Baird lowers Cava Group stock price target to $95 from $115 on Q2 comps

Published 13/08/2025, 08:06
Baird lowers Cava Group stock price target to $95 from $115 on Q2 comps

Investing.com - Baird has lowered its price target on CAVA Group Inc (NYSE:CAVA) to $95.00 from $115.00 while maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock. Currently trading at $84.50 with a market capitalization of $9.77 billion, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is trading above its Fair Value.

The firm attributed the price target reduction to disappointing second-quarter comparable sales results, though it believes the softer-than-expected performance stems from macroeconomic headwinds and difficult year-over-year comparisons rather than fundamental issues with the company’s brand proposition. Despite the recent challenges, the company maintains strong fundamentals with a healthy current ratio of 3.0 and impressive revenue growth of 32% over the last twelve months.

Baird noted that comparable sales have returned to healthier levels in early third quarter, which suggests the company’s growth story remains intact despite the recent setback.

The research firm also highlighted that CAVA’s new restaurant units are performing "very strongly," further supporting its positive long-term outlook on the Mediterranean fast-casual chain.

Baird recommended investors buy CAVA shares during any anticipated weakness following the Q2 results, reaffirming its confidence in the company’s fundamentals despite the reduced price target.

In other recent news, Cava Group Inc. reported its second-quarter 2025 earnings, surpassing market expectations with earnings per share of $0.16, higher than the anticipated $0.14. The company’s revenue also exceeded projections, reaching $278.2 million compared to the expected $249.66 million. Despite these positive results, analysts have adjusted their outlooks on Cava Group. Jefferies reduced its price target for the company to $100 from $125, citing a miss in same-store sales but noted an EBITDA beat due to improved margins and reduced expenses. KeyBanc Capital Markets also lowered its price target to $85 from $100, attributing the change to slower sales growth. Meanwhile, Stifel maintained its Buy rating and $125 price target, expressing disappointment with the lower-than-expected same-store sales growth of 2.1%. Stifel questioned whether this sales miss justified the significant reduction in the company’s market value. These developments highlight the mixed sentiment among analysts regarding Cava Group’s recent performance.

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