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On Tuesday, Bernstein analysts adjusted their stance on Moncler SpA (BIT:MONC:IM) (OTC: MONRY), downgrading the luxury fashion company’s stock rating from Outperform to Market Perform, while simultaneously increasing the price target from EUR60.00 to EUR65.00. The revision comes despite Moncler’s recent performance, which saw the company achieve an 8% organic growth, surpassing consensus expectations that predicted a 0.4% decline. This growth notably exceeded the estimated industry organic growth rate of 1.4%.
Moncler’s robust growth trajectory is anticipated to extend into the first quarter of 2025, traditionally the brand’s strongest period. Analysts project an organic growth of 7% for the upcoming quarter, considering the high comparison base of a 26% growth in the first quarter of 2024. However, despite the positive growth outlook, the company’s valuations have peaked during its prime trading season and have begun to show signs of compression as the summer period draws nearer.
The company has decided not to organize its Genius event this year and remains cautious with its approach to Stone Island, a recent acquisition. Moreover, Moncler has been managing expectations for the fiscal year 2025, guiding towards no growth despite relatively easy comparisons from the previous year. This conservative outlook has prompted Bernstein analysts to suggest that now may be an opportune time for investors to secure profits from the strong performance seen in the 2024/25 winter season.
Moncler’s stock performance will continue to be closely monitored by investors as the company navigates through its peak trading season without some of its traditional marketing activities and with a cautious strategy towards its newly integrated brand, Stone Island.
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