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On Friday, Berenberg analysts downgraded EMS-Chemie Holding AG (EMSN:SW) to a Sell from a Hold rating, adjusting the price target to CHF 491.00 from CHF 634.00. The downgrade reflects concerns over the company’s current business slowdown and the anticipation of a guidance cut at the upcoming H1 results publication.
EMS-Chemie, a European specialty plastics supplier, is facing increased competition from Chinese counterparts, which is expected to impact the company’s earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) for the fiscal years 2026 and 2027. Berenberg analysts believe that the Visible Alpha consensus estimates for these years are overly optimistic.
The firm also anticipates that EMS-Chemie will experience a structural derating due to intensified pricing pressure. This outlook challenges the relevance of the company’s historical valuation multiples. In the short term, the analysts foresee a guidance cut driven by a mid-single-digit percentage decline in organic sales in Q1 2025, a tougher comparable base throughout the year, foreign exchange headwinds from a strong Swiss Franc, and continued weakness in the European Union’s automotive market.
Berenberg’s revised price target of CHF 491.00, down from CHF 634.00, reflects the updated assessment of EMS-Chemie’s financial prospects. The analysts caution that relying on historical valuation multiples could be misleading given the current market dynamics and competitive landscape.
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