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On Friday, Berenberg analysts downgraded OCI NV (OCI:NA) stock from Buy to Hold. The change in rating comes with a revised price target of €8.70, down from the previous target of €14.60.
The downgrade follows a strategic review that has seen OCI NV undergo significant changes. In December 2023, the company announced four major divestments totaling $11.6 billion in gross proceeds. Approximately $4.4 billion, or roughly €19 per share, has been returned to shareholders, with more returns expected.
At the annual general meeting on May 21, shareholders approved a proposal allowing the board to repurchase and cancel up to 30% of OCI’s share capital. Additionally, a further capital distribution of up to $1 billion was approved, contingent on the sale of its Methanol business to Methanex (NASDAQ:MEOH), expected in the first half of 2025.
Following these divestments, OCI NV will primarily consist of a small European nitrogen business and a 14.5% equity stake in Methanex. The company is also set to commission its new Texas Clean ammonia plant in the second half of 2025, which will be handed over to Woodside (OTC:WOPEY) Energy. Berenberg analysts suggest that OCI’s main shareholder, the Sawiris family, might announce a tender offer for the remaining shares at a small premium once the plant is operational.
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