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Investing.com - UBS raised its price target on Bandhan Bank Ltd (NSE:BANH). (BANDHAN:IN) to INR210.00 from INR165.00 while maintaining a Neutral rating, citing gradual improvement in microfinance industry trends.
The revision comes as industry-wide Portfolio at Risk (PAR) 1-90 for the Micro Finance Industry decreased to 3.9% in May, down 100 basis points from December 2024 levels and 20 basis points from March 2025. Despite this improvement, PAR 90+ continues to rise, up 330 basis points compared to December and 150 basis points versus March.
Bandhan Bank’s PAR 1-90 for its MFI book stands at approximately 3.3% in Q4FY25, higher than the 2% recorded in Q4FY24 but lower than the Q3 peak of 3.8%. UBS expects the bank’s MFI slippages to decline only gradually from the high base as Special Mention Account (SMA) book and Forward flow rates (64% in Q4) decrease.
The bank appears better positioned in the current rate cut cycle due to its lower EBLR book at approximately 40%, CRR cut, and savings account rate cuts. However, UBS notes that sustained change in loan mix toward lower-yield non-MFI loans will continue to pressure Net Interest Margin (NIM).
The stock has risen approximately 24% in the last three months, but UBS believes further re-rating may be limited by near-term asset quality concerns and lower growth and Return on Assets profile as the MFI mix decreases. The bank currently trades at approximately 1x March 2027 Price-to-Book Value.
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