Benchmark maintains Buy on Matador Resources, $62 target

Published 20/03/2025, 15:22
Benchmark maintains Buy on Matador Resources, $62 target

On Thursday, Benchmark analysts maintained their Buy rating on Matador Resources Company (NYSE:MTDR) shares with a steadfast $62.00 price target, while InvestingPro data shows the stock is currently trading at $52.91 with a P/E ratio of 7.39x. The firm’s analysts cited their first-quarter earnings per share (EPS) and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) estimates for Matador Resources, which stand at $2.08 and $679 million respectively, surpassing the consensus estimates of $1.85 for EPS and $662 million for EBITDA. The higher projections from Benchmark are attributed to differences in operating costs. According to InvestingPro, 8 analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates downward for the upcoming period, making it crucial for investors to stay informed with comprehensive analysis available in the Pro Research Report.

Benchmark’s analysis suggests that the consensus has overestimated the volume of resources that Matador Resources will produce, yet their price forecasts align with the market’s expectations. Despite the higher volume predictions by others, Benchmark’s confidence in their rating is based on their own volume forecasts, which are consistent with the company’s guidance. The company has demonstrated strong operational efficiency with an impressive gross profit margin of 80.5%, and InvestingPro’s analysis indicates the stock is currently undervalued relative to its Fair Value.

The analysts at Benchmark noted that their estimates diverge from the market consensus due to a variance in operating costs, which they believe could lead to higher profitability for Matador Resources than what other analysts are expecting. This difference is significant as operating costs can greatly influence a company’s financial performance.

Matador Resources Company, an energy company engaged in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas resources in the United States, has been the subject of analyst attention due to the volatile nature of commodity prices and the impact they have on the profitability of such companies.

The maintained Buy rating and price target by Benchmark reflect a positive outlook for Matador Resources Company’s stock performance, based on the firm’s financial analysis and projections for the upcoming quarter. As the company approaches the release of its first-quarter financial results, investors will be watching to see if the company’s performance aligns with Benchmark’s optimistic estimates.

In other recent news, Matador Resources Company reported its fourth-quarter earnings, revealing a slight miss in oil production volumes, which fell just below the guidance range at 118.4 thousand barrels of oil per day. Despite higher-than-expected capital expenditures of $392 million, Matador increased its base dividend by 25% to $1.25 per share annually, indicating confidence in future cash flow and production growth. JPMorgan maintained an Overweight rating on the company, raising its price target to $76, while Truist Securities reiterated a Buy rating with an $80 target, highlighting Matador’s strong fourth-quarter performance that exceeded consensus estimates for earnings and adjusted free cash flow.

Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities also raised its price target to $77, maintaining an Outperform rating, despite noting a first-quarter volume guidance that was more than 5% below expectations. The firm’s optimism is supported by Matador’s operational efficiencies and potential for differentiated oil growth. JPMorgan’s separate analysis anticipates Matador will generate $1.029 billion in free cash flow in 2025, with a projected 13% free cash flow yield. The company is expected to achieve production volumes of 122.5 MBoe/d for fiscal year 2025, with capital expenditures aligning closely with street estimates.

Matador’s strategic focus on advanced completion techniques and its ability to capitalize on natural gas opportunities were noted as key strengths by analysts. Despite some operational setbacks, such as third-party midstream constraints, the company continues to demonstrate resilience and strategic foresight in managing its assets. Investors remain attentive to Matador’s developments, as analysts express confidence in its long-term growth potential and capital efficiency.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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