over the weekend. We think the market baseline is for tariffs to be cut to 60%, and...

Trading the FOMC Meeting: Key Levels and Analysis for EUR/USD and USD/JPY By Moheb Hanna - May 07, 2025

How are Economic Data and Inflation Shaping the Outlook? This week, financial markets are keenly focused on the upcoming FOMC Federal Funds Rate decision, the FOMC statement, and the subsequent FOMC...

S&P 500 Bulls Regain the Driver’s Seat as Dips Get Bought, Resistance Breaks By Fawad Razaqzada - May 01, 2025

Strong tech earnings and fading tariff risks are helping stabilize investor sentiment this week. Weak macro data raises recession fears but boosts chances of early Fed rate cuts. S&P 500...

Core PCE Price Index (YoY) Discussion

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