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On Thursday, Ambit Capital initiated coverage on Vinati Organics Ltd (VO:IN) stock with a Buy rating and a price target of INR 2,062.00. The firm highlighted the company's leadership in its flagship products ATBS and IBB, where it holds a 65% market share, due to its niche product range, green manufacturing processes, and high-purity integrated product portfolio.
Vinati Organics has been recognized for its zero-discharge green processes and the production of niche products that offer both low volume and high value. The company's integrated approach across the value chain ensures a purity level of over 99% for its products. This strategy has positioned Vinati Organics as a global leader in ATBS and IBB.
The company's diversification strategy is driven by the limited size of the addressable market for its existing products, with AO having a capacity of 65KT and IBB 40KT. In response, Vinati Organics has forward integrated its IB capacity into BP (NYSE:BP) with a capacity of 36KT and AO with a capacity of 24KT, targeting larger global markets of 400KT and 300KT, respectively.
Ambit Capital also notes that Vinati Organics has invested ₹5 billion in new specialty products, which is expected to provide revenue visibility beyond FY26. The normalization of channel inventory for ATBS is anticipated to support a 23% revenue growth over FY24-27. This growth is expected to come from a gradual volume recovery in ATBS, a ramp-up in AO production, and the development of the specialty product pipeline.
The valuation of Vinati Organics at INR 2,062 by Ambit Capital implies a 32x FY27E P/E, which factors in a 22% growth projection over FY24-37, compared to the 21% growth currently implied by market valuations. However, the firm also cautions of key risks including potential competition in new products and a slower ramp-up of new capacities.
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