Moody’s downgrades Senegal to Caa1 amid rising debt concerns
Investing.com - RBC Capital downgraded Atlas Energy Solutions Inc (NYSE:AESI) from Outperform to Sector Perform and lowered its price target to $13.00 from $16.00. The stock, currently trading at $11.60, offers an attractive 8.62% dividend yield, though it trades at a relatively high P/E ratio of 97.8x. According to InvestingPro data, analysts maintain a moderate buy consensus on the stock.
The downgrade reflects RBC Capital’s concerns about the soft Permian sand supply-demand balance, which is expected to keep prices low. The firm forecasts Permian market demand of approximately 59 million tons of sand in 2026, down from 64 million tons in 2025. Despite these challenges, Atlas Energy has maintained strong revenue growth of 49.18% over the last twelve months, with a healthy current ratio of 1.56 indicating solid short-term liquidity.
RBC Capital reduced its 2026 forecast for Atlas Energy’s sand sales volume by 2 million tons to 23 million tons. Despite some industry capacity reductions, the firm noted that Atlas maintains 5-10 million tons of spare capacity against its 30 million ton nameplate capacity.
The investment bank also highlighted challenges with the company’s Dune Express operation, stating that low trucking rates are hindering it from reaching full potential. While Dune Express has increased to approximately 1.5 million tons per quarter, logistics segment gross margins remain relatively soft.
RBC Capital projects logistics segment gross margins will reach only 21% in 2026, compared to 17% in 2024, attributing this limited improvement to the trucking industry’s willingness to work with compressed margins.
In other recent news, Kodiak AI, Inc. has completed its business combination with Ares Acquisition Corporation II. The newly combined entity will start trading on the Nasdaq Stock Market under the ticker symbols "KDK" for common stock and "KDKRW" for public warrants. Meanwhile, Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. reported its second-quarter 2025 earnings, revealing a notable miss on earnings per share (EPS), which came in at -$0.04, significantly below the forecasted $1.08. However, the company’s revenue exceeded expectations, achieving $288.7 million compared to the anticipated $239.17 million. Following this earnings announcement, Stifel adjusted its price target for Atlas Energy Solutions, lowering it to $14.00 from $14.50, but maintained a Buy rating on the stock. This adjustment was made in light of Atlas Energy’s adjusted EBITDA missing consensus estimates by 6.9%. These developments provide investors with the latest insights into both Kodiak AI and Atlas Energy Solutions.
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