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Investing.com - Barclays (LON:BARC) has upgraded Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA (NYSE:BBVA) from Equalweight to Overweight and raised its price target to EUR18.00 from EUR14.70.
The upgrade follows BBVA (BME:BBVA)’s strong Q2 results and the release of ambitious FY25 and mid-term targets, which Barclays estimates will drive approximately 8% upside to FY25-27E adjusted EPS. The firm’s projections now stand 11% above Bloomberg consensus estimates.
Barclays cited multiple factors supporting the upgrade, including BBVA’s outperformance in Spain on volumes and profitability, with strong net interest income momentum and tight cost control. The firm also believes political and trade concerns in Mexico, particularly regarding the upcoming USMCA renegotiation, are overstated and could reverse in the second half of the year.
While acknowledging short-term volatility in Türkiye, Barclays expects macro stabilization and negative rate sensitivity to support long-term value creation. The firm also highlighted BBVA’s strategic flexibility regarding the potential Sabadell deal, noting that either a well-priced merger or walking away could be value-accretive.
BBVA currently trades at a FY25E P/E of 8.5x versus the sector average of 9.4x, while offering an above-average adjusted EPS CAGR for FY25-27 of approximately 13% compared to the European average of about 10%, according to Barclays.
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