Barclays upgrades Rational AG stock rating to Overweight on valuation

Published 02/10/2025, 08:04
Barclays upgrades Rational AG stock rating to Overweight on valuation

Investing.com - Barclays has upgraded Rational AG (ETR:RAA) from Equalweight to Overweight, while raising its price target to EUR816.00 from EUR805.00.

The upgrade comes as Barclays believes Rational’s current valuation has "de-rated too deeply" despite the company’s "sector-leading quality." The stock is trading at a 10-year low, having returned to pre-2015 levels after a 12-month derating period.

Barclays’ analysis suggests the current share price reflects "an unlikely sales/margin decline scenario" that doesn’t align with the firm’s outlook for the company. The bank’s discussions with US distributors and competitors have led to a more positive view on Rational’s performance in the American market.

The research note indicates Rational is likely gaining further market share in the US, despite near-term risks such as tariffs that could impact demand and margins. Barclays believes these risks are "likely already in the price."

The new price target of EUR816 is based on a multiple of 26x 2026E EV/adjusted EBITA, with an approximately 2-3% uplift in 2026-27E sales forecasts reflecting Barclays’ more optimistic view on market share and potential pricing adjustments due to new tariffs.

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