Breaking News

U.S. Core PCE Price Index YoY

Latest Release

Jul 31, 2025

Actual

2.8%

Forecast

2.7%

2.8%

The Core PCE price Index is the less volatile measure of the PCE price index which excludes the more volatile and seasonal food and energy prices. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in inflation may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in inflation may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Aug 29, 2025 (Jul)	14:30			2.8%
Jul 31, 2025 (Jun)	14:30	2.8%	2.7%	2.8%
Jun 27, 2025 (May)	14:30	2.7%	2.6%	2.6%
May 30, 2025 (Apr)	14:30	2.5%	2.5%	2.7%
Apr 30, 2025 (Mar)	16:00	2.6%	2.6%	3.0%
Mar 28, 2025 (Feb)	14:30	2.8%	2.7%	2.7%

News

Fed keeps rates unchanged, but two governors break rank for first time since 1993 By Investing.com - Jul 30, 2025

Investing.com -- The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged Wednesday, but two Fed governors broke rank, voting against the decision, marking the first double dissent since 1993 and...

U.S. inflation pressures muted in May despite tariff worries, PCE data shows By Investing.com - Jun 27, 2025

Investing.com - The Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of inflation edged up by 0.1% on a month-on-month basis in May, in line with expectations and matching the prior month's rate, in the latest sign...

Bitcoin price today: hovering near $107k amid Fed, inflation caution By Investing.com - Jun 27, 2025

Investing.com-- Bitcoin fell marginally on Friday, giving up some recent gains as risk appetite cooled in the face of uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s plans for interest rates and a key upcoming...

Analysis

US Dollar: Inflation Trends Overshadow Trump-Putin Meeting in Alaska By Francesco Pesole - Aug 15, 2025

Today’s Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska could be a turning point for the Ukraine conflict. But that might not deliver the kind of seismic impact on the US dollar that macroeconomic data has of...

US Dollar Bears Target Fresh Lows Below 97 as Rate-Cut Bets Surge By Fawad Razaqzada - Aug 13, 2025

Softer inflation data pushed the US dollar to a two-week low. Markets now price in a September Fed cut, with more easing likely. PPI and retail sales may shape the dollar’s path ahead of...

Is a Warp-Speed ‘Run It Hot’ Policy Coming in 2026? By Alfonso Peccatiello - Aug 13, 2025

I believe the US economy might be entering a temporary slowdown (’’Run It Cold’’ now), which will allow the {{Fed}} to cut a few times right before the 2026 ’’Run...

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