BMO Capital initiates coverage on Harmony Gold stock with Market Perform rating

Published 17/07/2025, 08:28
BMO Capital initiates coverage on Harmony Gold stock with Market Perform rating

Investing.com - BMO Capital initiated coverage on Harmony Gold (NYSE:HMY) with a Market Perform rating and a price target of $16.00 per ADR. The company, currently trading at $14.11, has demonstrated remarkable momentum with a 73% year-to-date return and maintains strong financial health according to InvestingPro metrics.

The South African senior gold producer has been one of the best performers in the gold sector in recent years, according to BMO Capital.

BMO Capital attributes Harmony Gold’s strong performance to steady operational results and favorable gold price tailwinds.

The research firm noted that while it views the company’s operational setup positively, it believes Harmony’s valuation is now broadly in line with the peer average.

BMO Capital indicated it would look for more visibility on Harmony Gold’s fiscal 2026 outlook and future capital allocation strategy before considering a more positive stance on the stock.

In other recent news, Harmony Gold has announced its intention to acquire MAC Copper in a cash deal valued at $1.03 billion. This acquisition involves purchasing 100% of MAC Copper’s shares at $12.25 each, which represents a 20.7% premium over the company’s recent closing share price. The board of MAC Copper has unanimously recommended that shareholders approve the offer, with the transaction expected to conclude by the end of the year. In light of this development, JPMorgan has downgraded MAC Copper’s stock rating from Overweight to Neutral. The downgrade reflects the agreed acquisition terms and aligns JPMorgan’s price target with the bid price of AUD19.00 per share. Analyst Lyndon Fagan from JPMorgan noted that the acquisition price suggests a 10% discount to the bank’s net present value estimate for MAC Copper. The CSA Copper Mine, MAC Copper’s primary asset, produced approximately 41,000 metric tons of copper in 2024 and has a reserve life exceeding 12 years. This acquisition will enhance Harmony Gold’s exposure to copper, a key resource in the energy transition.

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