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On Tuesday, analysts at Baird downgraded Triumph Group (NYSE:TGI) stock from Outperform to Neutral, despite raising the price target from $20.00 to $26.00. The adjustment follows Monday’s announcement that Triumph Group will be acquired by private equity firms Warburg Pincus and Berkshire Partners in an all-cash transaction valued at $26 per share. The stock, currently trading at $25.10, has shown remarkable momentum with a 32% surge in the past week alone, according to InvestingPro data.
The deal’s offer price is approximately a 58% premium over the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) for the 90 days preceding the announcement and a 39% premium compared to the pre-market stock price on Monday. Baird sees minimal regulatory risks associated with the transaction or with Triumph Group’s key Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) customers. InvestingPro analysis reveals the company operates with a significant debt burden, with total debt of $966 million, though its current ratio of 2.47 indicates strong short-term liquidity.
The acquisition is anticipated to be finalized in the second half of 2025. Baird’s revised price target of $26 aligns with the acquisition offer, indicating the firm’s expectation that the deal will proceed as proposed without significant hurdles.
The upgrade in the price target reflects the premium offered by the acquiring firms and the confidence that the acquisition will be completed successfully, providing shareholders with a substantial return on their investment relative to recent trading prices.
Investors in Triumph Group can now consider the implications of the acquisition as they adjust their positions in response to the pending change in ownership and the expected completion of the deal later this year.
In other recent news, Triumph Group is reportedly in advanced discussions for a $3 billion acquisition by private equity firms Warburg Pincus and Berkshire Partners. The company has also seen record aftermarket shipments for Boeing (NYSE:BA) 787 and Airbus A380 landing gear systems, contributing to a 6.73% year-over-year revenue growth. Triumph Group’s Q2 FY25 performance showed a 13% increase in aftermarket revenue and a 34% surge in commercial aftermarket sales. TD Cowen has adjusted its price target for Triumph Group shares, raising it to $20.00, maintaining a Hold rating. The company’s net debt has been reduced to $868 million, marking a significant decrease from the previous year. Triumph Group’s recent developments include a new contract for the T-55 engine fleet expected to generate substantial revenue. These are recent developments in the company’s operations and financial performance.
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