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On Thursday, Barclays (LON:BARC) analyst Andrew Lobbenberg upgraded AENA SME SA (AENA:SM) (OTC: ANNSF) stock rating from Equalweight to Overweight, also raising the price target from EUR195.00 to EUR228.00. Lobbenberg cited AENA’s strong track record of profitability and cash generation, as well as its robust traffic recovery post-pandemic, as key factors for the upgrade.
The analyst acknowledged that there had been concerns about slowing traffic trends and potential risks stemming from Spanish politics and external investments. However, Lobbenberg now believes that these worries, particularly regarding a traffic slowdown, are exaggerated. The company’s own guidance suggests a conservative winter traffic growth forecast of 5.6%, while Barclays’ capacity tracker indicates a potential for 8.3% growth in the first quarter.
Lobbenberg also noted that as AENA approaches the new DORA review, it is likely to remain cautious in its traffic and cost guidance for the aeronautical business. Despite this, he expects that the guidance for commercial and external assets will not face the same level of scrutiny or pressure.
The upgrade reflects a shift in perception by Barclays, suggesting increased confidence in AENA’s ability to maintain its positive trajectory. The new price target of EUR228.00 represents a significant increase from the previous target of EUR195.00, pointing to a more optimistic outlook for the company’s stock value.
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