Breaking News

U.S. Core PCE Price Index YoY

Latest Release

Jun 27, 2025

Actual

2.7%

Forecast

2.6%

The Core PCE price Index is the less volatile measure of the PCE price index which excludes the more volatile and seasonal food and energy prices. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in inflation may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in inflation may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Jul 31, 2025 (Jun)	14:30			2.7%
Jun 27, 2025 (May)	14:30	2.7%	2.6%	2.6%
May 30, 2025 (Apr)	14:30	2.5%	2.5%	2.7%
Apr 30, 2025 (Mar)	16:00	2.6%	2.6%	3.0%
Mar 28, 2025 (Feb)	14:30	2.8%	2.7%	2.7%
Feb 28, 2025 (Jan)	15:30	2.6%	2.6%	2.9%

News

U.S. inflation pressures muted in May despite tariff worries, PCE data shows By Investing.com - Jun 27, 2025

Investing.com - The Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of inflation edged up by 0.1% on a month-on-month basis in May, in line with expectations and matching the prior month's rate, in the latest sign...

Bitcoin price today: hovering near $107k amid Fed, inflation caution By Investing.com - Jun 27, 2025

Investing.com-- Bitcoin fell marginally on Friday, giving up some recent gains as risk appetite cooled in the face of uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s plans for interest rates and a key upcoming...

Asia FX muted, dollar struggles at 3-yr low with PCE data on tap By Investing.com - Jun 27, 2025

Investing.com-- Most Asian currencies kept to a tight range on Friday after cooling Middle East tensions helped spur strong gains earlier this week, while the dollar meandered at more-than three-year...

Analysis

US 30-Year Yield Mispriced? Inflation and Deficits Point to Higher Rates By Alfonso Peccatiello - Jul 08, 2025

If you think 30-year US yields at 5% are high, think again. The bond market seems to be revolting again, and understandably so. However you cut and slice it, 30-year US yields should rather sit at...

Do Tariffs Matter Anymore? By James Knightley - Jul 06, 2025

US President Donald Trump’s 90-day trade reprieve is ending. Tariff noise is back, but does it really matter? US inflation has stayed surprisingly benign and the economy is holding up, despite the...

Is a 'Shadow' Fed Chair a Good Idea? By Michael Lebowitz - Jun 30, 2025

Donald Trump’s frustration with Chairman Powell increases by the day. Consequently, per The Wall Street Journal, expectations are that Trump will announce Powell’s successor sooner than typical....

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