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BlackBerry shares outlook improves as estimates for F2026/F2027 are revised upward

Published 20/12/2024, 13:14
BlackBerry shares outlook improves as estimates for F2026/F2027 are revised upward
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On Friday, BlackBerry Limited (NYSE:BB) received an updated price target from Baird. The firm raised its price target on the stock to $3.50, up from the previous $3.00, while maintaining a Neutral rating on the company’s shares.

According to InvestingPro data, two analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates upward for the upcoming period, with analyst targets ranging from $2.71 to $4.75. The stock appears slightly undervalued based on InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis. The revision follows BlackBerry’s third-quarter fiscal year 2025 results, which surpassed expectations with approximately 10% higher revenue compared to pro-forma forecasts and around 30% segment adjusted margins.

This performance was highlighted by a strong revenue mix that contributed to positive earnings per share (EPS) of $0.02 and operating cash flow of $3 million, marking the first time the company has seen positive cash flow in three years.

The analyst at Baird expressed a cautiously optimistic view on BlackBerry’s business, noting the potential benefits of the company’s pending investment in Cylance. The Internet of Things (IoT) segment is expected to display a more positive outlook, which should enhance BlackBerry’s overall performance. The stability and profitability of the Secure Communications trends were also acknowledged as contributing factors to the positive assessment.

In light of the recent financial results and the anticipated impact of the Cylance investment, Baird has revised its estimates for BlackBerry’s fiscal years 2026 and 2027, excluding Cylance. The firm suggests that with increased confidence in their overall estimates, there could be room for a more aggressive tactical approach to the stock.

BlackBerry’s recent achievements in revenue and cash flow represent a significant turnaround for the company, which has struggled in the past. The positive EPS and the improvement in operating cash flow are seen as indicators of the company’s progress and potential for growth.

The stock has shown strong momentum, gaining 10.78% in the past week and 28.45% over six months. For deeper insights into BlackBerry’s financial health and growth prospects, InvestingPro subscribers can access comprehensive research reports and additional ProTips that provide valuable context for investment decisions.

In other recent news, BlackBerry Limited has seen several developments. The company’s recent sale of its cybersecurity unit, Cylance, to Arctic Wolf for a higher-than-anticipated price was noted as a strategic move by the firm. This sale has removed a significant uncertainty for BlackBerry’s stock, according to RBC Capital. Additionally, BlackBerry dismissed a lawsuit filed by former executive Neelam Sandhu, which positively influenced investor confidence.

In terms of financial performance, BlackBerry reported a total revenue of $145 million for Q2 of fiscal year 2025, exceeding expectations. Despite this, the company reported a non-GAAP operating loss of $4 million. For Q3, BlackBerry expects IoT revenue of $56 to $60 million and Cyber revenue of $86 to $90 million, aiming to achieve positive cash flow and EBITDA in Q4.

Analysts from RBC Capital and Canaccord Genuity have adjusted their financial outlooks for BlackBerry. RBC Capital increased the price target to $3.25, maintaining a Sector Perform rating, while Canaccord Genuity raised the price target and maintained a Hold rating.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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