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Investing.com - Barclays initiated coverage on NIQ Global Intelligence Plc (NYSE:NIQ) with an Overweight rating and a $24.00 price target on Monday. The company, currently valued at $5.29 billion, trades at $17.94 per share. According to InvestingPro data, NIQ operates with significant debt and hasn’t been profitable over the last twelve months.
The research firm projects 5.0-5.5% revenue growth and approximately 11% adjusted EBITDA growth for NIQ over the next three-plus years, assuming a valuation multiple of around 10x adjusted EBITDA. Current metrics from InvestingPro show the company generating $4.03 billion in revenue and $712.5 million in EBITDA, with an EV/EBITDA multiple of 14x.
Barclays outlined multiple scenarios for the stock, suggesting a potential upside scenario with a 13x multiple and a downside case at approximately 7x EBITDA.
The firm indicated that consistent outperformance against its projections, particularly if NIQ demonstrates reliable mid-single-digit percentage organic growth and margin expansion, could drive multiple expansion toward the upside case.
Barclays acknowledged risks to its Overweight rating, citing potential headwinds affecting information services companies, including macroeconomic pressures, AI impacts, and competitive challenges that could weigh on growth and margins.
In other recent news, NIQ Global Intelligence has successfully refinanced its $3.4 billion debt facilities. The refinancing extended the maturity of its $2.26 billion USD Term Loan and €1.14 billion Euro Term Loan by approximately 2.5 years to October 2030. Additionally, NIQ reduced the interest rate spread on its dollar-denominated loan by 0.75 percentage points to SOFR+2.50% and on its euro-denominated loan by 0.25 percentage points to EURIBOR+3.00%. On the analyst front, NIQ Global Intelligence has received positive attention from several firms. Stifel initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a price target of $24.00. JPMorgan started coverage with an Overweight rating, setting a price target of $21.00. Baird also initiated coverage with an Outperform rating and a $24.00 price target. UBS joined the list by initiating coverage with a Buy rating and a $24.00 price target, noting a potential upside from its current price. These developments reflect recent strategic and market-related activities surrounding NIQ Global Intelligence.
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