Barclays raises Zscaler stock price target to $320 on strong ARR growth

Published 03/09/2025, 08:36
Barclays raises Zscaler stock price target to $320 on strong ARR growth

Investing.com - Barclays raised its price target on Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS) to $320.00 from $300.00 on Wednesday, while maintaining an Overweight rating following the company’s fourth-quarter results. The cybersecurity company, currently valued at $43.14 billion, is trading slightly above its InvestingPro Fair Value.

The investment bank based its revised target on a rebuilt revenue model focused on Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), projecting that Zscaler could reach nearly $5 billion in ARR by fiscal year 2028, assuming flat-lined organic net new ARR through that period. This projection aligns with the company’s impressive 25.46% revenue growth over the last twelve months.

Barclays estimates that of Zscaler’s current $3 billion in ARR, approximately $1 billion comes from three growth vectors—ZTE, DSE, and AI Security—which are growing at twice the rate of the $2 billion in core ARR from products like ZIA and ZPA. The company maintains robust gross profit margins of 77.46%, according to InvestingPro data, which shows 8 additional key metrics and insights available for subscribers.

The firm believes the core business is growing in the high teens percentage range, while the three growth vectors are expanding at mid-30s percentages, based on market rates for Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) solutions.

Barclays also addressed the reconciliation of $140 million in Red Canary ARR to the $83 million recognized on August 1, and estimated that Zscaler’s change in ARR methodology represents a difference of tens of millions in ARR.

In other recent news, Zscaler Inc . reported a significant miss in its Q4 2025 earnings per share (EPS), which fell well below expectations. The company posted an EPS of -$0.11, contrasting sharply with the forecasted $0.80, resulting in a surprise of -113.75%. Despite this earnings miss, Zscaler’s revenue provided a slight positive surprise, reaching $719 million compared to the expected $706.95 million. These recent developments have drawn attention from investors and analysts alike. The earnings announcement has also led to discussions among analyst firms about the company’s future prospects. While the revenue figures were slightly above expectations, the considerable miss on EPS has raised questions about the company’s financial performance. Investors are closely monitoring the situation as they consider the implications of these results.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.