Bernstein reiterates Eli Lilly stock Outperform with $1,100 target

Published 06/02/2025, 12:48
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On Thursday, Bernstein research firm maintained a positive outlook on Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY) shares, reiterating an Outperform rating and a price target of $1,100.00. The endorsement comes amid a complex narrative surrounding the company’s CagriSema drug, a prospective weight loss treatment. According to InvestingPro data, Eli Lilly has demonstrated strong financial performance with a 27.4% revenue growth in the last twelve months, though current valuations suggest the stock is trading above its Fair Value.

Courtney Breen, a Bernstein analyst, provided insights into the latest data from competitor Novo Nordisk (NYSE:NVO), suggesting that the findings are favorable for Eli Lilly. Breen highlighted an interesting pattern where patients on a lower dose of CagriSema experienced higher efficacy. However, the analyst believes this is attributable to the patients’ lower body mass index (BMI), rather than the dosage itself. With an impressive gross profit margin of 80.9% and a strong financial health score rated as "GOOD" by InvestingPro, Eli Lilly appears well-positioned to capitalize on market opportunities.

According to Breen, the data presented indicates that significant weight loss outcomes were specifically selected for reporting, hinting at a strategic move by the company. The 25%+ weight loss figures, while notable, may have been the result of careful data selection.

The recent announcement from Novo Nordisk regarding delayed timing for their own weight loss drug, CagriSema, was interpreted as advantageous for Eli Lilly. This delay is seen as providing Eli Lilly with an extended opportunity to lead the market with their drug Tirzepatide.

Furthermore, both Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk are actively involved in market-building activities. Breen expects these efforts to contribute positively to market expansion throughout 2025, benefiting the entire sector. The analyst’s commentary suggests a competitive but growing market for weight loss treatments, with Eli Lilly well-positioned to capitalize on these developments. The company maintains a strong market position with analyst consensus remaining bullish, and InvestingPro reveals 14+ additional key insights about Eli Lilly’s financial health and market performance available to subscribers.

In other recent news, Eli Lilly has been the focus of analyst attention with Erste Group upgrading the company’s stock rating from Hold to Buy, citing robust product demand and an expected significant sales growth. Truist Securities also maintained a Buy rating for Eli Lilly, setting a target at $1038. The firm highlighted positive growth trends for Eli Lilly’s Zepbound and Mounjaro. Truist Securities also updated their financial model for Eli Lilly, leading to an increased price target for the company’s shares. The pharmaceutical giant anticipates FY2025 revenue to be in the range of $58 to $61 billion, driven by products such as Jaypirca, Ebglyss, Omvoh, and Kisunla, along with the market expansion of Mounjaro.

Meanwhile, Leerink Partners maintained their positive stance on Tectonic Therapeutics Inc., reiterating an Outperform rating and a $69.00 price target. This comes despite concerns raised by the termination of a study by Eli Lilly that could impact Tectonic’s TX45. Eli Lilly halted its phase 2 clinical trial for volenrelaxin in chronic kidney disease due to a lack of foreseeable clinical benefit. The outcome of this trial could bear implications for Tectonic’s TX45, as both volenrelaxin and TX45 are aimed at treating cardiopulmonary diseases.

These recent developments illustrate how analyst ratings can influence investor sentiment and highlight the interconnected nature of the pharmaceutical industry, where the outcome of one study can affect the perceived prospects of similar drug candidates in development.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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