Bernstein cuts Wendy's stock target to $18, holds rating

Published 22/01/2025, 15:18
Bernstein cuts Wendy's stock target to $18, holds rating

The current market sentiment toward Wendy's (NASDAQ:WEN) reflects a deep discount, with the stock trading at approximately 15 times P/E on a NTM basis. Bernstein's valuation of Wendy's is set at around 17 times P/E on an NTM EPS estimate of $1.08, leading to the new price target of $18.00.For deeper insights into Wendy's valuation metrics and growth potential, InvestingPro subscribers have access to over 10 additional exclusive ProTips and comprehensive financial analysis.The report indicates that Wendy's is at a pivotal point, where upcoming events and market trends could influence investor perception and the company's stock valuation. InvestingPro's Fair Value analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued. However, for now, the analysts appear to be taking a cautious stance, awaiting clearer signs of the company's financial direction before suggesting a more optimistic rating.

The analysts expressed a lack of confidence from investors in Wendy's, citing uncertainties in growth acceleration and margin expansion over the coming year. Despite these concerns, they suggested that the forthcoming investor day and potential stabilization of low-income consumer sentiment could present a slight chance for a valuation increase from Wendy's 52-week low price. The company maintains strong fundamentals with a current ratio of 2.1, indicating healthy liquidity.

The current market sentiment toward Wendy's reflects a deep discount, with the stock trading at approximately 15 times P/E on a NTM basis. Bernstein's valuation of Wendy's is set at around 17 times P/E on an NTM EPS estimate of $1.08, leading to the new price target of $18.00.

The report indicates that Wendy's is at a pivotal point, where upcoming events and market trends could influence investor perception and the company's stock valuation. However, for now, the analysts appear to be taking a cautious stance, awaiting clearer signs of the company's financial direction before suggesting a more optimistic rating.

In other recent news, Wendy's has been subject to several adjustments from financial analysts. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) downgraded Wendy's stock rating from Equalweight to Underweight, citing concerns about the quick-service restaurant sector and specific challenges faced by Wendy's. This includes potentially slow comparable sales trends and issues with unit growth. BMO Capital Markets, however, increased Wendy's price target from $19.00 to $20.00, maintaining a Market Perform rating.

Evercore ISI maintained its In Line rating and a $20.00 price target for Wendy's, slightly increasing its 2024 estimated earnings per share for the company. BTIG also maintained its Neutral stance on Wendy's stock, highlighting the company's balanced risk/reward scenario. Stifel, another financial services firm, reduced its price target for Wendy's to $18 from $19, maintaining a hold rating on the stock.

Wendy's reported third-quarter earnings per share of $0.25, meeting Wall Street estimates, and a 1.8% increase in global systemwide sales. The company also reported a 0.2% rise in same-restaurant sales and a nearly 40% surge in digital sales. However, these gains were offset by challenges such as flat adjusted EBITDA margins and a decrease in adjusted earnings per share due to increased investments and higher expenses.

In a strategic move, Wendy's is allowing franchisees to close around 140 underperforming restaurants in the fourth quarter, a step expected to generate nearly $10 million in one-time fees from operators. Despite this, Wendy's revised its full-year guidance, forecasting approximately 3% system-wide sales growth. These are the recent developments in the company.

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